Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Geoboy645]

If this incoming ridge pattern was in June or July, it would be a ridge rider pattern with MCS's every night. Good thing it's *checks notes* the week of Christmas. 

[A-L-E-K]

On 12/12/2025 at 1:09 PM, A-L-E-K said:

 

[cyclone77]

It'd be nice to take advantage of the warmth and get some thunderstorm action but looks like the systems will be very wimpy the next 10-15 days.

[A-L-E-K]

we deserve better

[TheClimateChanger]

11 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

we deserve better

Wow, that's a lot of rain on top of the ongoing flooding in the Pacific Northwest.

[A-L-E-K]

unrelenting pac jet ftw there

[michsnowfreak]

White Christmas looking unlikely. Bummer, but we've had snowcover the entire Christmas season to now, so thats been nice. 

After the holiday mild period, will be interesting to see if Jan-Feb takes on a classic nina like roller coaster pattern. With plenty of cold in Canada and plenty of warmth to the south, that may just be in the offing as we head deeper into winter. 

[frostfern]

25 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

White Christmas looking unlikely. Bummer, but we've had snowcover the entire Christmas season to now, so thats been nice. 

After the holiday mild period, will be interesting to see if Jan-Feb takes on a classic nina like roller coaster pattern. With plenty of cold in Canada and plenty of warmth to the south, that may just be in the offing as we head deeper into winter. 

I think I will still have snow *banks* even if grass is mostly visible.  Also got a pile around 20’ tall at the local mall.  Got to plow that sucker for the people doing donuts every Saturday night.

[michsnowfreak]

7 minutes ago, frostfern said:

I think I will still have snow *banks* even if grass is mostly visible.  Also got a pile around 20’ tall at the local mall.  Got to plow that sucker for the people doing donuts every Saturday night.

Theres a large pile at the mall here. That will be here all winter. But the rest, stay tuned lol.

[cyclone77]

3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

we deserve better

That's a great pattern for the Donners @ Donner Pass.

[Baum]

Even today felt great out. Once I accept the pattern change I’m all for clearing out the slop.

[nwohweather]

I found 3 instances at Detroit where more than half the seasons snowfall fell by December 15th.
Thru Dec 15...season total
2005-06: 21.0"...36.3"
1890-91: 17.2"...31.4"
1932-33: 13.1"...25.9"
For comparison, season average is 42.7" with avg to Dec 15th being just 5.5".
2025-26 is at 12.6" to date.

Thanks for bringing up 2005-06! So many people thought we were in store for another rough winter, it wound up being fairly mild after New Year’s

[CheeselandSkies]

Bunch of people rushed out and bought snowblowers for the end of November storm; now won't use them again for 5 years.

[DocATL]

Bunch of people rushed out and bought snowblowers for the end of November storm; now won't use them again for 5 years.

I added fuel stabilizer so it’s ready for summer.