November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[DavisStraight]

45 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Thats one of the places I eventually want to end up. Perfect for snow and cold with cooler Summers.. my area will do for now though 

There's always Valdez Alaska

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Zzzzz

I'll take it. Absolute beauty today. 44° and no clouds. Wouldn't be surprised to see 50°. 

 

 

[MJO812]

Models keep overestimating the ridge in the long range just to lessen it when the time gets closer. We are in a weak la Nina. The south east ridge shouldn't be strong. 

[toller65]

There's always Valdez Alaska

My son is in Valdez, beautiful place

Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk

[MJO812]

PV is dipping further south on the gfs. Overrunning looking interesting during the 1st week of december.

[brooklynwx99]

the trend towards more of a wave break in the Pacific might make the first week of the month interesting... more of a -EPO, which displaces more cold air south. combine that with some lingering vorticity in the SW, and overrunning opportunities may present themselves

[moneypitmike]

GFS shows my new Pit1 getting more snow than Pit2 next week.

Sell.  Sell.  Sell.

 

[Lava Rock]

2 hours ago, kdxken said:

I'll take it. Absolute beauty today. 44° and no clouds. Wouldn't be surprised to see 50°. 

 

 

Watched Train Dreams last night. Decent flick and reminded me of your profession.

[ORH_wxman]

1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

the trend towards more of a wave break in the Pacific might make the first week of the month interesting... more of a -EPO, which displaces more cold air south. combine that with some lingering vorticity in the SW, and overrunning opportunities may present themselves

12z GFS def had several chances in the long range. That period after about 12/2 gets pretty interesting. There’s still risk that we end up on the warm side but I like seeing a lot of reinforcing PV shots into SE Canada…that’s ultimately what will give us the confluence and antecedent airmass we need. So the more reinforcing shots that we see on guidance, the better our chances. 

[MJO812]

Euro has also trended colder in the mid range

[WxWatcher007]

Big day. We have the keys now…just have to move stuff across the village (not that far, SLK is tiny) in the coming weeks. 

The VP2 should be here next week and then I will have official WXW2 obs. Siting will be blah since basically anywhere I put it will have rain shadowing/wind issues. 

Front yard faces east and south so it gets torched. Backyard is quite nice and the opposite side is north so good spot to get a snow stake up.

First snow depth measurement is between 0-6”. My likely measuring spot is at 4.5”.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Big day. We have the keys now…just have to move stuff across the village (not that far, SLK is tiny) in the coming weeks. 

The VP2 should be here next week and then I will have official WXW2 obs. Siting will be blah since basically anywhere I put it will have rain shadowing/wind issues. 

Front yard faces east and south so it gets torched. Backyard is quite nice and the opposite side is north so good spot to get a snow stake up.

First snow depth measurement is between 0-6”. My likely measuring spot is at 4.5”.

So no more East Hartford?

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Front yard faces east and south so it gets torched.

Sorry but you get a  for worrying about a torched SE lawn in SLK.

[WinterWolf]

21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Big day. We have the keys now…just have to move stuff across the village (not that far, SLK is tiny) in the coming weeks. 

The VP2 should be here next week and then I will have official WXW2 obs. Siting will be blah since basically anywhere I put it will have rain shadowing/wind issues. 

Front yard faces east and south so it gets torched. Backyard is quite nice and the opposite side is north so good spot to get a snow stake up.

First snow depth measurement is between 0-6”. My likely measuring spot is at 4.5”.

Well if your front yard faces southeast, then your back should be northwest right. If you’re looking at your backyard, then move to the right some…that should be north I’d imagine. 

[Torch Tiger]

[WxWatcher007]

27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So no more East Hartford?

I’ll still be there most of the time. We have a house I don’t want to sell anytime soon. EH is still home for me, and I have work (obviously fairly flexible) and my elderly mom. 

Wife and I will just figure out next steps. Six months ago none of this was even imaginable. My life has been a roller coaster since my dad passed in 2021. Lots of twists and turns. I think this is a good one though. 

26 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Sorry but you get a  for worrying about a torched SE lawn in SLK.

  fair

I mean I’m talking about this as it’s -SN under partly sunny skies and 34°. I became PF in less than an hour. 

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Well if your front yard faces southeast, then your back should be northwest right. If you’re looking at your backyard, then move to the right some…that should be north I’d imagine. 

Only us weenies would think about this stuff lol. Front door and yard faces due east. When we originally looked at the place my wife was wondering why I spent so much time looking at the trees.

“Need to know if a westerly wind will put a tree in the bedroom”  

[WinterWolf]

11 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I’ll still be there most of the time. We have a house I don’t want to sell anytime soon. EH is still home for me, and I have work (obviously fairly flexible) and my elderly mom. 

