November 2025 OBS Discussion

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 71 (1953)
NYC: 71 (1953)
LGA: 72 (1953)
JFK: 64 (2006)

Lows:

EWR: 18 (1933)
NYC: 19 (1933)
LGA: 27 (1959)
JFK: 26 (1959)

 

Historical:

 

1869 - Southwest winds of hurricane force swept the Berkshire and Green Mountains of New England causing extensive forest and structural damage. (David Ludlum)

1894: The temperature at Oklahoma City, OK fell to 9°, establishing their coldest reading for so early in the season. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1927 - A tornado cut a seventeen mile path across Alexandria and southeastern Washington, DC, injuring 31 persons. The tornado struck the Naval Air Station where a wind gust of 93 mph was recorded. A waterspout was seen over the Potomac River ninety minutes later. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1927: A tornado (at times to 260 yards wide) cut a seventeen-mile path through Alexandria, Virginia across the District of Columbia from the Navy yard to Benning Rd. & 19th St. NE and Northeast to East Riverdale, Maryland. This storm injured 31 people. The tornado struck the Naval Air Station where a wind gust of 93 mph was recorded.

1933: A cold wave dropped the minimum temperature to 17 °F in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1953 - The temperature at Minneapolis, MN, reached 71 degrees, their warmest reading of record for so late in the autumn. (The Weather Channel)

1955: An early season cold snap finally came to an end throughout Montana. Helena, MT experienced 138 consecutive hours of subzero temperatures, including a record low of -16°. Other locations from the Northwest to the southern Plains reporting record lows for the date included: Havre, MT: -26°, Sheridan, WY: -13°, Rapid City, SD: -5°, Billings, MT: -6°, Denver, CO: 5°, Spokane, WA: 9°, TX: 23°-Tied, Dallas (DFW), TX: 26°, Dallas, TX: 29°-Tied. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1958: A deep upper level trough covered most of the west bringing record low temperatures. Bishop, CA recorded a low temperature of 5° which is the coldest November reading ever. This also broke their previous record by 11°. It was 10° in Idyllwild, CA tying their lowest temperature on record for November. Other record low temperatures for the date included: Alamosa, CO: -10°, Casper, WY: -9°, Flagstaff, AZ: -8°, Reno, NV: 1°, Burns, OR: 4°, Tucson, AZ: 24°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1959: The most severe November cold wave in U.S. history was in progress. Many locations from the Plains to the Appalachians reported record low temperatures: Williston, ND: -10°, Rapid City, SD: -9°, Duluth, MN: -9°, Aberdeen, SD: -8°, Sioux Falls, SD: -7°, St. Cloud, MN: -6°, Sioux City, IA: -4°, Rochester, MN: -4°, Waterloo, IA: -3°, Grand Island, NE: -2°, Scottsbluff, NE: -2°, Des Moines, IA: -2°, Madison, WI: -1°, Marquette, MI: -1°, Green Bay, WI: 0°, La Crosse, WI: 0°, Rockford, IL: 0°, Milwaukee, WI: 1°, Houghton Lake, MI: 1°, Chicago, IL: 3°, Peoria, IL: 3°, Columbia, MO: 4°, Springfield, MO: 4°, Springfield, IL: 4°, Indianapolis, IN: 4°, South Bend, IN: 4°, Ste. St. Marie, MI: 4°, Lincoln, NE: 5°, Topeka, KS: 5°, St. Louis, MO: 6°, Fort Wayne, IN: 6°, Kansas City, MO: 7°, Lansing, MI: 7°, Wichita, KS: 8°, Grand Rapids, MI: 9°, Dayton, OH: 9°, Lubbock, TX: 10°, Evansville, IN: 10°, Cincinnati, OH: 10°, Toledo, OH: 10°, Tulsa, OK: 11°, Pittsburgh, PA: 11°, Lexington, KY: 12°, Paducah, KY: 12°, Detroit, MI: 13°, Columbus, OH: 13°, Louisville, KY: 13°, Buffalo, NY: 13° ,Cleveland, OH: 14° , Wichita Falls, TX: 15°, Rochester, NY: 15° -Tied, Charleston, WV: 16°, Huntington, WV: 16° -Tied, Abilene, TX: 17°, Nashville, TN: 18°, Dallas (DFW), TX: 20°, San Angelo, TX: 20°, Bristol, TN: 20°, Dallas, TX: 21°, Oak Ridge, TN: 24°, Waco, TX: 25°, Austin, TX: 28°, San Antonio, TX: 30°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1987 - A storm in the Rockies produced 21 inches of snow at the Monarch ski resort in Colorado, with 14 inches reported at Steamboat Springs CO. Early morning thunderstorms in the southeastern U.S. drenched Mary Esther FL with 4.43 inches of rain. Gale force winds over the Great Lakes Region gusted to 49 mph at Johnstown PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Another in a series of storms brought heavy snow to the mountains of the western U.S. Totals ranged up to 17 inches at Bob Scott Summit in Nevada. Winds around Reno NV gusted to 80 mph. The Alta and Sundance ski resorts in Utah received 14 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Freezing temperatures overspread the southeastern U.S. in the wake of the severe weather outbreak of the previous two days. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Gilbert AR with a reading of 8 degrees. A fast moving storm blanketed the Great Lakes Region and Upper Ohio Valley with snow during the night. Totals ranged up to 12 inches at Pellston MI and Little Valley NY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2008: Santa Ana winds blew across southern California courtesy of high pressure across the Great Basin. Winds gusted over 70 mph in the Santa Ana Mountains and over 60 mph in the northern Inland Empire. The Freeway Complex Fire burned from Corona through Chino Hills and Yorba Linda. This fire destroyed or damaged over 300 homes and four businesses. More than 30,000 acres burned and more than 40,000 evacuated. The ridge was responsible for record high temperatures including: Downtown Los Angeles, CA: 91°, Phoenix, AZ: 87°, Tucson, AZ: 87°, Bakersfield, CA: 84°, Hanford, CA: 82°, Merced, CA: 82°, Fresno, CA: 81°, Las Vegas,NV: 81°, Madera, CA: 80°, Bishop, CA: 77°, San Francisco, VA: 73°-Tied, Eugene, OR: 70°-Tied, Ely, NV: 69°-Tied and Quillayute, WA: 60°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

