August 2025 Summer Thread

[Torch Tiger]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Wasn’t expecting more than drops here so no…not invested 

 There were calls for 6-12", won't necro-bump but they were around

[HIPPYVALLEY]

8 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

I went down to Falmouth the next day. Upper Cape / Buzzards Bay got tuned up!

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Kill em all.

We need my fantasy week of no snow  cover and high temperatures in the single digits.  

[Snowedin]

Couldn’t even break 70 today. Let’s skip ahead to Christmas morning, enough of this chilly bullcrap. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

6 minutes ago, Snowedin said:

Couldn’t even break 70 today. Let’s skip ahead to Christmas morning, enough of this chilly bullcrap. 

Hopefully a summery and  dry September into October.  It's the busiest months of the year around these parts for various events.  

[jsw]

Hello,

Long-time member, rare poster except obs and such. Voracious reader of all of your expertise, however!

I must say in this thread: Hurricane Erin has the making of an epic wave-producer for all my New England brothers and sisters who will hit it as it pulls away. National Weather Service Coastal Marine Forecast below (posted as plain text so hope it doesn't run off the screen to the right).

--

Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to 20 nm South of Block Island- 1004 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .

THU...NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft, building to 10 to 13 ft in the afternoon. Wave Detail: E 8 ft at 7 seconds and S 7 ft at 15 seconds, becoming S 9 ft at 17 seconds and E 8 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of rain in the morning. .

THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft, building to 13 to 18 ft after midnight. Wave Detail: S 12 ft at 17 seconds and E 10 ft at 7 seconds, becoming S 14 ft at 17 seconds and E 10 ft at 8 seconds. .

FRI...NE winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 18 ft, subsiding to 11 to 15 ft in the afternoon. Wave Detail: S 13 ft at 17 seconds and NE 10 ft at 8 seconds, becoming SE 10 ft at 14 seconds and NE 9 ft at 9 seconds.

--

NHC track:

Very reminiscent of Erin on 9/11, when I was out three different time around Narragansett, Rhode Island area. I'll miss this one. I am visiting family and friends in Boston for my birthday til Thursday, then back to Brattleboro, Vermont. Argh. 

Seriously, if you are not extremely skilled, do not try to play the hero. You'll most likely drown.

Oh yeah, very nice seasonable weather of late, finally, in Brattleboro! I do full-time landscaping, and the 100 heat indexes and 90-plus and very humid for like six weeks kinda hurt. 

 

 

[Snowedin]

46 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Hopefully a summery and  dry September into October.  It's the busiest months of the year around these parts for various events.  

I like that but a few rain events mixed in would be great to keep the dust clouds at bay and the trees from getting too droopy. It’s been a rough stretch these last few weeks in the water department.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

A nice soaking rain.   I prefer dry but this will help the farmers and foliage. 

[Modfan2]

7 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

18z euro a little north. 

Judging by current radar I would say yes. Looks to be steining most of CT.

[CoastalWx]

28 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Judging by current radar I would say yes. Looks to be steining most of CT.

That will change 

[CoastalWx]

Hrrr steins and Nam floods lol. Tend to think NAM is a little out to lunch.

[CoastalWx]

Some signs it warms up again after Labor Day.

[kdxken]

36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hrrr steins and Nam floods lol. Tend to think NAM is a little out to lunch.

I think the nam has the placement about right. More of a Pike border type deal. Maybe a little more down by the wood yard. 

 

[dendrite]

Enjoying my 0.01”

[Modfan2]

15 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I think the nam has the placement about right. More of a Pike border type deal. Maybe a little more down by the wood yard. 

 

Judging by current radar I would agree but this is “allegedly” supposed to drop to the south, we will see. Seeing .50-1.00” around here, will see if that materializes.

[Ginx snewx]

With this PRE expect 4 to 5 inch stripe somewhere in SNE

[ineedsnow]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

With this PRE expect 4 to 5 inch stripe somewhere in SNE

3k is wild and gives someone 10

[ineedsnow]

When you scroll over on pivotal I found a 10.52 max. Doubt it happens but would ve some epic flooding 

[CoastalWx]

Not really a PRE

[HoarfrostHubb]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not really a PRE

It’s like a hybrid PRE

Anyway, nice to see some rain here.  Wish it was an hour later but won’t complain. 

