2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[BooneWX]

Good morning my Appalachian brethren. I hope your week is going well. I’ve come here to join forces as a collective council. For years, we’ve been divided by rich (windward hills) and poor (leeward hills). The time has come for forces to align. There was a period many years ago where we could forcefully WILL an out-east weenie map westward. Do we have the same magic in us? I think we could. Everyone focus all of your positive energy as a collective western NC body to get the pretty pink colors over us by say Thursday. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[Buckethead]

Starting the day at 2° with light diamond dust falling in Wolf.

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[Maggie Valley Steve]

8 this morning.

[Buckethead]

It was colder at the base of the mountain.

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[Moonhowl]

13 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

8 this morning.

Same here just east of the big city.

[GoAPPS]

Timing is everything with this weekend's system. The Euro phases the upper low later and farther east, leaving the mountains with cold air aloft but limited divergence and moisture. The GFS phases earlier, allowing stronger upper-level divergence to overlap deeper moisture and throw precip back into the Appalachians.

[Tyler Penland]

1 hour ago, GoAPPS said:

 

Timing is everything with this weekend's system. The Euro phases the upper low later and farther east, leaving the mountains with cold air aloft but limited divergence and moisture. The GFS phases earlier, allowing stronger upper-level divergence to overlap deeper moisture and throw precip back into the Appalachians.

We saw this song and dance a couple weeks ago. Later phase by the Euro won.

[Tyler Penland]

3.9º for a low at the house this morning. Temperature shot up to 17º by 8AM, though, which was kinda weird.

 

[Hvward]

Most models are showing some form of snow showers Friday night and into Saturday for most of us here in WNC.  Early phase looks better for a boom, but looks like a 1"-3" or 2"-4" event is on the table for most every model.  That's more snow than I have seen in a while, I'll take it!

[Maggie Valley Steve]

I'm glad I finally got above freezing this afternoon. The driveway is finally dry and I can get out as needed. 

[Buckethead]

Spruce Pine is still under a sheet of ice today.

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[Rainforrest]

Haywood emc still has over 700 outages in Transylvania county. 

[Tacoma]

we need this storm to dig a little more to the sw to get in on a big snowstorm

 

[snowbird1230]

She dug..and then some. I often wonder what happened to the Old ULL's..The bowling balls...Appears this one is definitely bowling. BUT its the GFS

[franklin NCwx]

43 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said:

She dug..and then some. I often wonder what happened to the Old ULL's..The bowling balls...Appears this one is definitely bowling. BUT its the GFS

Usually more of a march-april deal with those

[Met1985]

Regardless of if this system throws moisture back our way it looks like we are going to have a few impulses that come through here with the PV lobe.  I don't think it will just be flow snow either.

[Hvward]

Euro now showing a widespread 6”+ event for most all of us on the 18z. Widespread 4”-8” event now on the table?? That will send WNC back into a frenzy. Winds will be an issue with a pressure gradient like what is being shown. I saw a post today about this not being a big deal that might be regretful.

[Tyler Penland]

Couple photos from the store today. The lot looks like all of them in Blowing Rock - a solid sheet of ice. They managed to get some busted up so I could share how thick it is.

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[Maggie Valley Steve]

4 minutes ago, Hvward said:

Euro now showing a widespread 6”+ event for most all of us on the 18z. Widespread 4”-8” event now on the table?? That will send WNC back into a frenzy. Winds will be an issue with a pressure gradient like what is being shown. I saw a post today about this not being a big deal that might be regretful.

I would expect ratios to be much higher than 10:1 if this plays out as cold as the guidance suggests. That closed off upper low looks to be brutal for the Mountains.

[cold air aloft]

8 minutes ago, Hvward said:

Euro now showing a widespread 6”+ event for most all of us on the 18z. Widespread 4”-8” event now on the table?? That will send WNC back into a frenzy. Winds will be an issue with a pressure gradient like what is being shown. I saw a post today about this not being a big deal that might be regretful.

I saw that post as well and while I respect that meteorologist, I thought that might just be a bit premature.

[Sw NC weather]

8 minutes ago, Hvward said:

Euro now showing a widespread 6”+ event for most all of us on the 18z. Widespread 4”-8” event now on the table?? That will send WNC back into a frenzy. Winds will be an issue with a pressure gradient like what is being shown. I saw a post today about this not being a big deal that might be regretful.

The way this thing has trended today. I wouldn’t be surprised for even more than that. But with that in mind it could very well go back the other way. I don’t think we will have to good of a handle on this till Thursday. Fun times of tracking ahead. I think regardless the upper level low will give the mountains a couple of inches.

[Met1985]

Obviously having the Euro bite is huge for us. A cold ground,  a true arctic high building in, high winds. This has all the makings of a fun weekend. 

[calculus1]

8 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

Couple photos from the store today. The lot looks like all of them in Blowing Rock - a solid sheet of ice. They managed to get some busted up so I could share how thick the ice is.

Very similar to my driveway here in Hickory. Two inches thick of ice. My son "shoveled" off about a third of it today, and it took him almost 3 hours. My driveway is only 60 feet long, if that. He was using the backside of an ax to pummel the ice into pieces that could then be shoveled off into the yard. School is going to be remote in Catawba County for the rest of the week, I would imagine. And, then, we get to the weekend's event...

[CheoahBald1]

After seeing the Euro make a big jump like that I wouldn’t be surprised to see the heavier snow keep ticking west our way. But then again wouldn’t be surprised to wake up in the morning and poof it’s gone lol


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[wncsnow]

This could be our storm. Most enthusiastic I've felt in a LONG time

[BooneWX]

Which one of yall sacrificed a rabbit today? Fess up 

[Buckethead]

Which one of yall sacrificed a rabbit today? Fess up 

I ran over a squirrel. Maybe that helped a little?

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[Hvward]

Substantial changes in snowfall totals from the 12z EPS to the 18z.  Here are the two below.  Remember they are only taking into account 10:1 ratio. Really feel like something is finally brewing for us.

[Hvward]

Here are the differences from 12z EPS and 18z EPS for Boone.