 

2013: An unusually powerful storm system spun up five dozen tornadoes from the Great Lakes to the Tennessee Valley. Two EF4 twisters struck Illinois, hitting the communities of Washington and New Minden. 

2014: As of the midday hours on Tuesday Nov. 18th, an unofficial snowfall measurement of 60 inches has been recorded in the past 24 hours in Lackawanna, New York, just south of Buffalo. However, snowfall of 4 feet or more has been observed in some of the south towns. Depending on the investigation of snowfall measurement activities, and if the intense snow continues through the evening Tuesday, there is a chance the 24-hour United States snowfall record may fall. That official record belongs to Silver Lake, Colorado, with 76 inches, spanning April 14-15, 1921. A report of snowfall of 77 inches in 24 hours at Montague, New York, was thrown out by officials from January 1997. Snowfall measurement of 60 inches just south of Buffalo, NY

[bluewave]

29 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Christmas 2002 was awesome. Totally out of the blue 6-8” in a few hours mostly with the closed ULL wraparound. I think the forecast was 1-3” but the low closed off in a great spot and the snow wrapped around from upstate NY. 

That was really my only time in Long Beach when a .50 of rain with thunder and low 40s ever transitioned into greater than a 6” snowstorm.

 

[Brian5671]

22 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Christmas 2002 was awesome. Totally out of the blue 6-8” in a few hours mostly with the closed ULL wraparound. I think the forecast was 1-3” but the low closed off in a great spot and the snow wrapped around from upstate NY. 

One of the rare times backside snow worked out around here.  Had about 8-9 inches of cement from that one here...

[Sundog]

33 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Christmas 2002 was awesome. Totally out of the blue 6-8” in a few hours mostly with the closed ULL wraparound. I think the forecast was 1-3” but the low closed off in a great spot and the snow wrapped around from upstate NY. 