[SJonesWX]

10 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This is a childish perspective though
Meteorology is not relegated to a single regions like that we are not decoupled from the continental circumstance. 
But in the end, this is all just subjective anyway. If the wind switched southwest, that heat would be available to this region.  The back of summer being broken should to me mean is no more heat is available or likely to occur. Neither of those circumstances are true at this time and you know why… Because it’s only August 18.

sometimes you take what is said here way to literally. Like, "back broken" is not a metrological term, I am pretty sure everyone here is aware of that. and I am pretty sure that 99% of the posters here understand that since it is mid-August, there are likely to be some hot days before the end of the year.

now my interpretation of back broken means that MOST of the HHH days are behind us, with some cooler (no DIT, I am not forecasting 30's) days and nights. and that interpretation also means that YES, I expect some hot days too.

Like you said, it is all very subjective

[CoastalWx]

39 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Judging by current radar I would agree but this is “allegedly” supposed to drop to the south, we will see. Seeing .50-1.00” around here, will see if that materializes.

Relax you’ll get a decent drink.

[Damage In Tolland]

Seems like most places get .50 or so and some narrow strip north of pike into SNH sees 2-3”

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Seems like most places get .50 or so and some narrow strip north of pike into SNH sees 2-3”

Heaviest is Sop. Maybe near pike as farther north I think. But even NoP gets decent drink.

[jsw]

Any Maine surfers here? I know there are other surfers/snowboarders, etc., fishing and boating people. I am mostly in Rhode Island, but also have/will all over Cape Cod, North Shore Mass., South Shore, Mass. 

Here is the NOAA wave/wind model for a couple of days hence...simply doesn't get any better, at least over past 30 years (and no, I am not worried about "jinxing" or attracting people to certain spots...the ocean will take care of itself):

 

 

[SouthCoastMA]

1-2" here seems possible, but I'll go with .75 based on how the last month has gone. 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, SJonesWX said:

sometimes you take what is said here way to literally. Like, "back broken" is not a metrological term, I am pretty sure everyone here is aware of that. and I am pretty sure that 99% of the posters here understand that since it is mid-August, there are likely to be some hot days before the end of the year.

now my interpretation of back broken means that MOST of the HHH days are behind us, with some cooler (no DIT, I am not forecasting 30's) days and nights. and that interpretation also means that YES, I expect some hot days too.

Like you said, it is all very subjective

Completely agree here ...  I said this myself yesterday or the day before.  Consideration of straight up climatology, we've topped the curve thus we must be descending.

You know it's my fault?  ha.  Seriously though, I'm the one that first coined that expression like 15 years ago ...'summer's back is broken,'  and now I hate it. Mainly because its use is abused. Perfect. 

However, I don't take anything in here 'literally', nothing from the social media-sphere for that matter.  Most of the time I pass over it and let it be/choose not to involve in it.  There's no one to defend someone in here - no one comes to anyone's rescue.  So I'm saying this shit in my own defense:   I post vastly more with Meteorological information, and/or attempt substance worth the time ( for some..) in here in general, compared to the amount of ongoing back-and-forth semantic chicanery that wastes it for most... So once in a while, when reading someone pushing across a concept as fact , when it's merely what they want/bias, it's hard to resist responding - if that's a failing, meh. There are far worse representations and examples out there amongst humanity, too many of them.  

And if for nothing else, it's just fun to shatter illusions. Although, it's probably a delusion to think it's making any difference.   

[weatherwiz]

Next week will be a mid-to-late beautiful sky (assuming no wildfire smoke). Looks like we swing some cold pools through. So we could have a scenario of blue sky to begin the day with crisp and bubbly TCUs developing by mid-to-late morning. Moisture is limited but probably see isolated showers/thunder (particularly high terrain).

[CoastalWx]

HRRR already shit itself. So even a NAM/HRRR compromise is good.

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

Judging by current radar I would agree but this is “allegedly” supposed to drop to the south, we will see. Seeing .50-1.00” around here, will see if that materializes.

Looks like a 2nd band sets up further SW at some point later today-that's the only way I'm getting anything