Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm

[tuanis]

3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Been a while since we've spread the wealth like this

In November, no less. Hoping for 8” here, anything more is bonus snow.

[ILSNOW]

November and during the day!!!!

[migratingwx]

23 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

Iwx just upped the amounts to 9 to 14, must be something juicy in the 18Z suite 

 

18z 3k NAM came in nice and healthy. 

[Harry Perry]

 

[Radtechwxman]

18z wasn't as nice on nam's as it was on 12z for here. Im so close to being in that jackpot zone. Still will be a solid storm and will beat anything I got last year by a long shot. But man a slight shift south would be nice. Ha

[sbnwx85]

Potential for two top 10 November snowfalls in the same year in South Bend.

Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall
for SOUTH BEND AP, IN
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Period of record: 1893-12-01 to 2025-11-26
1	20.5	1977-11-26	0
2	18.0	1911-11-03	1
-	18.0	1911-11-02	1
4	14.6	1977-11-25	0
5	14.3	2025-11-10	0
6	13.6	1951-11-07	0
7	13.5	1930-11-27	0
8	13.4	2014-11-14	0
9	13.0	1930-11-26	0
10	12.3	2014-11-13	0

[CheeselandSkies]

18Z 3K NAM backed off a bit from its prior few runs, down to a "mere" 8.2" for Madison by 18Z (noon CST) Sunday. Even that would be exceptional for before December 1st. However the 15Z RAP was all in on a top-end big dog with 15.5" at the same forecast hour.

[Baum]

The Kluber Met for LOT clearly suffering PWSSD- post traumatic winter storm stress disorder. Whole AFD is basically detailing potential fail modes. Last 5-7 seasons have done damage. Can’t blame him.

[A-L-E-K]

Radar looks good, early weenie waa will make or break

[Chicago Storm]

Just now, A-L-E-K said:

Radar looks good, early weenie waa will make or break

this whole thing is essentially waa.

[SchaumburgStormer]

Guys. This is our moment. After half a decade of hell, we might have something trending our way. 

[A-L-E-K]

 

[A-L-E-K]

Bears 

[King James]

Bears 

Contenders

[Mogget]

MKX went up to 8-13 Inches. Kind of shocked, actually. 

[Chicago Storm]

8 minutes ago, King James said:

Contenders

pretenders.

signed, a lowly falcons fan.

[A-L-E-K]

This is our moment 

[A-L-E-K]

Just now, Chicago Storm said:

pretenders.

signed, a lowly falcons fan.

Brutal 

[homedis]

MKX went up to 8-13 Inches. Kind of shocked, actually. 

Interesting, they even mention lake enhancement. Doesn’t match up with LOT at all.

Edit: looking at it again, its actually matches up. Just a really odd look to the LOT map with the 5-9” stripe in the heart of Cook County.

[Radtechwxman]

I would love 21z rap to verify please 

[Chicago Storm]

10 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Brutal 

understatement.

[TheNiño]

MKE not playing around! Feeling like a 5 year old on Christmas Eve. 

[michsnowfreak]

2 hours ago, Harry Perry said:

 

Lmao. So Detroit has an advisory for 5-7", Ann Arbor has a warning for 5-8", and Toledo has a warning for up to 6". 

Im sure the general public knows the difference 

[mollydog]

Lmao. So Detroit has an advisory for 5-7", Ann Arbor has a warning for 5-8", and Toledo has a warning for up to 6". 
Im sure the general public knows the difference 

Thought the same thing! And the graphic shows 6-9” in my county!


.

[Harry Perry]

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Lmao. So Detroit has an advisory for 5-7", Ann Arbor has a warning for 5-8", and Toledo has a warning for up to 6". 

Im sure the general public knows the difference 

 For real. 
 

I’d like to think the overnight shift would come in and hoist a warning for their entire area with the exception of maybe Huron, Tuscola and Sanilac counties.

EDIT: 

Actually after checking over that way, nah.. warning area wide would be wise. 6-8” all the way up to Port Austin.

[cyclone77]

DVN going all in with amounts generally 13 inches or more in the point forecast at locations near the QC.  I would probably play it a bit more conservative with 8-12 with isolated higher amounts.  Kind of splitting hairs though really as once you get over 8 inches it's a lot of snow regardless.  

[Chambana]

15 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

DVN going all in with amounts generally 13 inches or more in the point forecast at locations near the QC.  I would probably play it a bit more conservative with 8-12 with isolated higher amounts.  Kind of splitting hairs though really as once you get over 8 inches it's a lot of snow regardless.  

 

[Chambana]

all jokes aside, enjoy your storm! You all deserve the jackpot 

[Baum]

30 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

DVN going all in with amounts generally 13 inches or more in the point forecast at locations near the QC.  I would probably play it a bit more conservative with 8-12 with isolated higher amounts.  Kind of splitting hairs though really as once you get over 8 inches it's a lot of snow regardless.  

Fair enough. You can have my 8 I’ll take your 13.