7 to 10 inches here, completely unexpected. Thundersnow by LGA around 4 to 5PM. My car managed to get parked in front of my then girlfriend's house for her parents' Christmas party and there it stayed overnight lol It was a rear wheel drive stick shift with low profile performance tires. Basically the worst combination for driving in heavy, pasty snow. 

 

 

[IrishRob17]

1 hour ago, Tatamy said:

Still a few LE flurries and very light snow showers lurking out here.

Yeah, its been spitting flakes off and on over the past hour in this neck of the woods.

[steve392]

57 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Christmas 2002 was awesome. Totally out of the blue 6-8” in a few hours mostly with the closed ULL wraparound. I think the forecast was 1-3” but the low closed off in a great spot and the snow wrapped around from upstate NY. 

December 2002 was a great winter for me in nj.  Had snow on my birthday 12/8 then it was cold and snow stuck around most of the month till the Christmas storm, then the snows we had the following months then the big blizzard presidents day weekend.

[eduggs]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, but that isn’t really cold for those areas either. Remember, the lows in the UHI zones are proportional to the ones outside the urban areas. Since you aren’t going to get very cold with radiational cooling if the airmass isn’t that cold to begin with.

Even places which great radiational cooling like Saranac Lake have only dropped to 19° by November 16th. This is the 2nd warmest minimum on record through 11-16 at the airport.

I'm not one to argue that climate change isn't having an impact. On the contrary, I believe the regional climate has warmed so significantly that its effects have clearly bled into observable weather statistics.

But just to play devil's advocate regarding Saranac Lake this year... anecdotally it has been a windy, cloudy November up there. The coldest airmasses have not been accompanied by calm, dry conditions. I suspect that somewhat unfavorable conditions for radiational cooling in the Adirondacks thus far this fall are superimposed on a relatively warm background.

[bluewave]

41 minutes ago, eduggs said:

I suspect that somewhat unfavorable conditions for radiational cooling in the Adirondacks thus far this fall are superimposed on a relatively warm background.

Another issue is how warm Canada has been especially since May 2023.

The coldest temperatures for both NYC and Saranac Lake during the 2020s occurred back on 2-4-23. While it was one the warmest winters on record across the Northeast, there was still a decent cold pool near Hudson Bay in February available for that brief Arctic outbreak.

That was the only time during the 2020s that Saranac Lake dropped to -33° and NYC to 3°.
 

Data for February 4, 2023 through February 4, 2023
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

