SouthCoastMA Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago the globals have some rain mid week..amounts tbd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago There will be showers and thunderstorms around Tuesday, could even see an axis of some heavier rain up north (or in the vicinity of the warm front). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jsw Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 14 hours ago, DavisStraight said: I liked that area when I worked out there, rather live where I am now. Born and raised in Boston and Newton, now in Northampton (just moved here). Surprisingly, I have never been to the BigE, but Sunday is the day! Been to the Topsfield Fair, others in the area. This one, based on the brochure/flyer thing, considering Big Boi from Outkast, other musical acts, events, food, drink. I hear it's $20 to get in for the day, well worth it. And, of course, beautiful weather on tap. https://www.thebige.com/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jsw Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: There will be showers and thunderstorms around Tuesday, could even see an axis of some heavier rain up north (or in the vicinity of the warm front). I read this in the NWS discussion for Chicopee, Mass., just now. I read it with great interest and some hope, of course! Upper level ridging begins to weaken and move off to the east with the associated surface high pressure doing the same to start next week. A trough over the Great Lakes moves towards the region as the high makes its exit. With high pressure shifting offshore, southerly to southwesterly flow kicks in Monday into Tuesday, increasing temperatures and moisture which may peak Tuesday according to ensemble guidance. Ensemble probs for temperatures 80F+ remain relatively high across much of eastern MA and the CT River Valley, though they have trended down slightly over the past few runs (not by much, but notable enough to hint at temperatures just reaching 80F rather than exceeding it). Ensembles are in good agreement in mean PWAT values ranging between 1.4-1.5" across the region by Tuesday afternoon, and deterministic and ensemble guidance hints at some instability that could support rain showers. However, given the extended dry weather we`ve seen, confidence remains low in these showers materializing. And if they do, it`s not likely that they provide the amount of rain we need for relief from these dry conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, jsw said: I read this in the NWS discussion for Chicopee, Mass., just now. I read it with great interest and some hope, of course! Upper level ridging begins to weaken and move off to the east with the associated surface high pressure doing the same to start next week. A trough over the Great Lakes moves towards the region as the high makes its exit. With high pressure shifting offshore, southerly to southwesterly flow kicks in Monday into Tuesday, increasing temperatures and moisture which may peak Tuesday according to ensemble guidance. Ensemble probs for temperatures 80F+ remain relatively high across much of eastern MA and the CT River Valley, though they have trended down slightly over the past few runs (not by much, but notable enough to hint at temperatures just reaching 80F rather than exceeding it). Ensembles are in good agreement in mean PWAT values ranging between 1.4-1.5" across the region by Tuesday afternoon, and deterministic and ensemble guidance hints at some instability that could support rain showers. However, given the extended dry weather we`ve seen, confidence remains low in these showers materializing. And if they do, it`s not likely that they provide the amount of rain we need for relief from these dry conditions. Its a solid shortwave (though becoming more of an open wave) with decent dynamics and forcing. This certainly isn't going to provide relief region wide but some folks will get lucky and get some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Love seeing the "blue" NWS headlines showing back up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 35 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: the globals have some rain mid week..amounts tbd. Sell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jsw Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Its a solid shortwave (though becoming more of an open wave) with decent dynamics and forcing. This certainly isn't going to provide relief region wide but some folks will get lucky and get some rain. Thanks, after I posted a thought I should have added: "...and with some trepidation..." Heh. I like these graphics, HPC QPF page (below). Edit to add: It will most likely change, but seems always to be fairly accurate, at least a few days out. Man, central U.S... I am a visual person, a lot of the super technical stuff here is over my head, but I have learned a lot here over, holy crap 15+ years back to the prior version of this site? Time flies. Anyway, I like pretty pictures, in addition to learn and reading complicated examinations of weather patterns, forecasting, computer models, why what happens when, all that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago Frost, Pretty much a given at this point, Time to protect the plants. This Afternoon Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind around 5 mph. Saturday Night Patchy frost after 2am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 33. Calm wind. Sunday Areas of frost before 7am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 68. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 41 minutes ago Share Posted 41 minutes ago 1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said: the globals have some rain mid week..amounts tbd. You have a better shot than most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago Fort Knox, Bucksport. Gorgeous daySent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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