Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm

[Chicago Storm]

Already snowing here at home, with the ground dusted.

[Chambana]

Still waiting on the first flakes in Champaign.

[ILSNOW]

Dusting

[A-L-E-K]

Nice base, avoiding screwholes so far

[Radtechwxman]

Im a little concerned about this dry slot in northern MO. All that heavy precip by STL seems like it may skirt south of me. Hrrr suggests things will fill in later. We shall see

[Baum]

29 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said:

Im a little concerned about this dry slot in northern MO. All that heavy precip by STL seems like it may skirt south of me. Hrrr suggests things will fill in later. We shall see

Truth and Lies for Winter Storms:

1. The Dry Slot Is supposed to fill later- lie.

[King James]

Honestly like where I sit. Looks like some nice returns on my way from the SW

[Baum]

Radar looks like a signature winter storm event event return for these parts

[jlauderdal]

Its all snow covered now, an hour ago streets were wet.  We have some ground to make up to get to my 9 inch prediction.  Im looking for 3 by noon and that should get us to 9.  Rates to the west arent that impressive yet so need this afternoon to not start with the usual bumps in the road. 

[jlauderdal]

1 minute ago, Baum said:

Radar looks like a signature winter storm event event return for these parts

Dont jinx it, we still have to get this thing over the line and produce big totals.

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Is this storm really supposed to cut up to lake michigan??..it looks like it wants to keep moving east?.

[donsutherland1]

The snow is sticking in Chicago. Courtesy of EarthCam:

[TheRegionRat]

Nice dusting here so far. Been snowing for over an hour. It was nice to get a good walk in while snow falls.  

[NEILwxbo]

Just under an inch already at ORD, seems to be off to a good start. 

[Jebman]

5 hours ago, Powerball said:

 

I remember watching it live.

The best part about it? That was actually a massive forecast bust. In the run up to the game, only maybe 1-3" at best was expected befoe it transitioned to rain (of course, by the time they realized the forecast was going to be a bust, they were already too far into the game to postpone it).

Best game ever...

Dad and I watched it on tv back when it all happened. Damn I was really jonesing for snow because of it.

[DaveNay]

I was expecting to wake up to more.

Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk

[donsutherland1]

As of 7 am, Chicago had picked up 0.5" of snow. Rockford had received 1.0". The highest amounts were at Chatsworth (3.0") and Melvin (2.0").

[Frog Town]

Concerning messaging coming from Northern Indiana Office.  They almost lost half their WSW...

 

 At this time have made only minor
adjustments to forecasted snow amounts through tonight, with
just a slightly lower trend in most places. Highest
accumulations of 6 to 10 inches through 12Z Sunday are still
forecasted for northwest third of the area where some cross-
hair signature of mid level lift/DGZ is noted in forecast
time/height sections. Some consideration given to transitioning
the warning to an advisory south of US Route 24 across far
northeast Indiana/northwest Ohio but will allow dayshift to
assess trends this morning.

[homedis]

0.5” here in Lake Forest. About as expected thus far!

[hawkeye_wx]

4.2" here as of 7:15am.  The heaviest snow so far, with good-quality flakes, just popped over us.  The winners so far have been Fort Dodge to Waterloo, where 8" has fallen.  Southern Iowa has been stuck in a big dry pocket this morning, which models did not forecast.  My ratio so far is 11.3 to 1, so not bad.  The wind is not bad, so the snow in my backyard is very uniform, which I love.

[cyclone77]

Eyeballing from the window it looks to be pushing 3" so far.  Still 15+ hours to go of more snow.

Best rates and flake size should be with the grand finale wave later this afternoon.  Should hopefully stack up pretty good with that.  8-12 still looks doable.

[Radtechwxman]

11 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

4.2" here as of 7:15am.  The heaviest snow so far, with good-quality flakes, just popped over us.  The winners so far have been Fort Dodge to Waterloo, where 8" has fallen.  Southern Iowa has been stuck in a big dry pocket this morning, which models did not forecast.  My ratio so far is 11.3 to 1, so not bad.  The wind is not bad, so the snow in my backyard is very uniform, which I love.

Yeah that dry pocket worries me a bit. My snow im in is on eastern fringes of that. Hoping it doesn't creep east and hoping it fills in more. Flake size has been pretty small so far. 

[OrdIowPitMsp]

Getting some light snow this morning, the roads are snow covered. Wasn’t really expecting anything until noon, still think 2-4” here

[Baum]

13 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Eyeballing from the window it looks to be pushing 3" so far.  Still 15+ hours to go of more snow.

Best rates and flake size should be with the grand finale wave later this afternoon.  Should hopefully stack up pretty good with that.  8-12 still looks doable.

Winter of ‘24-25 soon to be a distant memory 

[cyclone77]

8 minutes ago, Baum said:

Winter of ‘24-25 soon to be a distant memory 

No doubt.  MLI was up to 4.9" already as of 6am, so they will blow by the seasonal total by early to mid afternoon.

[hawkeye_wx]

One real nice thing about this system is the wind is actually going to drop through this afternoon as the low passes by to the south and some of the best snow moves in.  This should lead to an efficient ratio as the snow won't blow around.

[Michigander]

I see mention of a lake effect event taking shape Sunday afternoon in the NW Indiana AFD. Trying to decide whether to drop off my daughter in Chicago on Sunday afternoon (returning to GR in the evening), or have her take an early train Sunday morning from Grand Rapids instead. Temps look to be in the low 30s on Sunday which usually means the roads are OK. That said, I-94 during a winter storm warning is rarely a good idea.

A mid level dry slot still looks to overspread the area
overnight into early Sunday morning, with a quick tapering of
snow across most of the area and a likely transition to light
snow/areas of drizzle with drying DGZ and near sfc wet bulbs
warming to near freezing across south/southeast areas. A quick
transition to stronger low level CAA ensues for Sunday morning
and afternoon as stronger upper vort lobe drops across the
southern Great Lakes. This should allow for at least a 6 to 9
hour period of favorable lake effect snow showers for additional
accumulations/impacts with gusty CAA-induced winds also
expected. Some higher res guidance also suggests potential of
mesovort-type feature to accompany a sharper low level trough
passage across southern Lake Michigan Sunday morning/midday.
Have maintained the Winter Storm Warning headline into Sunday
afternoon for areas possibly impacted by lake effect snow, and
have expired the warning by 15Z Sunday for remainder of the
area. This timing may need to be moved up further as most of the
synoptic accumulating snow could depart after 09Z Sunday
morning. Lake effect snow showers should wane Sunday evening.

[King James]

Nice little storm. Good flakes on a Saturday morning after a holiday. Can’t ask for more

[Baum]

5 minutes ago, King James said:

Nice little storm. Good flakes on a Saturday morning after a holiday. Can’t ask for more

A mid winter look in late November. Rare.

[RogueWaves]

On 11/27/2025 at 1:42 AM, weathafella said:

If we could get the H7 low 50 miles SE of current guidance we’ll over perform imho.

I need it north and so far it should be just right. 9" in my text is a nice increase from where this started.