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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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Just now, WinterWolf said:

Xmas is still 11-12 days away….whatever was there will waffle/come and go….pattern looks active, with cold nearby, that’s the only takeaway currently.  

Yeah, I totally get the urge to look—I’m looking too knowing it’s over 240h out, but we have a long way to go. I just don’t want to see a Christmas torch show up on the ensembles…and so far…we look ok in that department.

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Another seasonally festive nice morning!

28 and light snow. Maybe a 1/4 to 1/3rd of an inch but it certainly helps to make it feel like a  winter of old. 
Heading back up to Bretton Woods today for the evening and a bitterly cold day of snowboarding tomorrow :snowing:

IMG_2466.thumb.jpeg.e6ca5df8ccf59b7036633ac3d186fc7f.jpeg

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47 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Ugly OP runs through the end of the month. Everyone should cherish what they get today 

Understood, however they've really been having a hard time handling the pattern we've been in in general as well as the cold up to the north. It wouldn't surprise me a bit if we see a bit of a more forceful cold press then we're seeing currently

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Yeah there’s going to be a migrating boundary for a couple of weeks surrounding Christmas. That SE ridge will occasionally flex its muscles and try to advect warm plumes our way, but the axis seems to be enough west that we’re going to be susceptible to late digging shortwaves that cut them off. But you can’t rule out a good warm sector or two sneaking in or at least some DSD days following a wedged day. Deets TBD.

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16 minutes ago, weathafella said:

The ensembles in the 8-15 range are much more favorable bs the ops.  It seems silly get tall wrapped up in op forecasts in a difficult pattern on clown range.

The crazy part is…we’ve explained this to him multiple times, yet some come on and say the same thing time and time again? 

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