SnowGoose69 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Icon slightly more south That is about my guess for the moment on what happens. I think it'll be extremely hard to get this to be heavily frozen this far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I'm in the camp that risks with Boxing day event point towards more suppression vs P-type actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 0z and especially 06z EPS mean and members show some serious CAD on Friday. Love the thermal gradient even on the means, with mid teens in ENY and 50s in SWPA. If this stays south or shifts further south we're likely to lose some of the QPF too, which is a fair tradeoff I think. We could also see a snap back north today after a major shift south. Fun times when there are multiple threats inside 5 days to track! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, NittanyWx said: I'm in the camp that risks with Boxing day event point towards more suppression vs P-type actually. We have a pretty strong split this morning on social media as well as through friends who are Mets on the potential. I think about half say this could become a SNJ/SE PA mostly event and others saying this is a BDL/BOS bullseye. I do think even if we lean towards suppression its likely a fringer here and a bullseye in Philly. I don't know if this is Virginia special territory really. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago AI gfs south again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Soon we will have to worry about this going south of us at this rate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: We have a pretty strong split this morning on social media as well as through friends who are Mets on the potential. I think about half say this could become a SNJ/SE PA mostly event and others saying this is a BDL/BOS bullseye. I do think even if we lean towards suppression its likely a fringer here and a bullseye in Philly. I don't know if this is Virginia special territory really. I tend to agree, it's a very fine needle to thread. I do think a light snow event via suppression is more likely than a Boston bullseye at this moment though. But to me the suppression risk and a miss is the real risk here...much more than p-type cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Snowlover11 said: Soon we will have to worry about this going south of us at this rate Gfs will be also south this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Maybe this misses south. But I say, let's get to the modeled cold side first to avoid rain and then hope it nudges north in the short range when model changes tend to be smaller. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Gfs is colder but precip is north . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 21 this morning. Chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago GFS looks pretty good and better than 6Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago A a very rare *run* where all would be happy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I opened a thread for this potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: I opened a thread for this potential Too soon for accumulations. Keep it generic for now 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Gfs has another wave that trended colder for Sunday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 14 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: A a very rare *run* where all would be happy Let me guess. You're not from LI or the northern and northeast suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 23 minutes ago, psv88 said: 21 this morning. Chilly 28 here. The sound giveth and the sound taketh away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 15 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Let me guess. You're not from LI or the northern and northeast suburbs. Even those areas see a 3-5 event with the exception of far eastern LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Cmc has some snow for Sunday Very active pattern coming up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Cmc has some snow for Sunday Very active pattern coming up No shortage of storms that's for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Cmc has some snow for Sunday Very active pattern coming up Jersey snow hole seems to think you're hysterical. I'm feeling some kind of imbalance there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc has some snow for Sunday Very active pattern coming up I like that it's an unusual pattern for our winters. Will be fun to see how it plays out. I noticed you have a jersey hole shadow. You might want to consider a restraining order. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Even if nothing materializes for us, the fact that we're at least tracking threats nearby is far better than wall to wall warmth that looked to be the case a gew days ago. At the very least, it'll be very beneficial for ski resorts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago For reference in light of some of the recent guidance suggesting the potential for a more substantial system late in the week: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: I like that it's an unusual pattern for our winters. Will be fun to see how it plays out. It's going to make it tough on the guys who rely heavily on analog years for the medium to long range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 21 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Jersey snow hole seems to think you're hysterical. I'm feeling some kind of imbalance there. He must be too scared to post. He keeps posting weenies on every post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: He must be too scared to post. He keeps posting weenies on every post. i know a good lawyer who can help... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, psv88 said: i know a good lawyer who can help... I know a few 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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