Stormlover74 Posted Sunday at 11:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:14 PM Will we see our first heatwave? Severe weather? Or just a continuation of average to below average precip, above average temps and windy conditions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Sunday at 11:27 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:27 PM The first heatwave will be in June. A stray 90 degree day after May 20th, possibly near Memorial Day weekend. Nice low humidity pattern will continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Monday at 07:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:44 PM Around 5/5-6 timeframe the models build in an upper low near and NE of us, which we all know means nasty onshore/backdoor conditions. Hope it's wrong. Probably won't bring much rain either which we're starting to need and have to build up in the groundwater before summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 10 hours ago Author Share Posted 10 hours ago Gfs vs euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Yikes! Hoping the GFS is closer to correct. 7" of rain would be terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago On 4/27/2025 at 7:14 PM, Stormlover74 said: Will we see our first heatwave? Severe weather? Or just a continuation of average to below average precip, above average temps and windy conditions? Below average sounds lovely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 9 hours ago Author Share Posted 9 hours ago 15 minutes ago, FPizz said: Yikes! Hoping the GFS is closer to correct. 7" of rain would be terrible. Euro's probably overdone but it has been pretty consistent with 3"+ from Saturday through Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago ukmet and ggem moved toward the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Monitoring for 5-7 Day drought buster Fri May 2-Fri May May 9... no thread from myself as yet but if it looks more likely that there will be 20% areal coverage 5+ in NYC subforum (Poconos-Catskills , to the Ct River and north of I-195, would then thread. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 hours ago, wdrag said: Monitoring for 5-7 Day drought buster Fri May 2-Fri May May 9... no thread from myself as yet but if it looks more likely that there will be 20% areal coverage 5+ in NYC subforum (Poconos-Catskills , to the Ct River and north of I-195, would then thread. Latest from WPC has shifted max totals northward (vs. 12Z issuance) from VA Piedmont northward into PA, southern tier of NY and into NJ. This is through 00Z, Thurs. 5/8. Will all depend on placement of upper low and speed at which it exits. Needless to say I would be thrilled with half these totals. Possible southeast fetch lifted into the higher terrain of PA, NJ, NYS could deliver heavy totals but still subject to how upper low evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 5 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro's probably overdone but it has been pretty consistent with 3"+ from Saturday through Tuesday Now the Euro extends the rain through Wednesday. What a difference from a few days ago when it appeared it was gonna rain on Friday and clear out for the weekend. I'm glad to see these changes though ... we need the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 39 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Now the Euro extends the rain through Wednesday. What a difference from a few days ago when it appeared it was gonna rain on Friday and clear out for the weekend. I'm glad to see these changes though ... we need the rain. We do not need the 7" that the euro has. 3" in that time frame is plenty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago eps and geps trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 34 minutes ago Author Share Posted 34 minutes ago Gfs weekly rainfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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