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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Peeking at the latest gfs…

H7 doesn’t close off or really even back…SW flow and plenty of WAA up there until the trof axis passes. H85 does. Kinda has that front ender look initially with closed off low levels. If you look at H85 it looks like the primary wants to cut west and then it jumps quickly eastward to our south. 

Ok so it’s not a true coastal on that depiction then?  Kind of a hybrid? 

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14 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ok so it’s not a true coastal on that depiction then?  Kind of a hybrid? 

It’s a coastal, but some of the mid level dynamics are still WAA biased initially. It does try to back and close off higher up as it gets over ME.

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1 hour ago, Lava Rock said:

0" for me. Sweet.

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

That lightest gray patch is a bit north of you, and right over me.  It's surprising how often modeled snowfall includes that Fryeburg-Danforth hole.  Fortunately, it doesn't verify all that often.

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