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OBS for moderate coastal impact Nor'easter Sun-Mon 10/12-13/25 with needed rain everywhere. To minimize any disruptions review NWS warnings-statements.


wdrag
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20 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Peak gusts as of 12:25 p.m. along NJ coast attached:

Some beach cam links:

https://friendsofibsp.org/live-cams/oba1-beach-cam/

 

https://exit82.com/beach-cam/

 

https://njsurfer.com/

 

 

Screenshot 2025-10-12 at 12.13.56 PM.jpg

Thanks.  Im directly behind Barnegat Inlet in waretown, on the Bayfront.   The last squall that came through dropped heavy rain and we had several gusts over 45.  I imagine Harvey Cedars highest gust may increase shortly. Somebody certainly will have 60-65 soon.  The water level chart is what most of us on the water will have our eyes glued to over the next 36 hours. 

 

Screenshot_20251012_124213_Chrome.thumb.jpg.e45b6d61b14790c1ae73c007e75c284f.jpg

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1 minute ago, uofmiami said:

Son’s travel basketball game in Yorktown Heights just got canceled, was a 2:30pm start. Glad we didn’t leave yet, get to enjoy football games now. 

Not that jets game. Yikes 

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19 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

Sun just peaked out through the clouds. Breezy and cool. Currently 55° wind NE at 6mph, gusting to 18mph.

Cancelled Skylands Halloween Festival of Lights tonight... smart move.  Think we may see iso 45 MPH early Monday.  already has a few power outages in the county.  Nothing major down the coast on power. Think the bigger PO will be up here LI and NJ coasts overnight. 

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I am really concerned about Monmouth / Ocean County beaches and bay flooding.  We are seeing the Shark River already over one lane in Belmar (not unusual, and into Neptune Township. just wasn't expecting it this tide cycle) Barnegat Bay is already flooding areas on the eastern mainland shores. 

 

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5 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Cancelled Skylands Halloween Festival of Lights tonight... smart move.  Think we may see iso 45 MPH early Monday.  already has a few power outages in the county.  Nothing major down the coast on power. Think the bigger PO will be up here LI and NJ coasts overnight. 

Winds are pretty tame here in western Suffolk. Maybe gusting to about 25. I’m mid island about 6 miles from the coast, but still expected more by now 

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6 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Cancelled Skylands Halloween Festival of Lights tonight... smart move.  Think we may see iso 45 MPH early Monday.  already has a few power outages in the county.  Nothing major down the coast on power. Think the bigger PO will be up here LI and NJ coasts overnight. 

Please, no power outages up here tonight. If it wasn't a work night, I really wouldn't care. What areas of Sussex county are out already?

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21 minutes ago, Sundog said:

The way the NW edge of the precip shield getting eroded constantly is giving me January 2015 vibes

anyone ever consider the HP to the north will win the battle this time around ???and areas especially north and west of Monmouth County NJ get much less then originally  expected ? Not saying this will happen YET ! phasing even beginning yet ?

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Winds have actually relaxed somewhat here.   I expected a higher push than we have recieved for this approaching high tide.   

 

Beginning to think that this storm may not break the 2.67 we received on August 21st, when Erin passed by farrrrr offshore.  Screenshot_20251012_145009_Chrome.thumb.jpg.f2f5ef69fd4c46134f2c528c3a7fe4f3.jpg

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4 minutes ago, nightknights said:

Im in NE NJ not a drop.   Forward looking radar drys it up.  Nothing happening here but maybe 10-15 phone wind

You aren’t missing much. 0.34” and gusts to 30. Very tame 

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