O'Brother Septorcher

[CoastalWx]

Stein making sense 

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Hey @ineedsnow

 

I actually drove around for a bit trying to find it.. ended up going down a road and saw a bunch of forest fire trucks entering the woods but couldn't follow 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

I actually drove around for a bit trying to find it.. ended up going down a road and saw a bunch of forest fire trucks entering the woods but couldn't follow 

Did they find the book of matches in your pocket?

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Did they find the book of matches in your pocket?

Are those the ones that are embossed with the Electric Blue Cafe?

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Are those the ones that are embossed with the Electric Blue Cafe?

The EB is no more. They changed to Lions Den and then got shut down . At least temporarily. Ask Kooky Kenny. He’s got nowhere left to go 

[dendrite]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Did they find the book of matches in your pocket?

ineedsmoke

[H2Otown_WX]

54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1963377164717343129?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

He's got us now:

[dendrite]

Release the Epstein files!

[Lava Rock]

Fri/Sat rn turning into more of a showery kind of deal (shocking), maybe tshowers on sat, but frcst calling for ~0.25" won't do shit. We got 0.75" last Friday and that had almost no positive impact on soil conditions. wake me up when we're looking at a couple days of steady rn, preferably 2+"

[dendrite]

14 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Fri/Sat rn turning into more of a showery kind of deal (shocking), maybe tshowers on sat, but frcst calling for ~0.25" won't do shit. We got 0.75" last Friday and that had almost no positive impact on soil conditions. wake me up when we're looking at a couple days of steady rn, preferably 2+"

I think we'll do more than a quarter inch through the weekend. Probably widespread 0.50-1.00" with the chance for 1"+ in spots. NNE is probably favored, but any rain helps. Gotta start somewhere. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Stein coming at us in all directions.. crushing everything as he moves in 

 

[jbenedet]

4 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

Fri/Sat rn turning into more of a showery kind of deal (shocking), maybe tshowers on sat, but frcst calling for ~0.25" won't do shit. We got 0.75" last Friday and that had almost no positive impact on soil conditions. wake me up when we're looking at a couple days of steady rn, preferably 2+"

Eh. The question moreso is why the qpf output on the GFS is so paltry.
 

Everything else on the same run/model points to a good soaking. 
 

GFS is selling well on another bone dry day today but dews really spike throughout the day tomorrow into Saturday. Your bias will change probably when the swamp azz returns…

[monadnocks]

Saturday I’ll be at Thunder Over New Hampshire and it looks like it’s going to be as toasty as it was last time. Because we’re part of the STEM exhibit, it’ll also be a long day. I hope any storms don’t impact the flights; people will have been waiting hours in the sun.

[radarman]

some of our better forecasters starting to get bullish on severe possibilities out here on Saturday

[dryslot]

34 minutes ago, radarman said:

some of our better forecasters starting to get bullish on severe possibilities out here on Saturday

So not some of the ones here then.....................

[Torch Tiger]

3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Stein coming at us in all directions.. crushing everything as he moves in 

 

[Torch Tiger]

36 minutes ago, radarman said:

some of our better forecasters starting to get bullish on severe possibilities out here on Saturday

Yeah still looks fairly legit; ALB is interested too.

[CoastalWx]

50 minutes ago, radarman said:

some of our better forecasters starting to get bullish on severe possibilities out here on Saturday

I mentioned that the other day. Definitely a lakes region to Berks and SE NY deal perhaps. Gonna need dews as always. Good shear.

[dendrite]

[Typhoon Tip]

flow looks parallel with/while the trough is weakening in time ... that may be why there's some challenges to QPF totals emerging. waning mechanics. some guidance is faster at doing so. 

in the meantime, the NAM is deep summer in the grid for tomorrow and saturday

[Spanks45]

23 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I have no clue how we are not even in the abnormally dry down here....even our perennial shrubs are fully wilted with browning leaves and dropping like it is October. Grass is brown and crispy and has been....It won't be long until wells start dropping at this rate

[dryslot]

Drier then a church bible up here.

[Lava Rock]

lol, boat ramp in Raymond getting super shallow now. 

[dendrite]

The stream in our back woods is bone dry…not even a puddle or wet spot. I’ve never seen it like that. The ferns out there are brown. Most trees that are 10-20ft or smaller are wilting. The lawn crunches when walking on it. Hopefully we get a little tonight to moisten up the surface so it can all soak in Sat. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, Spanks45 said:

I have no clue how we are not even in the abnormally dry down here....even our perennial shrubs are fully wilted with browning leaves and dropping like it is October. Grass is brown and crispy and has been....It won't be long until wells start dropping at this rate

What did you have JJA?

[Spanks45]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What did you have JJA?

right around 12 inches.....only 0.87 over the last 30 days

 

[metagraphica]

Are we actually gonna get rain tonight or are these lines in NY/PA gonna dry out before they gets to eastern New England?

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, Spanks45 said:

I have no clue how we are not even in the abnormally dry down here....even our perennial shrubs are fully wilted with browning leaves and dropping like it is October. Grass is brown and crispy and has been....It won't be long until wells start dropping at this rate

Same. I've had 5 and 1/2 inches since the beginning of July . More than most. My property is the driest I've seen it since the drought of 2020

[kdxken]

52 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

right around 12 inches.....only 0.87 over the last 30 days

 

That's a lot of rain. I've only had seven and a half.

[CT Rain]

4 hours ago, radarman said:

some of our better forecasters starting to get bullish on severe possibilities out here on Saturday

Decent looking shear.