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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

i dont know what this means

Sorry about that, and I'm at work and tried doing a quick post. I just fixed it. Didn't know if it showed us getting several inches, but I wasn't sure if we should trust what we're seeing at this point

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17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Much better season than 93-94 for me...that was one of my favorite winters.

‘92-93 went from a top 5 season to pretty mediocre quite quickly once you got into central CT and southwest. It was actually below normal for snowfall once you got to NYC. Pretty amazing season though for BOS-ORH corridor and northward into your hood. 

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5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is pretty comical. NYE is now a legit timeframe to watch with that amplifying trough

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1766491200-1767247200-1767247200-40.thumb.gif.b4298850dce74e7082d814478e56d657.gif

I feel like we have seen a handful of pretty H5 animations that haven’t produced however, Fri/Sat could potentially be one of them

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I can't remember what year, 92/93 maybe, we had a solid sleet storm with inches of it, I remember driving around like a fool with like 3-4" of sleet, crazy time. But it was early 90s, I thought 93/94 was the really cold year, no? perhaps it was that year.

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18 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is pretty comical. NYE is now a legit timeframe to watch with that amplifying trough

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1766491200-1767247200-1767247200-40.thumb.gif.b4298850dce74e7082d814478e56d657.gif

It probably is a result of smoothing and averaging, but that would be something pretty damn good to work with...if we got the TPV to dig exactly as shown. There really is no way to see each member, is there? The OP doesn't dig as aggressively and we would probably need to see the OP more in line of the ENS to really make this potentially noteworthy. I'd be curious to know where each member stands 

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13 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I feel like we have seen a handful of pretty H5 animations that haven’t produced however, Fri/Sat could potentially be one of them

We'll see about the Friday/Saturday deal. The one Brooklyn is posting about is New Year's Day. 

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1 minute ago, tavwtby said:

I can't remember what year, 92/93 maybe, we had a solid sleet storm with inches of it, I remember driving around like a fool with like 3-4" of sleet, crazy time. But it was early 90s, I thought 93/94 was the really cold year, no? perhaps it was that year.

We actually had a storm back in I think 2020 .. December I believe.  We had at least a few inches of sleet during the day and later that night I remember we had thunder and lightning and everything turned to Snow.... By the next day when it stopped in the early afternoon, we had about 16 or so inches. 

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34 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

We actually had a storm back in I think 2020 .. December I believe.  We had at least a few inches of sleet during the day and later that night I remember we had thunder and lightning and everything turned to Snow.... By the next day when it stopped in the early afternoon, we had about 16 or so inches. 

2019.  My 73rd birthday event.

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1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

It probably is a result of smoothing and averaging, but that would be something pretty damn good to work with...if we got the TPV to dig exactly as shown. There really is no way to see each member, is there? The OP doesn't dig as aggressively and we would probably need to see the OP more in line of the ENS to really make this potentially noteworthy. I'd be curious to know where each member stands 

that isn’t even the animation of the run though, that’s the trend for the same valid time. it’s so drastic it looks like the same run 

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1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

that isn’t even the animation of the run though, that’s the trend for the same valid time. it’s so drastic it looks like the same run 

its been great seeing positive trends moving closer to the window of interest versus negative trends. Something is going to work in our favor over the next 10-14 days.

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