First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z AIFS went south

Yep.  Shunted a bunch of qpf SE

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Hopefully it's not coming.  I hate reading those posts after the models yank out the rug.

You’re fine up there. Nothing at all to worry about except if Ineedsnow is safe at Market Basket. Not the same here 

[UnitedWx]

28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I also cannot believe the model differences at less than 48 hours out. 

I feel like we had a similar storm last season,  similar disagreement and last minute the warm tongue was firmly inserted into SNE... but i don't have anywhere your memory capacity 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You’re fine up there. Nothing at all to worry about except if Ineedsnow is safe at Market Basket. Not the same here 

Not really worried here (a bit annoyed is all...)... but we have all felt your unease countless times. 

[radarman]

Shoot a horse

[DavisStraight]

38 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Cool.  Where?

I live in Cape Neddick so south of you, I like your spot better.

[CoastalWx]

24 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Tired of being on the receiving end no matter the time of year. It’s always the opposite of what we need 

Writing was on the wall with this for days. Gonna be tough to get much this time of year with srly flow ahead of a low.

[ineedsnow]

21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You’re fine up there. Nothing at all to worry about except if Ineedsnow is safe at Market Basket. Not the same here 

 

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Writing was on the wall with this for days. Gonna be tough to get much this time of year with srly flow ahead of a low.

Nasty forecast here…if gradient is closer to 128, then we rip here. If it’s more like just outside of 495, we’re in trouble. 
 

I think ORH to Ray’s area is in good shape. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nasty forecast here…if gradient is closer to 128, then we rip here. If it’s more like just outside of 495, we’re in trouble. 
 

I think ORH to Ray’s area is in good shape. 

That’s exactly what I mentioned earlier too. Your area is a big question mark. 

[CoastalWx]

36 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Yes boss... ;-)

 Not trying to be, just letting you all know how bad they are in borderline situations. I can’t believe some of those graphics were jacking Ocean Spray.

[kdxken]

40 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If I get 1-3", I'll change my screen name to eweather Jr.

Are you expecting more or less?

[HoarfrostHubb]

5 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Are you expecting more or less?

More  He did his 1st call of 4-8" 

[kdxken]

Since everyone's been working on snowblowers I have a quick question. Has anyone ever had a coil go bad but it still lights the spark plug tester?The tester lights, but when I ground the plug I don't see any spark.

[40/70 Benchmark]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That’s exactly what I mentioned earlier too. Your area is a big question mark. 

Party like it's 2000.

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Party like it's 2022, 2023, and 2024

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

 

I got skunked, as well, those years. This has a December 2000/2002 vibe.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I got skunked, as well, those years. This has a December 2000/2002 vibe.

Those had cold. Tuesday is marginal. Looks like better stuff after Tuesday hopefully. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Those had cold. Tuesday is marginal. Looks like better stuff after Tuesday hopefully. 

It's only the start of the month...it will get cold.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's only the start of the month...it will get cold.

That’s the hope

[Ginx snewx]

18 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Since everyone's been working on snowblowers I have a quick question. Has anyone ever had a coil go bad but it still lights the spark plug tester?The tester lights, but when I ground the plug I don't see any spark.

Mice

[Ginx snewx]

58 minutes ago, radarman said:

Shoot a horse

Yall need to run some 12 run trend analysis and tell me what you find. Love the victory laps tonight.  I do remember you said all rain for you. Hopefully not

[HoarfrostHubb]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Mice

Mice destroyed the transmission in our old Crapsman.  We had someone fix it.  I hate mice. 

[radarman]

17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 I do remember you said all rain for you. 

No you don't.  But I'll go 1-3" here with rain

[Brewbeer]

44 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Since everyone's been working on snowblowers I have a quick question. Has anyone ever had a coil go bad but it still lights the spark plug tester?The tester lights, but when I ground the plug I don't see any spark.

I like your location for a higher end event.

 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, UnitedWx said:

I feel like we had a similar storm last season,  similar disagreement and last minute the warm tongue was firmly inserted into SNE... but i don't have anywhere your memory capacity 

We’ve had a lot of this the last few years.  Feb 2024, we were in store for what seemed to be a major storm.  Literally The day before, models pulled the plug, and said maybe an inch. Then the storm came in, and it kept snowing and got heavier and heavier.   NWS wouldn’t issue any warnings cuz the confidence was so low….and We got 13” and no warnings.    Total modeling failure.  

[kdxken]

2 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

I like your location for a higher end event.

 

Yeah that's my worry. I have two snow blowers for two different locations. Of course where I expect the most snow that one's not running.

[kdxken]

22 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Mice destroyed the transmission in our old Crapsman.  We had someone fix it.  I hate mice. 

One word when storing equipment . Moth balls. Well actually two words...

[Boston Bulldog]

Pretty bad medium range fumble by the Euro-AI. A bit more concerning was just how long and arduous the cave back towards the globals was. Once outputs began to trend, corrections were steady and incremental but far too slow for me to take runs seriously for several days. Model outputs aren't very useful if it's obvious they're playing catch up. 

The AI Models as they currently stand are a great new tool, but I don't think they're ready to compete with the globals... yet. I guess I currently treat them akin to the Canadian, maybe a tick below. However, I think that in a couple years we may have significant disruption of the current model heirarchy.

[512high]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

One word when storing equipment . Moth balls. Well actually two words...

Check around the fins of the head towards the coil/starter are for a nest, had one nibble a small wire years ago, regarding moth balls had no luck, in irrigation boxes, they were cuddled up on top of the moth balls! BACK TO WEATHER......