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Showers and periods of rain are likely through at least the first half of tonight. A general storm total 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely with some locally higher amounts by the time all of the rain winds down. Following the weekend, it will turn warmer and possibly drier. Some showers will be possible Tuesday night into Wednesday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around April 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.68°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.05°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least early summer.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was -13.16 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.412 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 66.0° (2.8° above normal). That would tie 2025 with 1986 as the 9th warmest May on record.

 

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1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Was, empire wind is currently on hold indefinitely. I’m not getting into politics in here but you know…

Who cares about wind. 

NYC was getting 20% of its power from a clean source immune to global price shocks that provided baseload power 24/7. 

But no! We had to shut that down!

My bills are pushing DOUBLE what I paid 5 years ago. And I got much more efficient heat pumps installed mind you! 

Don't get me started. 

 

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2 hours ago, Sundog said:

Who cares about wind. 

NYC was getting 20% of its power from a clean source immune to global price shocks that provided baseload power 24/7. 

But no! We had to shut that down!

My bills are pushing DOUBLE what I paid 5 years ago. And I got much more efficient heat pumps installed mind you! 

Don't get me started. 

 

Google AI just told me it would take 800 windmills to replace one nuclear reactor. Doesn’t fit the narrative though.

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59 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Google AI just told me it would take 800 windmills to replace one nuclear reactor. Doesn’t fit the narrative though.

Lots of greenhouse gases emitted making and installing those 800 windmills 

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Sitting at 1.6" for the day.  On both Sunday and yesterday we had some of the heaviest downpours in quite some time, at least since any convection last summer.

From Sunday through today, I'm at almost 5 inches, I think we're good for a bit.

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