November Banter 2025

[nw baltimore wx]

37 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I love Outdoors Maryland! I think my most “old person” coded thing is watching that show and Maryland Farm and Harvest on PBS. lol

I do too.  If they could throw in Norm working out of his New England workshop and a Bob Ross episode, I'd be in heaven.

[Eskimo Joe]

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

I love Outdoors Maryland! I think my most “old person” coded thing is watching that show and Maryland Farm and Harvest on PBS. lol

Bro we are the same.

[Jebman]

I am an outstanding forecaster as the same areas continue to get drowned by heavy rain and Austin remains drier than a proverbial popcorn fart. That Curl Pattern always leaves Austin out to dry. At this time I expect approximately one sixteenth of an inch as the front goes by eventually. Farther west torrential rain continues, provoking more flooding.

 

Edit - Sun's been out. Mostly cloudy with a nice wind and still no rain. It's truly amazing, looking at all that torrential rain about 60 to 120 miles west of us, curling right past Austin nearly into West Virginia!!!!! Lots places getting a good deal of rain! Washington, DC's next!

Front should go by late tonight, giving the new Gobi Desert of central Texas maybe a sprinkle or two then in comes the high winds and chilly weather blowing the dust around. I got 6 inch dust dunes in my pasture from all the dry Gobi winds lol!

Best of luck with the rescues west of us! That heavy rain's been hammering them for twelve straight hours! We're so hard up for water, might have buy some off you guys!

Just another DRY rainless day down here in Gobi, Texas.

[Jebman]

Hays County where I reside, been dropped from the flood watch. It's done. We transition to the Pacific air mass with little to no rain as the central Texan Gobi Desert continues to develop unopposed by significant precip amid the Nina.  

I knew it all along. Texas is transitioning to a much drier climate even as millions of legal people rapidly move in as more and more businesses come to Austin. One day very soon, WATER will be nearly as expensive  as GOLD down here.

1) Wells dry up.

2) No water at all.

3) Water has to be paid for and Austin is already using up the Colorado River so water will need to be piped in from the Pac Northwest. It's gonnabe PRICEY.

4) Wealthy folks will move out, to moister places like New Orleans. I'd love that place, rain all the time and one hell of a nightlife, I'd do things that'd make RavensRule blush with total embarrassment! I am most assuredly, NOT conservative no more! I am going to do stuff in late life that will make Solomon of old's late life look like one of Billy Graham's sons' dedication to g-d.

 

EDIT: Keeping things 100 - yes we did get a brief shower, it did wet the pavement but will do nothing for our water needs or agriculture needs. We still have millions of legal people moving to central TX along with businesses and the wells will dry up then water will cost a sizable fraction of our annual income forcing people to leave for wetter climes.

We have now been officially MISSED by this weather system. We will miss the next one in a couple days as well. We will be dry and desertification will continue apace in central TX.

Winds are gusting to 15-25mph straight out of the north, Pac front hit us, some bit of rain is scudding by. This is just another day in the Gobi Desert of central Texas. Dry conditions continue apace.

RAIN FUTILITY MARKERS

1) Rain delayed is rain denied or at least greatly reduced.

2) The Curly Pattern near Austin invalidates upper level low rains and Pacific frontal rains.

3) La Nina will keep Austin 15 degrees above normal and rainless for the most part. We have consistently been 15 degrees above normal with high temperatures. Last night the low was 73. Normal low is 48. NORMAL HIGH is 66 !!!! OUCH. This is becoming normal in autumn down here.

4) Differences between air masses temperatures and humidities mean absolutely NOTHING down here. Thermodynamics mean absolutely NOTHING down here. Forecasters routinely get humbled. If it were 95 degrees with 73 dews in Austin and a Polar front with 47/35 air hits us, it would get cold but rain would be minimal to none. Not sure why but this is our new normal down here. Upper level lows and fronts do next to nothing here besides changing the air mass.

MORE WILL BE ADDED.

 

[Jebman]

The Washington DC Metropolitan Region will get beneficial rains from the system that just missed us. You guys are downstream of us and will benefit from this weather system as it continues to develop as it translates E/NE with time. Another rainmaker will help Washington out right after that. Same reason come December/January/February you will see snows from the intersection of moisture contributions from Texas and the Gulf of Mexico and cold air.

Our misses and failures will become YOUR BIG STORM DIRECT HITS ON YOUR ENTIRE SUB this entire winter! First beneficial rains, later translating into really good snows that will pile up and wear out your backs as you will be forced to dig snow after snow after snow!

[nj2va]

Ovi hat trick!

[pazzo83]

1 hour ago, nj2va said:

Ovi hat trick!

lol caps are like - oh wait, maybe we should score more goals

[Jebman]

Mammoth is getting hit by even more snow - this was definitely NOT in the forecast tonight!

They have 3-4 inches MORE fresh snow since 6pm and MORE on the way overnight! They just opened today!

