yoda Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago On 5/10/2025 at 5:02 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: Can't wait to see how we get screwed again this time. 2 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 3.10" and rolling. Reverse psychology i see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, yoda said: Reverse psychology i see It finally worked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago This rain is tropical at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago So for the metros should we expect anything much overnight or is this last batch moving out pretty much it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: This rain is tropical at this point. During my hike it was super similar to tropical storm feel (part of which I’m sure is the orthographic lift and being in the clouds) but you could tell the atmosphere is saturated and the rainfall rates are maximized 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Little mini train setting up for those of us in Leesburg. Nothing compared to what's hitting the western part of the state, but padding stats for sure. Up to 1.4" today and closing in on 5" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago There is definitely flooding going on locally. 3.7". We're going to make a run at 4". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Steady rain and 2.4 so far, putting me at 4.7 for the month. What a stunning turnaround after a dry winter with just light snows, and less than an inch of rainfall each for March and April. Before this month I had less than 6 inches total precip for the year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago There is definitely flooding going on locally. 3.7". We're going to make a run at 4".Our sweet spot is getting that southerly/easterly flow…basically just throws moisture along the “front range”. Nw/westerly flow systems are generally trash here that lead to scattered showers and debris clouds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 17 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: There is definitely flooding going on locally. 3.7". We're going to make a run at 4". You might make a run at 5+ The earlier runs that suggested a Charlottesville to Winchester mega event 2nite nailed it... Still a firehouse on radar along that corridor... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Heavies just moved out. 4.1" That was fun. In the annals of stephens city: Sandy Helene May 13, 2025 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilentTalkie Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Jrlg1181 said: Dollins Creek , off of Burches creek rd... Apparently a 12 year old unfortunately is missing in floodwaters along the eastern foot of Afton... This rain has been and is incredibly intense down here in Albemarle so far this evening... Alot of lightning but just gentle rolling thunder... Classmate of my middle schooler. Very sad. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago PDS flash flood warning issued for parts of the Shannondoahs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Getting hit again. This is epic. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 27 minutes ago, SilentTalkie said: Classmate of my middle schooler. Very sad. Very sorry to hear that... And I feel for the parents if the worst is realized -- That is a terrible feeling that never fades no matter how much time passes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1.55" so far. Mainly a steady soaker here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, high risk said: I will admit that I don't trust it, but there was a pretty clear signal in the 12Z CAMs for heavy rain to break out on the east side of DC and over to the Eastern Shore during the mid evening hours. Looking at the radar and the hourly trends, it appears things are picking up in lower Delaware, and also over the lower Eastern Shore and moving NNW . Although its too early to be certain, maybe the 12Z CAMs might be onto to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago .39 inches here, better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, frd said: Looking at the radar and the hourly trends, it appears things are picking up in lower Delaware, and also over the lower Eastern Shore and moving NNW . Although its too early to be certain, maybe the 12Z CAMs might be onto to something. The HRRR has shown this for several cycles, and the evening CAM suite continues the trend. That said, while they seems to be spot on in terms of location and timing, actual coverage so far appears to be less than progged. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 0.78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I'd estimate 1" in past 24 hours W of BWI, my digital gauge was reading too low because it had a tiny leaf interfering with its tipping bucket, interesting that it was still registering a non-zero amount despite the leaf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1007 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR MADISON COUNTY BETWEEN THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND HIGHWAY 29... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Madison County in northwestern Virginia... * Until 115 AM EDT. * At 1007 PM EDT, emergency management reported widespread flooding and water rescues in Madison County between the crest of the Blue Ridge and Highway 29. Between 4 and 7 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 to 1 inch in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Madison County between the crest of the Blue Ridge and Highway 29. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Emergency management reported. IMPACT...This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! Life threatening flash flooding of low water crossings, small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Madison... Big Meadows... Brightwood... Aylor... Banco... Haywood... Criglersville... Pratts... Syria... Graves Mill... Wolftown... Shelby... Aroda... Etlan... Hood... Rochelle... Oakpark... Leon... Twymans Mill... Fletcher... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now! This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. && LAT...LON 3837 7812 3833 7808 3831 7811 3830 7810 3827 7815 3827 7818 3826 7818 3823 7822 3823 7825 3828 7830 3828 7835 3832 7836 3837 7843 3845 7844 3848 7845 3853 7844 3856 7838 3859 7838 3863 7834 3840 7810 FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.5-1 INCH IN 1 HOUR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 935 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR THE STANARDSVILLE, RUCKERSVILLE, AND DAWSONVILLE AREAS INCLUDING THE HIGHWAY 29 AND 33 CORRIDORS... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Greene County in central Virginia... * Until 1245 AM EDT. * At 935 PM EDT, emergency management reported thunderstorms producing heavy rain in The Stanardsville, Ruckersville, and Dawsonville areas including the Highway 29 and 33 corridors. Between 3 and 6 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1.5 to 2.5 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for The Stanardsville, Ruckersville, and Dawsonville areas including the Highway 29 and 33 corridors. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Emergency management reported. IMPACT...This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! Life threatening flash flooding of low water crossings, small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Stanardsville... Ruckersville... Lydia... Amicus... Mcmullen... Haneytown... Quinque... Saint George... Fletcher... Burtonville... Shady Grove... Newtown... Dawsonville... Mission Home... This includes the following Flood Prone Roads... Mutton Hollow Road near Spotswood Trail, Carpenters Mill Road at Route 607, Advance Mills Road and and Route 617, Westview Road and Deep Step Drive, Seminole Trail at White Run near Route 645, Route 621 along South River near Madison Road, 3300 Block of Spotswood Trail, Garth Road near Swift Run, Dyke Road near Blue Run near Spotswood Trail, South River Road near The South River, Dundee Road at The South River, Middle River Road near The Conway River, Octonia Road at South River Road and Celt Road near Amicus Road. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now! This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. && LAT...LON 3836 7843 3832 7838 3832 7836 3829 7836 3829 7835 3828 7835 3827 7829 3819 7837 3828 7866 3829 7865 3829 7864 3834 7855 3836 7854 3837 7853 3839 7852 3840 7850 3848 7845 3845 7844 3841 7844 3838 7842 FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1.5-2.5 INCHES IN 1 HOURS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Thunder now too. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Thunder now too. Congrats on the jackpot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DraydenWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 hours ago, dailylurker said: 1.18" here in the South River watershed. It's still steadily lightly raining. I'm going to take a hike and check out the flowering mountain laurel. Whatever, we know why you go on hikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Was going to take some trash out to the curb as pick up is tomorrow and I put the can out already. Opened the garage and saw it was pouring again. The garage itself feels like a wet sauna. Decided that it can wait till tomorrow morning. The cell over me seems to keep back building so thinking will get close to the 2” mark soon. Backyard station currently showing 1.89" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Over 1.6” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Over 4.5" and the radar returns south keep blossoming. If these continue to train, things are going to get really serious somewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1.94 inches here. Few spots vert close by have had almost 2.5 inches. That may be more convective rain firing and headed for Loudoun. Not super organized yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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