SouthCoastMA Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 the globals have some rain mid week..amounts tbd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 There will be showers and thunderstorms around Tuesday, could even see an axis of some heavier rain up north (or in the vicinity of the warm front). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jsw Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 14 hours ago, DavisStraight said: I liked that area when I worked out there, rather live where I am now. Born and raised in Boston and Newton, now in Northampton (just moved here). Surprisingly, I have never been to the BigE, but Sunday is the day! Been to the Topsfield Fair, others in the area. This one, based on the brochure/flyer thing, considering Big Boi from Outkast, other musical acts, events, food, drink. I hear it's $20 to get in for the day, well worth it. And, of course, beautiful weather on tap. https://www.thebige.com/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jsw Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: There will be showers and thunderstorms around Tuesday, could even see an axis of some heavier rain up north (or in the vicinity of the warm front). I read this in the NWS discussion for Chicopee, Mass., just now. I read it with great interest and some hope, of course! Upper level ridging begins to weaken and move off to the east with the associated surface high pressure doing the same to start next week. A trough over the Great Lakes moves towards the region as the high makes its exit. With high pressure shifting offshore, southerly to southwesterly flow kicks in Monday into Tuesday, increasing temperatures and moisture which may peak Tuesday according to ensemble guidance. Ensemble probs for temperatures 80F+ remain relatively high across much of eastern MA and the CT River Valley, though they have trended down slightly over the past few runs (not by much, but notable enough to hint at temperatures just reaching 80F rather than exceeding it). Ensembles are in good agreement in mean PWAT values ranging between 1.4-1.5" across the region by Tuesday afternoon, and deterministic and ensemble guidance hints at some instability that could support rain showers. However, given the extended dry weather we`ve seen, confidence remains low in these showers materializing. And if they do, it`s not likely that they provide the amount of rain we need for relief from these dry conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 5 minutes ago, jsw said: I read this in the NWS discussion for Chicopee, Mass., just now. I read it with great interest and some hope, of course! Upper level ridging begins to weaken and move off to the east with the associated surface high pressure doing the same to start next week. A trough over the Great Lakes moves towards the region as the high makes its exit. With high pressure shifting offshore, southerly to southwesterly flow kicks in Monday into Tuesday, increasing temperatures and moisture which may peak Tuesday according to ensemble guidance. Ensemble probs for temperatures 80F+ remain relatively high across much of eastern MA and the CT River Valley, though they have trended down slightly over the past few runs (not by much, but notable enough to hint at temperatures just reaching 80F rather than exceeding it). Ensembles are in good agreement in mean PWAT values ranging between 1.4-1.5" across the region by Tuesday afternoon, and deterministic and ensemble guidance hints at some instability that could support rain showers. However, given the extended dry weather we`ve seen, confidence remains low in these showers materializing. And if they do, it`s not likely that they provide the amount of rain we need for relief from these dry conditions. Its a solid shortwave (though becoming more of an open wave) with decent dynamics and forcing. This certainly isn't going to provide relief region wide but some folks will get lucky and get some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Love seeing the "blue" NWS headlines showing back up. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 35 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: the globals have some rain mid week..amounts tbd. Sell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jsw Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Its a solid shortwave (though becoming more of an open wave) with decent dynamics and forcing. This certainly isn't going to provide relief region wide but some folks will get lucky and get some rain. Thanks, after I posted a thought I should have added: "...and with some trepidation..." Heh. I like these graphics, HPC QPF page (below). Edit to add: It will most likely change, but seems always to be fairly accurate, at least a few days out. Man, central U.S... I am a visual person, a lot of the super technical stuff here is over my head, but I have learned a lot here over, holy crap 15+ years back to the prior version of this site? Time flies. Anyway, I like pretty pictures, in addition to learn and reading complicated examinations of weather patterns, forecasting, computer models, why what happens when, all that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Frost, Pretty much a given at this point, Time to protect the plants. This Afternoon Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind around 5 mph. Saturday Night Patchy frost after 2am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 33. Calm wind. Sunday Areas of frost before 7am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 68. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said: the globals have some rain mid week..amounts tbd. You have a better shot than most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Fort Knox, Bucksport. Gorgeous daySent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 36 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Fort Knox, Bucksport. Gorgeous day Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk Was there once cool place 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Current MEX for Sun AM. Getting a little close for comfort when I see 31° at 1P1 and very dry ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: Current MEX for Sun AM. Getting a little close for comfort when I see 31° at 1P1 and very dry ground. Wonder if I’ll even break 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Deep summer in PA where I am. Mid 80s and low 60s dews 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Just now, CoastalWx said: Deep summer in PA where I am. Mid 80s and low 60s dews Cookout at Mark Margavage’s? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Nice summer like day here in New Haven as well in the mid 80's with some nice dews. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Was there once cool placeCool wedding venue around corner from friends placeSent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 No summer here. Dews dippin into the 30s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Nice summer afternoon, one of the few remaining. :( 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Now today is effin’ dry. Full sun, breezy and dews in low 40’s. caved and watered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 40s and sun up here this afternoon at the picnic tables. Crisp breeze. 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 KORE has a dew of 34.. down to 37 here. We take! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Wheres all the heat some were talking about? Feels like Fall.. its beautiful out! 2 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 6 hours ago, jsw said: Born and raised in Boston and Newton, now in Northampton (just moved here). Surprisingly, I have never been to the BigE, but Sunday is the day! Been to the Topsfield Fair, others in the area. This one, based on the brochure/flyer thing, considering Big Boi from Outkast, other musical acts, events, food, drink. I hear it's $20 to get in for the day, well worth it. And, of course, beautiful weather on tap. https://www.thebige.com/ It's worth $20, I always stopped at Millies food truck on the way out to take some good polish food home. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 3 hours ago, dendrite said: Cookout at Mark Margavage’s? Not far lol. By ABE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 57 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Wheres all the heat some were talking about? Feels like Fall.. its beautiful out! This is it for weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This is it for weeks. It was warm today in W MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Torch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This is it for weeks. It is? Tonight Clear, with a low around 41. North wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light after midnight. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 66. Light and variable wind. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Calm wind. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Light southeast wind. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Tuesday A chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tuesday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Wednesday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. North wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Light northwest wind. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Light and variable wind becoming west around 6 mph in the morning. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now