Even the Village level got hit! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village

Woolly Lot needs a Plow!!!! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

That snow is blowing in the Lights at the Main Lodge!

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge

 

[wxmeddler]

On 11/19/2025 at 9:27 PM, Eskimo Joe said:

Congrats to @wxmeddlerfor his work on the statewide mesonet, and his first TV appearance!

https://video.mpt.tv/video/tracking-local-weather-a-hidden-whale-highway-maryland-big-tree-program-zhvzir/

Definitely not my first TV experience seeing how I was on air almost every weekend for a time. But! It was really fun working with the Outdoors MD crew! Super fun to work with and loved their stories of working other segments. Their videographer who does all the underwater stuff left for Greenland to film sharks just after we wrapped. Lucky.

[Interstate]

I am surprised the Orioles tendered an offer to Mountcastle. 

[nw baltimore wx]

Nothing questionable that the Orioles do surprises me. 

[Jebman]

Look, I KNOW I'm a damn broken record about this, but Mammoth's OPEN!

You GOTTA see this!

It`s Opening Weekend and the stoke is high!!!!!

All the best snow in the whole world is waiting for you at Mammoth! It's only 3-4 hours away by plane! This is one of the BEST-EVER montages of all the FUN you WILL experience at Mammoth Ski Resort!

https://www.mammothmountain.com/

Oh, and Palisades Tahoe is opening in only 4 days!!!

[WxUSAF]

Found @Jis burner account 

 

[Chris78]

I see we're already canceling winter in the long range thread. 

Couldn't even make it to Thanksgiving.  

[Blizzard of 93]

7 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I see we're already canceling winter in the long range thread. 

Couldn't even make it to Thanksgiving.  

It’s really outrageous that some people already should consider taking a break for a few days before Winter even starts.

The same posters were very optimistic 2 days ago…

A few weather tweets that aren’t epic & suddenly a couple of folks are ready to cliff dive, Lol!

[mappy]

1 hour ago, Chris78 said:

I see we're already canceling winter in the long range thread. 

Couldn't even make it to Thanksgiving.  

This why I don’t look at that thread. Can’t cancel it if there was a chance for big snow that disappeared if I never knew it existed to begin with. 

[Chris78]

40 minutes ago, mappy said:

This why I don’t look at that thread. Can’t cancel it if there was a chance for big snow that disappeared if I never knew it existed to begin with. 

A few of the same people that were hyping December just 48 hours ago are now crapping all over the winter. 

 

 

[NorthArlington101]

Some of the earliest reapings on record today 

[nj2va]

24 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Some of the earliest reapings on record today 

Aldie said it well…people are dumb

[mappy]

58 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

A few of the same people that were hyping December just 48 hours ago are now crapping all over the winter. 

 

 

Par for the course around here lol

[NorthArlington101]

1 hour ago, nj2va said:

Aldie said it well…people are dumb

Don't tell them Eric Webb is getting excited about early December snow... for New Mexico

[Stormchaserchuck1]

I always have hard time realizing that people are illogical. It like really evokes some nasty stuff when warm forecasts are mentioned, for what I would say is a majority. 

[Jebman]

7 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Found @Jis burner account 

 

I got the Cure for that. It can torch Nino all it wants then NIno to Eternity.

All you need is a place called Mammoth Mountain Ski Resort or the Canadien Rockies at 16,000 feet in January. It would be -20 Fahrenheit, 175 mph winds and blinding snow and the skiing's great in the Canadien Rockies, real pow snow and no melting for 11.9 months out of the year. No one has to put up with global warming no longer, It will never be too warm for snow and winter in the Sierra, the Cascades or the Canadien Rockies or especially the Brooks Range in Alaska. You go high enough in the Rockies snow NEVER melts.

I'm crazy as all hell but I still want an all-out Ice Age, with snow 13,000 feet deep, 100 mph winds and -100 degree cold. I am no better than I was in high school. The school board kicked my sorry ass out of Gar Field High in 1981. I just would not stop taking weather readings in class or drawing cross sections of cold fronts displacing hot air and changing rain to torrential snow.

I am sick to death of summer in November in Texas. I am back to wishing for an all-out AMOC Shutdown and the return of an Ice Age Earth. We can always live in the deep underground military bases if need be. We can defeat the hybrid creatures that live in the deeper levels 4 miles down, They have a Mach 2 maglev transport system under there and it is global. I demand: snow 13,000 feet deep, minus 100 degree high temps, and constant blasting by severe gales and 200 story drifts in a milkshake-like environment. This was the way I expressed myslef in high school and it is no surprise I finally got my ass kicked right out of the public school system, in 1981 when I was in 11th Grade. They'd had enough. Well, I have had enough of summer in November. It'll be summer in Texas the next three months. I'm fed up. I want extreme cold deep ice and snow and watch everyone fall down and bust their tailbone! All while I happily blast Ken Carson at 200 decibels!

This has been a classic Jebman Presentation, 2025 I'm Tired of Summer Edition.

Carry on.