DANNEMORA	COOP	-39
HIGHMARKET 2W	COOP	-35
Saranac Lake Area	ThreadEx	-33
SARANAC LAKE ADIRONDACK REGIONAL AP	WBAN	-33
WATERTOWN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	-33
GOUVERNEUR 3 NW	COOP	-31
THERESA 4NW	COOP	-29
LAKE PLACID 2 S	COOP	-29
COLTON 2 N	COOP	-29
MORRISVILLE 6 SW	COOP	-28
MASSENA INTL AP	WBAN	-28
Newcomb Area	ThreadEx	-27
BOONVILLE 4 SSW	COOP	-27
NEWCOMB	COOP	-27
WATERTOWN	COOP	-27
LOWVILLE	COOP	-26
MALONE	COOP	-26
INDIAN LAKE 2SW	COOP	-25
GLOVERSVILLE 7NW (PECK LAKE)	COOP	-24
Glens Falls Area	ThreadEx	-24
GLENS FALLS/FLOYD BENNETT MEMORIAL AIRPORT	WBAN	-24
SCHROON LAKE NEW YORK	RAWS	-23
TRENTON FALLS	COOP	-23
Plattsburgh Area	ThreadEx	-22
PLATTSBURGH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	-22
SHERBURNE NEW YORK	RAWS	-20
CONKLINGVILLE DAM	COOP	-20
OGDENSBURG 4 NE	COOP	-20
SHERBURNE	COOP	-19
BUSKIRK	COOP	-19
ROME GRIFFISS AIRFIELD	WBAN	-18
SARATOGA SPRINGS 4 SW	COOP	-17
MECKLENBURG 4SW	COOP	-17
COOPERSTOWN	COOP	-16
MEXICO 2SW	COOP	-16
WHITEHALL	COOP	-16
LANSING MANOR	COOP	-16
DELHI 2 SE	COOP	-15
CAMDEN	COOP	-15
SCHOHARIE	COOP	-14
CALLICOON CENTER	COOP	-14
WARSAW 6 SW	COOP	-13
BINGHAMTON (GREATER AP)	WBAN	-13
ALBANY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	-13
FULTON OSWEGO COUNTY AP	WBAN	-13
SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL AP	WBAN	-13
Albany Area	ThreadEx	-13
Binghamton Area	ThreadEx	-13
Syracuse Area	ThreadEx	-13
ALCOVE DAM	COOP	-12
ITHACA CORNELL UNIV	COOP	-12
NORWICH	COOP	-12
PULASKI	COOP	-12
WALTON 2	COOP	-12
FREEVILLE 1 NE	COOP	-11
BATAVIA	WBAN	-11
WYOMING 3W	COOP	-11
ITHACA 13 E	WBAN	-11
LIBERTY 1 NE	COOP	-10
OLEAN	COOP	-10
EAST SIDNEY	COOP	-10
HEMLOCK	COOP	-10
CARMEL 4N	COOP	-10
MILLBROOK 3 W	WBAN	-10
MONTICELLO SULLIVAN	WBAN	-9
ANGELICA	COOP	-9
AURORA RESEARCH FARM	COOP	-9
Oswego Area	ThreadEx	-9
BREWERTON LOCK 23	COOP	-9
OSWEGO	WBAN	-9
PENN YAN AIRPORT	WBAN	-9
HORNELL ALMOND DAM	COOP	-8
ALFRED	COOP	-8
AUBURN	COOP	-8
FREDERICK DOUGLASS GREATER ROCHESTER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	-8
HONEOYE	COOP	-8
Rochester Area	ThreadEx	-8
MOHONK LAKE	COOP	-7
GENEVA RESEARCH FARM	COOP	-7
CANANDAIGUA 3 S	COOP	-7
AVON	COOP	-7
Poughkeepsie Area	ThreadEx	-7
GENESEE CO	ICAO	-7
WELLSVILLE MUNICIPAL AP	WBAN	-7
POUGHKEEPSIE/HUDSON VALLEY REGIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	-7
WHITNEY POINT DAM	COOP	-6
CORNING	COOP	-6
ELMIRA CORNING REGIONAL AP	WBAN	-6
LITTLE VALLEY	COOP	-6
FRANKLINVILLE	COOP	-6
STONYKILL NEW YORK	RAWS	-6
MOUNT MORRIS 2W	COOP	-6
VICTOR 2NW	COOP	-6
COLDEN 1W	COOP	-6
ELMIRA	COOP	-5
DANSVILLE	COOP	-5
WELLSVILLE	COOP	-5
GANG MILLS NEW YORK	RAWS	-5
WALES	COOP	-5
MACEDON LOCK E30	COOP	-5
SODUS 1W	COOP	-5
BROCKPORT	COOP	-5
FULTON	COOP	-5
WAVERLY	COOP	-5
DANSVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT	WBAN	-4
SHRUB OAK	COOP	-4
PORT JERVIS	COOP	-4
MATTITUCK	COOP	-4
WEBSTER 2 NE	COOP	-4
MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP	WBAN	-3
CATTARAUGUS 3W	COOP	-3
WEST POINT	COOP	-2
ORIENT POINT STATE PARK	COOP	-2
ALBION	COOP	-2
PERRYSBURG	COOP	-2
RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM	COOP	-1
ALLEGANY STATE PARK	COOP	-1
WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP	WBAN	0
UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK	COOP	0
BUFFALO NIAGARA INTERNATIONAL AIRPOR	WBAN	0
NORTH TONAWANDA	COOP	0
MONTAUK AIRPORT	WBAN	0
Buffalo Area	ThreadEx	0
WESTCHESTER CO AP	WBAN	1
SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT	WBAN	1
ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP	WBAN	3
NY CITY CENTRAL PARK	WBAN	3

 

[wdrag]

12z/17 cycle in: No thread for the ECMWF first minor barely measurable snow NYC CP 09z/19 and the enthusiastic 11/30 I95 event which should soon be model abandoned- but offers some sort of hope?   EC Ensembles are not enthusiastic for measurable snow NYC CP this month  but the 12z cycle continues with a potentially wind advisory day sometime between 11/29-12/2. Right now ensembles are saying MAX G around 35 MPH then but for a 300+ hour ensemble, that is noticeably on the high side. 

