12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?

[CAPE]

4 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said:

Seems reasonable. 

Probably. I always thought 3" was probably the max here. Just a bit odd how 'aggressive' they were this am and much less so now.

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

2 minutes ago, GATECH said:

Yeps!  Exactly.  Nice shots!

Thank you!  It was amazing.  I looked outside from my apartment and saw the color just in time to rush up to the rooftop deck and grab a few shots before it disappeared.  I love the sunset color at this time of year!

[MillvilleWx]

 

This is a really nice QPF distribution. Very apparent the banding is going to be impressive north of I-70 to the M/D and north. This would be a classic scenario for 5-9” for those areas. Ratio improvement through the early morning hrs. too. I would be excited if I was up that way. 

[PWC Split]

Clouds cleared out just as the sun was setting on my evening run. Temp has dropped down to 37/31. Like the trends, maybe a boom of 2 inches in Haymarket.


.

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

 

This is a really nice QPF distribution. Very apparent the banding is going to be impressive north of I-70 to the M/D and north. This would be a classic scenario for 5-9” for those areas. Ratio improvement through the early morning hrs. too. I would be excited if I was up that way. 

I like seeing a consistent ~0.3" QPF in the DC area, my expectation in this area is on the order of 2-4" in a fairly short period of time through early morning.  Tomorrow promises to be quite wintry...it will be clearing out but it will be cold and getting windy, with snow on the ground!

[Terpeast]

My updated forecast and final call

(Note BR and cacotins can be double my numbers)

[aldie 22]

8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Probably. I always thought 3" was probably the max here. Just a bit odd how 'aggressive' they were this am and much less so now.

There's a definite hedging going on quick mover warmish temps i bet tiny wet flakes that struggle to accumulate 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

My updated forecast and final call

 

So, not your first final call, or your final initial estimate to be revised later, but an actual final call?? 

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

So, not your first final call, or your final initial estimate to be revised later, but an actual final call?? 

This will be my last one

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

There's a definite hedging going on quick mover warmish temps i bet tiny wet flakes that struggle to accumulate 

Yup. Understandable. Get under the FGEN bands and its a different story. Outside of that there is some uncertainty about how cold it gets how quick in conjunction with how long it actually snows  moderately once it gets going.

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Just now, Terpeast said:

This will be my last one

All joking aside (and you know who I was sort of poking fun at), that is a very reasonable estimate.

[Ji]

My updated forecast and final call
(Note BR and cacotins can be double my numbers)

Woah. I love you

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

All joking aside (and you know who I was sort of poking fun at), that is a very reasonable estimate.

Yeah i gotcha, I don’t like changing my forecasts too much. Maybe once after an initial call, but that’s it 

[dailylurker]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Woah. I love you

You definitely have a kink for maps. I bet you don't even look outside while it snowing. I hope you have a significant other to make maps for you with increasing snow depth lol

[Ji]

You definitely have a kink for maps. I bet you don't even look outside while it snowing. I hope you have a significant other to make maps for you with increasing snow depth lol

I actually do love seeing snow fall. I don’t care for it after the storm though that much.

[dailylurker]

Just now, Ji said:

I actually do love seeing snow fall. I don’t care for it after the storm though that much.

I've got a kink for snowcover lol

[Jeff B]

35/29
WB33

[Heisy]

At work, anyone got the 18z euro?


.

[bncho]

Just now, Heisy said:

At work, anyone got the 18z euro?


.

much better than 12z

[87storms]

22 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I've got a kink for snowcover lol

I don’t care too much for snow on the ground beyond a couple days, but fresh snow on snow looks kinda awesome.

[yoda]

3 minutes ago, Heisy said:

At work, anyone got the 18z euro?


.

 

[Ji]

I don’t care too much for snow on the ground beyond a couple days, but fresh snow on snow looks kinda awesome.

I love watching the snow fall and the days leading up to the storm. 2 days later I’m pretty
Much back in a funk

[mitchnick]

5 minutes ago, Heisy said:

At work, anyone got the 18z euro?


.

 

[Paleocene]

Is that texas?

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

 

Just why man, lol

[nj2va]

26/24 and SN. 1.3”

Went to our favorite lakeside bar after church - back home now to put a fire on and finish making homemade pasta.

[Cobalt]

3 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

 

looks better than 12z from this angle

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Is that texas?

Texalvania

[JenkinsJinkies]

I’m confused, my Apple weather app shows it sleeting until the very last hour of the event, yet all the maps show my area getting 2-4”.

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

I’m confused, my Apple weather app shows it sleeting until the very last hour of the event, yet all the maps show my area getting 2-4”.

Apple weather app lol. Holy Shit. And you are an actual weather hobbyist?