December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Mention her name and the resident predator goes wild. 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Mention her name and the resident predator goes wild. 

Lol…she’s just a fool.  But we laugh.  Let’s get system in here, and join the party. Frieken cold out there today. 

[Spanks45]

36 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Mention her name and the resident predator goes wild. 

and what is interesting about that, is why? Why so triggered about someone like her?

[weatherwiz]

Our only hope of amplifying the ridge across the West for that mid-month period is if it connects with the ridging over Alaska. But dating back to even the last few years, we have seen countless times models in the extended range want to develop these beautiful ridges in the West only for it to either not verify, or its duration was too short to have any meaningful influence downstream. Something has to change within the background state for this to actually happen, not just "the EPS wants to do this at xxxx time"). It's pretty unfortunate but the pattern is setup to favor weak clippers and shredded garbage. But for some reason...it must be something within the model physics we keep seeing these tendencies to overamplify things within a specific time range (and I even fell for this with last nights potential). But people will keep falling for it and trying to come up with ways to justify as to why "it needs to be watched". 

[CoastalWx]

Little something something on the gfs for the 14th.

[brooklynwx99]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Little something something on the gfs for the 14th.

nice Arctic wave. seeing the PNA get a bit better is a plus

[Spanks45]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Little something something on the gfs for the 14th.

It just looks so simple, right? Not waiting for phasing, this and that needs to go right before snow starts falling type deal....just some energy passing to our south and cold air in place.