 

 

[Sundog]

Euro has major Canadian cold in fantasy land

[MJO812]

40 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Euro has major Canadian cold in fantasy land

And a little snow event 

[weathermedic]

Some of the area airports still gusting to 40mph or higher on the NWS OBS page.

[lee59]

33 the high gust here

[Sundog]

Very chilly today

[Gravity Wave]

9 hours ago, bluewave said:

That was really my only time in Long Beach when a .50 of rain with thunder and low 40s ever transitioned into greater than a 6” snowstorm.

Great storm, I was growing up in Allentown at the time and it flipped to snow just after 8:00 as we were starting to open presents. 

[psv88]

45 for the high today. Farmingdale still gusting to 40. My neighbors grill cover…the metal part…blew into my yard last night. Crazy stuff 

[Wannabehippie]

11 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 71 (1953)
NYC: 71 (1953)
LGA: 72 (1953)
JFK: 64 (2006)

Lows:

EWR: 18 (1933)
NYC: 19 (1933)
LGA: 27 (1959)
JFK: 26 (1959)

 

Historical:

 

1869 - Southwest winds of hurricane force swept the Berkshire and Green Mountains of New England causing extensive forest and structural damage. (David Ludlum)

1894: The temperature at Oklahoma City, OK fell to 9°, establishing their coldest reading for so early in the season. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1927 - A tornado cut a seventeen mile path across Alexandria and southeastern Washington, DC, injuring 31 persons. The tornado struck the Naval Air Station where a wind gust of 93 mph was recorded. A waterspout was seen over the Potomac River ninety minutes later. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1927: A tornado (at times to 260 yards wide) cut a seventeen-mile path through Alexandria, Virginia across the District of Columbia from the Navy yard to Benning Rd. & 19th St. NE and Northeast to East Riverdale, Maryland. This storm injured 31 people. The tornado struck the Naval Air Station where a wind gust of 93 mph was recorded.

1933: A cold wave dropped the minimum temperature to 17 °F in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1953 - The temperature at Minneapolis, MN, reached 71 degrees, their warmest reading of record for so late in the autumn. (The Weather Channel)

