December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, backedgeapproaching said:

 

 

That is a crazy sequence of events in the final week to Christmas.

Is it better to have loved and lost, than not have at all?

This was 2015 Stowe/Mansfield on Christmas Day.  Only Xmas Day since 1954 with no snow on the ground at the Co-Op stake.  This November reached a higher snow depth than was seen at any point during that 2015-16 winter.

 

[powderfreak]

180 hours out.  Unlikely as modeled but the chances will be there as the seasonal baroclinic zone sags south in the means.

 

[Torch Tiger]

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

That is a crazy sequence of events in the final week to Christmas.

Is it better to have loved and lost, than not have at all?

This was 2015 Stowe/Mansfield on Christmas Day.  Only Xmas Day since 1954 with no snow on the ground at the Co-Op stake.  This November reached a higher snow depth than was seen at any point during that 2015-16 winter.

 

before reading, initial instinct was 2011-2012 lol.  that's wild, forgot that happened.

[ineedsnow]

EURO and the GFS both have snow next week.. its coming 

[Torch Tiger]

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

EURO and the GFS both have snow next week.. its coming 

 

[Chrisrotary12]

2 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

EURO and the GFS both have snow next week.. its coming 

I will not believe it is going to snow until after it snows. Is it 7 or 8 yrs below average in a row now?

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I will not believe it is going to snow until after it snows. Is it 7 or 8 yrs below average in a row now?

What did I tell you a week or two ago…it’s your year Chris!  Believe. 

[ineedsnow]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

What did I tell you a week or two ago…it’s your year Chris!  Believe. 

We 6z GFS 

[CoastalWx]

AI stuff pretty far offshore. But, we watch. 

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

AI stuff pretty far offshore. But, we watch. 

Noticed that. GFS AI is well offshore too.

[CoastalWx]

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Noticed that. GFS AI is well offshore too.

Ensemble too.

[Modfan2]

34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ensemble too.

Red flag?

[mahk_webstah]

9 hours ago, dendrite said:

34” on 12/17 went puff. This was 1pm xmas day. 

It was a massacre

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

AI stuff pretty far offshore. But, we watch. 

Your chances are better than many. Maybe it will be remembered as the Scooter storm.

[Hoth]

7 hours ago, powderfreak said:

180 hours out.  Unlikely as modeled but the chances will be there as the seasonal baroclinic zone sags south in the means.

 

In southern CT, that much snow is referred to as "a season."

[kdxken]

After today not much sign of any warmth. Skating by mid December?

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

We 6z GFS 

Well... it is chock full of stuff to watch, at least this run LOL. My gut says next Wednesday WILL happen, simply because I'm covering my buds snowplow route and I REALLY don't want to!

[ORH_wxman]

11 minutes ago, kdxken said:

After today not much sign of any warmth. Skating by mid December?

Yeah could be old school pond skating by 12/15 if some of these runs are correct. 
 

[ORH_wxman]

EPS looks pretty decent for a week out. I like seeing those gulf lows a bit offshore at this point. We know how those can trend. 
 

 

[CoastalWx]

35 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Your chances are better than many. Maybe it will be remembered as the Scooter storm.

This early rain is more of an option. But if it flipped and coated that’s a win.

[Go Kart Mozart]

Start stocking up on groceries now:

[40/70 Benchmark]

28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

EPS looks pretty decent for a week out. I like seeing those gulf lows a bit offshore at this point. We know how those can trend. 
 

 

Miller A rse

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

AI stuff pretty far offshore. But, we watch. 

Watch it be a SOP deal......I'd hang myself with a mistletoe before we even hit mid December.

[WinterWolf]

I thought the Wednesday deal was a SWFE if it happens? Thought that was what this pattern was likely to produce, if it did produce? 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Watch it be a SOP deal......I'd hang myself with a mistletoe before we even hit mid December.

If that happens it’s Kevin ftw. Not here. 

[kdxken]

9 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Start stocking up on groceries now:

We can always add to the totals as we get closer.

[WinterWolf]

But then again, Kevin and Tiger torch said yesterday, that it’s a shame to see it all just slipping away.  So I guess there’s that…right? Fast flow..cold all bottled up in Canada. Pacific sucks..that’s the word from DIT and TT. 

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If that happens it’s Kevin ftw. Not here. 

Nah..it’s slipping away..all of it. You hate to see it., 

[Damage In Tolland]

That pack will last and stay OTG with all that cold behind it 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That pack will last and stay OTG with all that cold behind it 

It’s slipping away bro..no pack for us. Cold all bottled up…

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That pack will last and stay OTG with all that cold behind it 

Maybe we can sublimate it away.