O'Brother Septorcher

[SouthCoastMA]

the globals have some rain mid week..amounts tbd. 

[weatherwiz]

There will be showers and thunderstorms around Tuesday, could even see an axis of some heavier rain up north (or in the vicinity of the warm front). 

[jsw]

14 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

I liked that area when I worked out there, rather live where I am now.

Born and raised in Boston and Newton, now in Northampton (just moved here). Surprisingly, I have never been to the BigE, but Sunday is the day! Been to the Topsfield Fair, others in the area. This one, based on the brochure/flyer thing, considering Big Boi from Outkast, other musical acts, events, food, drink. I hear it's $20 to get in for the day, well worth it. And, of course, beautiful weather on tap.

 

https://www.thebige.com/

 

 

[jsw]

19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

There will be showers and thunderstorms around Tuesday, could even see an axis of some heavier rain up north (or in the vicinity of the warm front). 

I read this in the NWS discussion for Chicopee, Mass., just now. I read it with great interest and some hope, of course!

Upper level ridging begins to weaken and move off to the east with
the associated surface high pressure doing the same to start next
week. A trough over the Great Lakes moves towards the region as the
high makes its exit. With high pressure shifting offshore, southerly
to southwesterly flow kicks in Monday into Tuesday, increasing
temperatures and moisture which may peak Tuesday according to
ensemble guidance. Ensemble probs for temperatures 80F+ remain
relatively high across much of eastern MA and the CT River Valley,
though they have trended down slightly over the past few runs (not
by much, but notable enough to hint at temperatures just reaching
80F rather than exceeding it). Ensembles are in good agreement in
mean PWAT values ranging between 1.4-1.5" across the region by
Tuesday afternoon, and deterministic and ensemble guidance hints at
some instability that could support rain showers. However, given the
extended dry weather we`ve seen, confidence remains low in these
showers materializing. And if they do, it`s not likely that they
provide the amount of rain we need for relief from these dry
conditions.

[weatherwiz]

5 minutes ago, jsw said:

I read this in the NWS discussion for Chicopee, Mass., just now. I read it with great interest and some hope, of course!

Upper level ridging begins to weaken and move off to the east with
the associated surface high pressure doing the same to start next
week. A trough over the Great Lakes moves towards the region as the
high makes its exit. With high pressure shifting offshore, southerly
to southwesterly flow kicks in Monday into Tuesday, increasing
temperatures and moisture which may peak Tuesday according to
ensemble guidance. Ensemble probs for temperatures 80F+ remain
relatively high across much of eastern MA and the CT River Valley,
though they have trended down slightly over the past few runs (not
by much, but notable enough to hint at temperatures just reaching
80F rather than exceeding it). Ensembles are in good agreement in
mean PWAT values ranging between 1.4-1.5" across the region by
Tuesday afternoon, and deterministic and ensemble guidance hints at
some instability that could support rain showers. However, given the
extended dry weather we`ve seen, confidence remains low in these
showers materializing. And if they do, it`s not likely that they
provide the amount of rain we need for relief from these dry
conditions.

Its a solid shortwave (though becoming more of an open wave) with decent dynamics and forcing. This certainly isn't going to provide relief region wide but some folks will get lucky and get some rain. 

[powderfreak]

Love seeing the "blue" NWS headlines showing back up.

[Damage In Tolland]

35 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

the globals have some rain mid week..amounts tbd. 

Sell

[jsw]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Its a solid shortwave (though becoming more of an open wave) with decent dynamics and forcing. This certainly isn't going to provide relief region wide but some folks will get lucky and get some rain. 

Thanks, after I posted a thought I should have added: "...and with some trepidation..." Heh.

I like these graphics, HPC QPF page (below).

Edit to add: It will most likely change, but seems always to be fairly accurate, at least a few days out. Man, central U.S...

I am a visual person, a lot of the super technical stuff here is over my head, but I have learned a lot here over, holy crap 15+ years back to the prior version of this site? Time flies. Anyway, I like pretty pictures, in addition to learn and reading complicated examinations of weather patterns, forecasting, computer models, why what happens when, all that.

[dryslot]

Frost, Pretty much a given at this point, Time to protect the plants.

This Afternoon

Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Saturday

Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind around 5 mph.

Saturday Night

Patchy frost after 2am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 33. Calm wind.

Sunday

Areas of frost before 7am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 68. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

the globals have some rain mid week..amounts tbd. 

You have a better shot than most. 

[Lava Rock]

Fort Knox, Bucksport. Gorgeous day

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[Dan76]

36 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Fort Knox, Bucksport. Gorgeous day

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Was there once cool place

[dendrite]

Current MEX for Sun AM. Getting a little close for comfort when I see 31° at 1P1 and very dry ground.

[Damage In Tolland]

21 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Current MEX for Sun AM. Getting a little close for comfort when I see 31° at 1P1 and very dry ground.

Wonder if I’ll even break 50

[CoastalWx]

Deep summer in PA where I am. Mid 80s and low 60s dews

[dendrite]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Deep summer in PA where I am. Mid 80s and low 60s dews

Cookout at Mark Margavage’s?

[BrianW]

Nice summer like day here in New Haven as well in the mid 80's with some nice dews.

[Lava Rock]

Was there once cool place

Cool wedding venue around corner from friends place

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[dendrite]

No summer here. Dews dippin into the 30s.

[Torch Tiger]

Nice summer afternoon, one of the few remaining. :(

[jbenedet]

Now today is effin’ dry. Full sun, breezy and dews in low 40’s.

caved and watered.

[powderfreak]

40s and sun up here this afternoon at the picnic tables.

Crisp breeze.