12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?

[baltosquid]

lol. The mix on RDPS is comical

[frd]

2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

A shift nw from what it’s been showing. Getting close to euro like solution which would make most happy east of like route 15/340 

3 to 4 inches would be heavenly ! 

[NorthArlington101]

RGEM not all that inspiring - still an inch DC-BALT but has the heaviest stuff from PHL- NYC. More NAM-y

[LP08]

1 minute ago, yoda said:

RGEM is blah

It's weird cause I though H5 was sharper going into it.  Precip just never gets going.

[baltosquid]

Just now, LP08 said:

It's weird cause I thought H5 was sharper going into it.  Precip just never gets going.

For 95 area at least, snow maps are worse because of the weird mix line that stays in place while it snows south of 95. QPF for Baltimore was 0.3 but 10:1 only shows 1-2 inches.

[TSSN+]

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

RGEM not all that inspiring - still an inch DC-BALT but has the heaviest stuff from PHL- NYC. More NAM-y

Shows 3” over me and @mitchnick land so I’d buy haha 

[T. August]

GFS slightly more north. 2-3” dc-Philly. Horrible cutoff nw tho.

After rgem and nam, something tells me this isn’t done shifting north, for better or worse.

[LP08]

Develops over the region on the GFS.

[NorthArlington101]

GFS pretty steady - very slight tick north but it's got such a tight band every tick matters I guess.

ninja'd x2

[LP08]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS pretty steady - very slight tick north but it's got such a tight band every tick matters I guess.

ninja'd x2

Yeah.  This is tough to even get too excited about yet.  Basically a Nowcast of where that thing even sets up.

[Interstate]

Man... the GFS has been rock solid

[TSSN+]

Seems like we got NAM/Rgem the most north, gfs the most south and euro and icon in between 

[ravensrule]

8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS pretty steady - very slight tick north but it's got such a tight band every tick matters I guess.

ninja'd x2

That's the worst penis i have ever seen. 

[Darkstorm]

F that. And all the models show that to varying degrees

I’d like to know what snow gods we pissed off. It feels like we are going for the golden sombero at this pace.

[midatlanticweather]

58 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said:

Take a look around the models, we're on the threshold of hell. Threading needles. I do like where we are at this point.

I am out here in Western Loudoun. It is not looking great. I am betting on fail.

 

 

[Terpeast]

Eastern Loudoun here. Perhaps a coating if lucky

[mitchnick]

Gfs hung on the longest with 4" in the first threat here and finally caved at the end. 

[NorthArlington101]

5 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Gfs hung on the longest with 4" in the first threat and finally caved at the end. 

No way to know what's correct right now. Sure we all have our preferences - and we're all still in the game. Fingers crossed for an outcome that benefits as many folks as possible.

[mitchnick]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

No way to know what's correct right now. Sure we all have our preferences - and we're all still in the game. Fingers crossed for an outcome that benefits as many folks as possible.

What sux is the lack of a forum wide storm.

[dailylurker]

Just now, mitchnick said:

What sux is the lack of a forum wide storm.

To be fair. Most Decembers none of us see a flake lol. I think we're spoiled with this pattern and we forgot how shitty December usually is. 

[NorthArlington101]

GEFS is a tick NE with the best stuff - that's my biggest worry for MBY... losing this to PHL-NYC

[TSSN+]

Ukmet is like the Nam and Rgem. Favors north.

 

[TSSN+]

Model battle continues 

 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

My gut here says Baltimore and points northeast for this one, usually we don’t do well with transfers like this at this latitude.  But I’d be very happy with an inch or two before the arctic air. 

[North Balti Zen]

15 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

To be fair. Most Decembers none of us see a flake lol. I think we're spoiled with this pattern and we forgot how shitty December usually is. 

Um, no? Most of us know, but watching areas well to the south cash in several times while T - .2" are what we have seen in the northern areas as the reality kinda blows.

 

I don't know why up here we would be "spoiled with this pattern". This pattern has been rather shite for many of us. Cold, dry, windy.  

[RevWarReenactor]

10 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Model battle continues 

 

This honestly looks right. Tracks the climo over the last 10 years of the Dc to philly snowhole.