1955: An early season cold snap finally came to an end throughout Montana. Helena, MT experienced 138 consecutive hours of subzero temperatures, including a record low of -16°. Other locations from the Northwest to the southern Plains reporting record lows for the date included: Havre, MT: -26°, Sheridan, WY: -13°, Rapid City, SD: -5°, Billings, MT: -6°, Denver, CO: 5°, Spokane, WA: 9°, TX: 23°-Tied, Dallas (DFW), TX: 26°, Dallas, TX: 29°-Tied. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1958: A deep upper level trough covered most of the west bringing record low temperatures. Bishop, CA recorded a low temperature of 5° which is the coldest November reading ever. This also broke their previous record by 11°. It was 10° in Idyllwild, CA tying their lowest temperature on record for November. Other record low temperatures for the date included: Alamosa, CO: -10°, Casper, WY: -9°, Flagstaff, AZ: -8°, Reno, NV: 1°, Burns, OR: 4°, Tucson, AZ: 24°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1959: The most severe November cold wave in U.S. history was in progress. Many locations from the Plains to the Appalachians reported record low temperatures: Williston, ND: -10°, Rapid City, SD: -9°, Duluth, MN: -9°, Aberdeen, SD: -8°, Sioux Falls, SD: -7°, St. Cloud, MN: -6°, Sioux City, IA: -4°, Rochester, MN: -4°, Waterloo, IA: -3°, Grand Island, NE: -2°, Scottsbluff, NE: -2°, Des Moines, IA: -2°, Madison, WI: -1°, Marquette, MI: -1°, Green Bay, WI: 0°, La Crosse, WI: 0°, Rockford, IL: 0°, Milwaukee, WI: 1°, Houghton Lake, MI: 1°, Chicago, IL: 3°, Peoria, IL: 3°, Columbia, MO: 4°, Springfield, MO: 4°, Springfield, IL: 4°, Indianapolis, IN: 4°, South Bend, IN: 4°, Ste. St. Marie, MI: 4°, Lincoln, NE: 5°, Topeka, KS: 5°, St. Louis, MO: 6°, Fort Wayne, IN: 6°, Kansas City, MO: 7°, Lansing, MI: 7°, Wichita, KS: 8°, Grand Rapids, MI: 9°, Dayton, OH: 9°, Lubbock, TX: 10°, Evansville, IN: 10°, Cincinnati, OH: 10°, Toledo, OH: 10°, Tulsa, OK: 11°, Pittsburgh, PA: 11°, Lexington, KY: 12°, Paducah, KY: 12°, Detroit, MI: 13°, Columbus, OH: 13°, Louisville, KY: 13°, Buffalo, NY: 13° ,Cleveland, OH: 14° , Wichita Falls, TX: 15°, Rochester, NY: 15° -Tied, Charleston, WV: 16°, Huntington, WV: 16° -Tied, Abilene, TX: 17°, Nashville, TN: 18°, Dallas (DFW), TX: 20°, San Angelo, TX: 20°, Bristol, TN: 20°, Dallas, TX: 21°, Oak Ridge, TN: 24°, Waco, TX: 25°, Austin, TX: 28°, San Antonio, TX: 30°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1987 - A storm in the Rockies produced 21 inches of snow at the Monarch ski resort in Colorado, with 14 inches reported at Steamboat Springs CO. Early morning thunderstorms in the southeastern U.S. drenched Mary Esther FL with 4.43 inches of rain. Gale force winds over the Great Lakes Region gusted to 49 mph at Johnstown PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Another in a series of storms brought heavy snow to the mountains of the western U.S. Totals ranged up to 17 inches at Bob Scott Summit in Nevada. Winds around Reno NV gusted to 80 mph. The Alta and Sundance ski resorts in Utah received 14 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Freezing temperatures overspread the southeastern U.S. in the wake of the severe weather outbreak of the previous two days. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Gilbert AR with a reading of 8 degrees. A fast moving storm blanketed the Great Lakes Region and Upper Ohio Valley with snow during the night. Totals ranged up to 12 inches at Pellston MI and Little Valley NY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2008: Santa Ana winds blew across southern California courtesy of high pressure across the Great Basin. Winds gusted over 70 mph in the Santa Ana Mountains and over 60 mph in the northern Inland Empire. The Freeway Complex Fire burned from Corona through Chino Hills and Yorba Linda. This fire destroyed or damaged over 300 homes and four businesses. More than 30,000 acres burned and more than 40,000 evacuated. The ridge was responsible for record high temperatures including: Downtown Los Angeles, CA: 91°, Phoenix, AZ: 87°, Tucson, AZ: 87°, Bakersfield, CA: 84°, Hanford, CA: 82°, Merced, CA: 82°, Fresno, CA: 81°, Las Vegas,NV: 81°, Madera, CA: 80°, Bishop, CA: 77°, San Francisco, VA: 73°-Tied, Eugene, OR: 70°-Tied, Ely, NV: 69°-Tied and Quillayute, WA: 60°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

 

2013: An unusually powerful storm system spun up five dozen tornadoes from the Great Lakes to the Tennessee Valley. Two EF4 twisters struck Illinois, hitting the communities of Washington and New Minden. 

2014: As of the midday hours on Tuesday Nov. 18th, an unofficial snowfall measurement of 60 inches has been recorded in the past 24 hours in Lackawanna, New York, just south of Buffalo. However, snowfall of 4 feet or more has been observed in some of the south towns. Depending on the investigation of snowfall measurement activities, and if the intense snow continues through the evening Tuesday, there is a chance the 24-hour United States snowfall record may fall. That official record belongs to Silver Lake, Colorado, with 76 inches, spanning April 14-15, 1921. A report of snowfall of 77 inches in 24 hours at Montague, New York, was thrown out by officials from January 1997. Snowfall measurement of 60 inches just south of Buffalo, NY

Are the two tornadoes in 1927 the same tornado?