Wife and I will just figure out next steps. Six months ago none of this was even imaginable. My life has been a roller coaster since my dad passed in 2021. Lots of twists and turns. I think this is a good one though. 

  fair

I mean I’m talking about this as it’s -SN under partly sunny skies and 34°. I became PF in less than an hour. 

Only us weenies would think about this stuff lol. Front door and yard faces due east. When we originally looked at the place my wife was wondering why I spent so much time looking at the trees.

“Need to know if a westerly wind will put a tree in the bedroom”  

That’s just like the house I grew up in…front yard and front door faced due east too. So our backyard was due west.  My room faced the front(East), but I had a side small crank out window that faced due north…in rain changing to mixed precip events, I’d  run to my room to listen for any pingers on that north side, if we were forecast to change over. That window would give the first signal of any change over lol, and it took a hell of a beating.

 

Sounds great Don…enjoy your time at both places. 

[DavisStraight]

3 hours ago, toller65 said:

My son is in Valdez, beautiful place

Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk
 

Deep snows in winter up there

[DavisStraight]

4 hours ago, toller65 said:

My son is in Valdez, beautiful place

Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk
 

Is that a Char?

[CoastalWx]

EPS and Euro AI ensemble are interesting. Seems like they hint at overrunning maybe 3-5 of December? 
 

After that the PV tries to sink through Canada while we have the SW US trough. Despite that trough, it would not shock me if there is something Deep South winter briefly before maybe we grab something perhaps the 7th on. 
 

It’s all just sort of speculation, but sometimes the 24hr ensemble mean precip fields can hint at storm tracks. 

[ORH_wxman]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS and Euro AI ensemble are interesting. Seems like they hint at overrunning maybe 3-5 of December? 
 

After that the PV tries to sink through Canada while we have the SW US trough. Despite that trough, it would not shock me if there is something Deep South winter briefly before maybe we grab something perhaps the 7th on. 
 

It’s all just sort of speculation, but sometimes the 24hr ensemble mean precip fields can hint at storm tracks. 

WPO/EPO cold press is really evident after about the 2nd of December. We’ll see if we can cash that in for some snow events but I’m fairly optimistic right now. I’m not full-on weenie mode like you’d see with a PNA ridge going up to Yukon Territory, but given the Niña background state and strong -PDO, this is a pretty good look for us in early December. 
 

Doesn’t mean a whole lot yet, but also I noticed the EPS mean is creeping up little by little for snowfall. It has about 3-6” across SNE now in that Dec 3-9 period. So it def has some members in there producing decent snow. 
 

I do like seeing the consistent low height max in Quebec/Labrador on that 5-day mean H5 anomaly between Dec 3-8. It’s a very good spot to hold in those arctic highs during a SWFE. We haven’t seen much of that since the glory days. 
 

[ineedsnow]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

WPO/EPO cold press is really evident after about the 2nd of December. We’ll see if we can cash that in for some snow events but I’m fairly optimistic right now. I’m not full-on weenie mode like you’d see with a PNA ridge going up to Yukon Territory, but given the Niña background state and strong -PDO, this is a pretty good look for us in early December. 
 

Doesn’t mean a whole lot yet, but also I noticed the EPS mean is creeping up little by little for snowfall. It has about 3-6” across SNE now in that Dec 3-9 period. So it def has some members in there producing decent snow. 
 

I do like seeing the consistent low height max in Quebec/Labrador on that 5-day mean H5 anomaly between Dec 3-8. It’s a very good spot to hold in those arctic highs during a SWFE. We haven’t seen much of that since the glory days. 
 

Usually a little high on.amounts compared to other sites.. but we take!

[CoastalWx]

27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

WPO/EPO cold press is really evident after about the 2nd of December. We’ll see if we can cash that in for some snow events but I’m fairly optimistic right now. I’m not full-on weenie mode like you’d see with a PNA ridge going up to Yukon Territory, but given the Niña background state and strong -PDO, this is a pretty good look for us in early December. 
 

Doesn’t mean a whole lot yet, but also I noticed the EPS mean is creeping up little by little for snowfall. It has about 3-6” across SNE now in that Dec 3-9 period. So it def has some members in there producing decent snow. 
 

I do like seeing the consistent low height max in Quebec/Labrador on that 5-day mean H5 anomaly between Dec 3-8. It’s a very good spot to hold in those arctic highs during a SWFE. We haven’t seen much of that since the glory days. 
 

Yeah some deep cold in SE Canada. 

[powderfreak]

End of day finally tried to clear up a bit right as the sun was going down.

[Baroclinic Zone]

I’m feeling like I should break out of my doldrums and get my mojo going. See how things look late week and may get thread fired up. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I’m feeling like I should break out of my doldrums and get my mojo going. See how things look late week and may get thread fired up. 

Ya Bob…muster up some of that old juice…but as you said not until the end of the week… at the earliest.