July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability

[winterwarlock]

9 minutes ago, binbisso said:

Dp at newark is 63. Same at many other stations. Why is your dp so high?

Tons of rain the past few weeks..crabgrass galore..we have dipped to 74 dew now

[winterwx21]

Euro now brings the 90s back early to mid next week. Looks like a break for a few days and then we go back to the heat. 

It's 94 with a dewpoint of 67 here right now. Doesn't feel terrible today. 

[LoboLeader1]

93/67. 

[jm1220]

Up to 95. Doesn’t feel atrocious but still pretty damn hot. 

[bluewave]

17 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Up to 95. Doesn’t feel atrocious but still pretty damn hot. 

Yeah, 2nd warmest summer on record so far for Long Island with numerous top 10s since 2010.

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Warmest June 1st- July 27th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2010-07-27	77.8	0
2	2025-07-27	75.9	0
3	2011-07-27	75.8	0
4	2024-07-27	75.6	0
5	2008-07-27	75.2	0
-	1948-07-27	75.2	46
6	2020-07-27	75.1	0
7	2016-07-27	75.0	0
-	2013-07-27	75.0	0
-	1994-07-27	75.0	0
8	1983-07-27	74.9	0
9	2012-07-27	74.7	0
-	1949-07-27	74.7	0
10	1999-07-27	74.6	0
-	1991-07-27	74.6	0
-	1952-07-27	74.6	0

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Warmest June 1st-July 27th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2010-07-27	75.0	0
-	1999-07-27	75.0	0
2	2025-07-27	74.9	0
3	2024-07-27	74.3	0
4	2013-07-27	74.1	0
-	1994-07-27	74.1	0
5	2020-07-27	73.8	0
6	2011-07-27	73.7	0
7	2008-07-27	73.6	0
8	2019-07-27	73.5	0
9	1966-07-27	73.0	0
10	2014-07-27	72.9	0
-	1991-07-27	72.9	0

 

 

[Nibor]

Surprisingly bearable outside. 

[steve392]

54 minutes ago, Nibor said:

Surprisingly bearable outside. 

To who, Satan?  LOL

[wdrag]

Don's pre-summer outlook of a statistically significantly warmer than normal summer looks like it will come to pass with June-July at KEWR top 6.  Very good statistical call barring a chilly August.

Waiting on a thread til tomorrow morning for two 100F days at KEWR,  (for me unexpected in lae June),  to be followed by a potential widespread 1-4" forum rainfall with iso 8"... EPS through 12z/28 cycle continues strong on this, though edging northward.  I also have to think there has to be a stripe of svr near the boundary Thursday?   Just too early for me to be sure the EPS is going to be mostly correct.  From what I can tell, WPC is so far,  accepting the EPS solution. 

[winterwarlock]

3 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Euro now brings the 90s back early to mid next week. Looks like a break for a few days and then we go back to the heat. 

It's 94 with a dewpoint of 67 here right now. Doesn't feel terrible today. 

95 was my high with dews in upper 70s. Peak heat index was 108

[winterwarlock]

2 hours ago, steve392 said:

To who, Satan?  LOL

To Warlock

[Nibor]

Hoboken around 7PM

[SACRUS]

Highs:

 

EWR: 97
TEB: 96
ACY: 96
JFK: 95
ISP: 95
New Brnswck: 95
LGA: 95
NYC: 94
PHL: 94
BLM: 92
TTN: 92

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

MCS into WPA -  Last visible loop sees the clouds racing into PA

 

Good thing this wasnt later overnight or clouds could have had a similar effect to the Jun 22nd MCS which limited many from heating to 90, this time whatever clouds look to be long gone by the morning.

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

EWR moves into tie with '73 / 2018 for number of 95F or higher days season leaders.  Tomorrow ties the hot 1966, 1983 seasons and Wed  1999, 91 and 2016.   Long ways to go for 88, 44, 93, 2010, 2021  and 2022.

 

Year	Rank	Days >= 95 °F
1993	1	25
2010	2	21
2022	3	20
1988	3	20
1944	3	20
2021	6	18
2012	7	17
2011	7	17
2002	7	17
1955	7	17
1949	11	16
2005	12	14
1953	12	14
2016	14	13
1999	14	13
1991	14	13
1987	14	13
1994	18	12
1983	18	12
1966	18	12
2018	21	11
1973	21	11
2025	21	11

[Intensewind002]

91/70 was the high here in Lindenhurst today 

[Picard]

5 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

Tons of rain the past few weeks..crabgrass galore..we have dipped to 74 dew now

There was a narrow path of 75+ dewpoints today in and around the Hillsborough area and surrounding towns.  Otherwise, not as awful as it's been in other places up here.

[hudsonvalley21]

3 hours ago, wdrag said:

Don's pre-summer outlook of a statistically significantly warmer than normal summer looks like it will come to pass with June-July at KEWR top 6.  Very good statistical call barring a chilly August.

Waiting on a thread til tomorrow morning for two 100F days at KEWR,  (for me unexpected in lae June),  to be followed by a potential widespread 1-4" forum rainfall with iso 8"... EPS through 12z/28 cycle continues strong on this, though edging northward.  I also have to think there has to be a stripe of svr near the boundary Thursday?   Just too early for me to be sure the EPS is going to be mostly correct.  From what I can tell, WPC is so far,  accepting the EPS solution. 

18z NAM has a very strong look for potential severe weather.. it’s out their at 81 hours but definitely has to be watched for trends.

 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=neus&pkg=z850_vort&runtime=2025072818&fh=84