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will be another cool day with highs topping out in the 40s. Below normal temperatures will prevail through at least Wednesday and possibly Thursday. Highs will be mainly in the middle and upper 40s in New York City with lows in the middle and upper 30s.

A milder pattern will likely develop during the latter part of the week. Some rain or rain showers are possible. Once in place, the milder pattern could continue for a week or longer. 

Meanwhile, today will be Central Park's 1,388th consecutive day without daily snowfall of 4" or more. The record of 1,394 days was set during February 22, 1929 through December 16, 1932. That stretch ended with 6.7" daily snowfall on December 17, 1932.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around November 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.16°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.65°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through at least mid-winter.

The SOI was +19.47 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.297 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 62% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.5° (0.5° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.2° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[the_other_guy]

11 hours ago, bluewave said:

That was really my only time in Long Beach when a .50 of rain with thunder and low 40s ever transitioned into greater than a 6” snowstorm.

 

The Christmas of a lifetime. The whole family was over and drunk and we opened the door and holy shit!

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, the_other_guy said:

The Christmas of a lifetime. The whole family was over and drunk and we opened the door and holy shit!

My family couldn't believe it also. I was forecasted to get just a dusting.  Ended up with 5 inches.

[donsutherland1]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

My family couldn't believe it also. I was forecasted to get just a dusting.  Ended up with 5 inches.

The following morning:

[psv88]

I think we got 8-9” out in Suffolk. That backend really blew up and crushed us. I was driving to and from JFK and saw the rain/snow line. 

[psv88]

Snow totals from the storm.

https://www.qsl.net/n2sln/stormtot25122002.html

[eduggs]

Just about every 0z model shows some snow or rain/snow mix for parts of EPA through Warren, Sussex, and Morris counties in NJ overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. It's mostly a narrow strip at the northern edge of a decaying precipitation shield, but a few models mix in some snow across a wider area. It's an overnight deal that most won't even notice and it's certainly not a sexy storm. The other problem is surface temperatures in the mid-30s. But I believe there's a chance for an inch or two of snow in a few spots above 1000ft along the northern edge of the steady light precipitation. That's more likely to occur in CPA, but if it holds together long enough, parts of NJ might be in play. The NAM looks overdone but RGEM/GFS/ECM/ICON look plausible. Note the images show 10:1 snow accumulation even though actual accumulations are unlikely in lower elevations due to surface temperatures.

0z NAM

0z RGEM

[psv88]

Upton has “rain/snow” in its forecast for northern half of Long Island tomorrow night 

[STORMANLI]

Would not be surprised at a coating. No sun to contend with.

Early-season over-performer. 

See what HRRR comes up with.

[bluewave]

Record number of days this year and month with maximum wind gusts at or above 40 mph across the area by a wide margin due to all the storms racing by to our north. 

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=140&network=NJ_ASOS&station=EWR&syear=1900&sday=1101&eday=1117&varname=max_wind_gust&w=aoa&thres=40&year=2025&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

[wdrag]

No thread subforum...posted thoughts in nw suburbs thread but I think Bronx NY will see a rain/wet snow mix 3A-9A Wednesday but no accumulation on pavement--- too warm I think. 

[SACRUS]

33 / 20 clear now.  Clouds showers / snow showers later and overnight.  Overall warmer than normal a few days much above normal between the 19 - 27.   Trough into the Northeast towards the close of the month.  Perhaps a phased change to a more sustained below normal  - colder into the first week of next month.

