December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Lightning accompanying downpour in Tewksbury 

It’s all we got 

[CoastalWx]

Man I miss the days of tracking a nice widespread event. Not even a HECS, just an easy warning event. It’s been so long.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s all we got 

Thoughts and prayers to your friend

[Kitz Craver]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man I miss the days of tracking a nice widespread event. Not even a HECS, just an easy warning event. It’s been so long.

Sure has

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Thoughts and prayers to your friend

Maybe that’s what he meant by wild times? 

[Typhoon Tip]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man I miss the days of tracking a nice widespread event. Not even a HECS, just an easy warning event. It’s been so long.

Do you think CC is playing a roll there    

lol

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man I miss the days of tracking a nice widespread event. Not even a HECS, just an easy warning event. It’s been so long.

Almost happened last winter until the models pulled the rug 3 days out.

[weathafella]

I’m so glad I got old enough to not give a damn if all the snow melts or not or even if it doesn’t snow.  Seems like some are bleeding out….

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, weathafella said:

I’m so glad I got old enough to not give a damn if all the snow melts or not or even if it doesn’t snow.  Seems like some are bleeding out….

I'll double up on this sentiment, ... knowing that posting the way I do has eroded popularity to the point where I'm on people's probation and/or ignore list at this point. Ha!  

I'm "slightly" younger than you but I've been there now for ... shit, 10 years probably.  Seeing 100" in 10 minutes in 2015 was like dad making you smoke a whole carton of cigarettes - it might actually work. LOL.  But, I think the real reason for escaping the d-drip addiction is the repeating bad years since.   Just unrelenting, and being that way regardless of all intents and purposes between the Joe D'aleo's, the NCEPs  ... Bastardi 'n' cokes, Rays of sun reflecting of snow pack, or Death sentence to snowstorms just get Margrave to post anything about it.  No matter who or what is predicted, ...god, just find something, anything better than doing these winters.  I realize there's been a-b-c month here and there but using that clouds the reality of abuse. It'd be like Tina Turner's relationship with Ike.    

I still enjoy anticipating interesting Meteorology - but that goes for the entire spectrum of weather -related subject matter. I'm in the minority in the summer in here. I get it.  But when I say I think it would be spectacular to see the complete shock-and-awe ( which is possible as CC continues gaining momentum, just a matter of time - ) retraction of the polar boundary and sustaining green lawn warmth in winter months, that's just the amazement of nature talking.   There's 0 give a shitness for snow anymore over here.   When and if there is an interesting weather event that is freezing or frozen in nature, that's just academic to me. 

[WxWatcher007]

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, NW_of_GYX said:

Not a frigid look but the coldest anomalies are in the right place and not all bottled up on the other side of the globe and no shortage of sw’s traversing the continent. I don’t want to see big blocking combined with a -epo that shunts systems south. Later in the period you see the scandi block retrograde which would support more region wide systems. Really good run and the teleconnections support it. 

Yeah, I don't mind some blocking but we get screwed on strong ones here.

[Typhoon Tip]

27 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yeah, I don't mind some blocking but we get screwed on strong ones here.

The blocking that has been consistently depicted isn't really the type that backs warmth down into the Maritime and Maine if it helps.   

This is clearly favoring the eastern limb of the NAO domain. In that regime, if anything, you're likely to be in a mean WNW to at times N flow around the Maritime train-wreck low that is sourced by intermediate polar air over midriff Canadian Shield.. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The blocking that has been consistently depicted isn't really the type that backs warmth down into the Maritime and Maine if it helps.   

This is clearly favoring the eastern limb of the NAO domain. In that regime, if anything, you're likely to be in a mean WNW to at times N flow around the Maritime train-wreck low that is sourced by intermediate polar air over midriff Canadian Shield.. 

That we can work with.

[WxWatcher007]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That we can work with.

I think that works back this way too

[CoastalWx]

Long range finally looks more serviceable after the NY. Before that it’s more of the thread the needle and timing of the shortwave nonsense. It doesn’t mean nothing will happen, but it ain’t that pretty. Speaking of the EPS.

[dryslot]

11 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I think that works back this way too

Indeed.

[alex]

Wild storm here. Definitely overperformed; the wind was crazy, and we had power outages all over the area. Just got my internet back an hour ago. Pack down to 5" in my yard, but you drive a mile down the road and it's been wiped out completely. Back to snow now at 34F

[snowman19]

Hail and heavy rain in Sloatsburg. Wind gusts easily over 50mph. Saw towering cumulus congestus just before it started. No lightning or thunder here yet

[TheSnowman]

8 minutes ago, alex said:

Wild storm here. Definitely overperformed; the wind was crazy, and we had power outages all over the area. Just got my internet back an hour ago. Pack down to 5" in my yard, but you drive a mile down the road and it's been wiped out completely. Back to snow now at 34F

Where exactly are you then?  

 

And what’s the case on Tuesday?  People are just talking about todays Disaster that goes to the Canadian Border which I don’t want to talk about.  I’ll be up in mid-NH Tuesday, will that be a 3-6 situation?  

[SouthCoastMA]

Something like the 18z ICON would give a decent swath of SNE 1-2". A little dicey here but one of the colder runs i've seen. 

[CoastalWx]

GFS AI looks good. GFS op barely has precip lol.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I think that works back this way too

It can split NNE and SNE ( not sure  i think you're in VT ?)     anyway, the storm track can end up flopping like an unmanned fire hose because both tracks are supported ... sort of ending up between cutters and transfers... SNE rolls dice ending up shafted or SWFE 50/50 ..  while mix gets to PF, and then it's powder snow up in CAR ... It's not impossible for easterly NAO's to even swash a warm sector or two.   

No coincidence we're seeing the operational runs flopping around as they have been. 

[Damage In Tolland]

I’m not buying the Euro change to rain on Tuesday . That’s a cold HP. I’d bet that trends colder even due coastal areas 

[CoastalWx]

35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not buying the Euro change to rain on Tuesday . That’s a cold HP. I’d bet that trends colder even due coastal areas 

That cold high to the southeast

[Kitz Craver]

Ryan’s 7day was pretty vomit worthy…

[40/70 Benchmark]

Guy I talk shop with online is whispering about a big coastal between Jan 8-12.

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Guy I talk shop with online is whispering about a big coastal between Jan 8-12.

Rotting block and improving PAC hopefully by then so maybe something.

[alex]

2 hours ago, TheSnowman said:

Where exactly are you then?  

 

And what’s the case on Tuesday?  People are just talking about todays Disaster that goes to the Canadian Border which I don’t want to talk about.  I’ll be up in mid-NH Tuesday, will that be a 3-6 situation?  

I’m in Bretton Woods. I mean, it may be a disaster but there’s more snow on the ground than last year at this point with more on the way. At least here and we usually bear the brunt of cutters compared to low lying areas. Haven’t really looked at Tuesday and honestly I doubt anyone really knows. Still 4 days away! All I’d say is - there will be a bit more snow than now

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That cold high to the southeast

The always frigid OBX high pressure. Our biggest snows come from those