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 73 (1963)
NYC: 73 (1928)
LGA: 72 (1953)
JFK: 70 (1924)


Lows:

EWR: 19 (1936)
NYC: 18 (1936)
LGA: 22 (1959)
JFK: 21 (1959)

Historical:


1873: A severe storm raged from Georgia to Nova Scotia causing great losses to fishing fleets along the coast. In Maine, the barometric pressure reached 28.49 inches at Portland.Boston, Massachusetts recorded its lowest November pressure of 28.73 inches of mercury. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) (David Ludlum)

1891: Highest barometer reading ever recorded for November 30.85 inches at WBO at that time. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1921: 54 inches of snow and sleet closed the Columbia River Highway around The Dalles, OR area. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1953: The temperature at Minneapolis, MN, reached 71 degrees, their warmest reading of record for so late in the autumn. (The Weather Channel) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1955: An early season cold snap finally came to an end. Helena MT experienced 138 consecutive hours of subzero temperatures, including a reading of 29 below zero, which surpassed by seven degrees their previous record for the month of November. Missoula MT broke their November record by 12 degrees with a reading of 23 below zero, and Salt Lake City, UT smashed their previous November record of zero with a reading of 14 below. Heavy snow in the Great Basin closed Donner Pass, CA, and total crop damage from the cold wave amounted to eleven million dollars. (David Ludlum)

1957: A tornado, 100 yards in width, traveled a nearly "straight as an arrow" 27-mile path from near Rosa, AL to near Albertville, AL, killing three persons. A home in the Susan Moore community in Blount County was picked up and dropped 500 feet away killing one person. (The Weather Channel)

1967: A moist subtropical storm that started on this day ended on the 21st. 14+ inches of precipitation fell in the mountains above Los Angeles, CA, 7.96 inches fell at Los Angeles. Flooding was called the “worst since 1934.” Two people were killed and 400 others were stranded in the mountains due to closed highways.: (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1986: The first of two successive snowstorms struck the northeastern U.S. The storm produced up to 20 inches of snow in southern New Hampshire. Two days later a second storm produced up to 30 inches of snow in northern Maine. (Ref. Storm Data)

1987: It was a windy day across parts of the nation. Gale force winds whipped the Great Lakes Region. Winds gusting to 80 mph in western New York State damaged buildings and flipped over flatbed trailers at Churchville. In Montana, high winds in the Upper Yellowstone Valley gusted to 64 mph at Livingston. Strong Santa Ana winds buffeted the mountains and valleys of southern California. (Ref. The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988: Thunderstorms developing along a warm front drenched Little Rock, AR with 7.01 inches of rain, smashing their previous record for the date of 1.91 inches. (The National Weather Summary)

1989: A second surge of arctic air brought record cold to parts of the north central U.S. Eleven cities in the Upper Midwest reported record low temperatures for the date, including Rochester MN with a reading of 4 degrees below zero. Strong winds ushering the arctic air into the north central U.S. produced squalls in the Lower Great Lakes Region. Snowfall totals in northern Ohio ranged up to twenty inches in Ashatabula County and Geauga County. (Ref. The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2014: As of the midday hours on Tuesday, an unofficial snowfall measurement of 60 inches has been recorded in the past 24 hours in Lackawanna, New York, just south of Buffalo. However, snowfall of 4 feet or more has been observed in some of the south towns. Depending on the investigation of snowfall measurement activities, and if the intense snow continues through the evening Tuesday, there is a chance the 24-hour United States snowfall record may fall. That official record belongs to Silver Lake, Colorado, with 76 inches, spanning April 14-15, 1921. A report of snowfall of 77 inches in 24 hours at Montague, New York, was thrown out by officials from January 1997 because too many measurements were taken in the 24 hour period.
Snowfall measurement of 60 inches just south of Buffalo, NY(Ref.Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist November 18, 2014; 3:59 AM ET)  Maximum Snowfall: Lake Erie 65" (S. Cheektowaga); Lake Ontario 22" (Philadelphia) Duration: 48 hours. The epic November 17-19th 2014 lake effect event will be remembered as one of the most significant winter events in Buffalo’s snowy history. Over 5 feet of snow fell over areas just east of Buffalo, with mere inches a few miles away to the north. There were 14 fatalities with this storm, hundreds of major roof collapses and structural failures, 1000s of stranded motorists, and scattered food and gas shortages due to impassable roads. (Ref.NWS, Buffalo,NY)