May 2025 Obs/Discussion

[OceanStWx]

14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

was that a confirmed  tornado by Danbury?

Yes. There were two with the supercell by Great Barrington, one in CT, another in NJ, and several across parts of PA.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

I’m shocked Will leaves the board in the warm season now. Shocked I tell you. 

I mean, we have people claiming it’s been warm to this point and people still looking for a pixel of snow on 360 hour charts. 

[Typhoon Tip]

29 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Woof. I'm glad I never had to use 8 bit radar data. I'm also pretty sure ALY was still operating the 74C for this event, this was the summer they installed the 88D. 

Can definitely infer some things about it with OKX data. It's roughly 40 kt Vrot over 80 nm from the radar. So considering it's already smoothing the details because it's 8-bit data, and the range from the radar means the large beam volume smooths it even more, this would've been impressive with today's super res.

The Great Barrington tornado

[weatherwiz]

little TDS just southeast of Atlanta 

[Typhoon Tip]

14 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I mean, we have people claiming it’s been warm to this point and people still looking for a pixel of snow on 360 hour charts. 

Oh, Will doesn't seasonal this engagement based on user contribution and content...

He leaves because he doesn't give a ratz azz about warm weather climo - unless it's ( probably...) something truly extraordinary, which this land that god forgot region of the planet doesn't seem to incur enough to waste his time. 

That's why the man opts out.  Believe me ...there's just as much and probably actually more so in the way of bonehead squabbling and tedious nimrodery that goes on in the winter, too. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1928182039733321946?s=46&t=096JqkIpgJTvSWddnDYqdA
 

Fish has been hacked by someone in Tolland

 

[Damage In Tolland]

We told and told and told and ACATT said no.. it would be cold 

[HoarfrostHubb]

It’s called summer.  It does tend to get warm.  
I will install this weekend.  Maybe I wind up using it next week. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We told and told and told and ACATT said no.. it would be cold 

Breaking news … Highs of 74-82 in the first third of June! If those highs verified it would be slightly BN.. it’s an overall AN pattern but that damn cutoff low to our south prevents heat from building in. 

[ineedsnow]

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We told and told and told and ACATT said no.. it would be cold 

no one said cold..  70s yes. maybe Thursday could be low 80s  but it wont come with days of oppressive dews like you said. 

[Brewbeer]

1 hour ago, kdxken said:

I think I usually install last week of June.

 

1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I am early to middle June every year.

I don't need to install until the overnight lows stay above 65 and the DP is greater than 60, which is usually mid to late June for my back yard

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Breaking news … Highs of 74-82 in the first third of June! If those highs verified it would be slightly BN.. it’s an overall AN pattern but that damn cutoff low to our south prevents heat from building in. 

Take all those up 4-8 degrees and you’ve got what reality will be next week .  80-88.. maybe one day of 90

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Take all those up 4-8 degrees and you’ve got what reality will be next week .  80-88.. maybe one day of 90

Hard to get well into the 80s with ocean influence.. if we turn the winds WSW somehow then game on.. 

[ineedsnow]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Take all those up 4-8 degrees and you’ve got what reality will be next week .  80-88.. maybe one day of 90

80 to 88 is like saying there will be 3 to 12 inches of snow.  mine as well just say 70 to 95 so you can claim victory next week 

[weathafella]

8 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

It's not a hot pattern going forward and I wouldn't say all that humid. Probably a lot of 78-85 with some days of dews in 60s. Solid early June weather. June hasn't been that hot lately over last several years. 

FWIW, that’s way above normal for the first week in June.  Why do people expect 90s?   It happens occasionally but usually not till later in the month or July.

[Typhoon Tip]

19 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

80 to 88 is like saying there will be 3 to 12 inches of snow.  mine as well just say 70 to 95 so you can claim victory next week 

mm... not so.  I'm not saying Kevin had or has any sort of special insight buuut ... most of the time it's 88 F at BDL-FIT-ASH, it's not much higher than 80 above 700 or so foot elevations.   If it's a true heat dome, with tall soundings...than it you'll get 88 up there, and 96 at those lower elevations. 

So saying 80-88, even if by dumb luck ( LOL ) sounds like paying deference to both. 

[Typhoon Tip]

21 minutes ago, weathafella said:

FWIW, that’s way above normal for the first week in June.  Why do people expect 90s?   It happens occasionally but usually not till later in the month or July.

This is recreational whining in here... I mean there's nothing wrong with this weather.  There was objectively nothing wrong with it either - the subjective side?  it comes off as support group complaining.

[Torch Tiger]

LR models were showing that bogus "days n days" coastal/nor'easter and some folks (mostly ACATT) bought it hook, line, sinker.  it vanished as we said it would, and they went off the deep end. It's almost like their snow was taken away but it was really just a nasty cool rain

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

mm... not so.  I'm not saying Kevin had or has any sort of special insight buuut ... most of the time it's 88 F at BDL-FIT-ASH, it's not much higher than 80 above 700 or so foot elevations.   If it's a true heat dome, with tall soundings...than it you'll get 88 up there, and 96 at those lower elevations. 

So saying 80-88, even if by dumb luck ( LOL ) sounds like paying deference to both. 

were talking about temps at Mount Tolland .. speaking of which  @Damage In Tolland what do you think the temps will be at your location.. highs and lows

Tuesday

Wednesday 

Thursday

Friday

 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

LR models were showing that bogus "days n days" coastal/nor'easter and some folks (mostly ACATT) bought it hook, line, sinker.  it vanished as we said it would, and they went off the deep end. It's almost like their snow was taken away but it was really just a nasty cool rain

no one said days and days

[Damage In Tolland]

40 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

were talking about temps at Mount Tolland .. speaking of which  @Damage In Tolland what do you think the temps will be at your location.. highs and lows

Tuesday

Wednesday 

Thursday

Friday

 

Not true. When we talk patterns anytime it’s not about where I live generally . Unless it’s a specific snowfall forecast or something. It’s a regional discussion based on pattern. Next week starting Tuesday thru end of week is deep summer. With heat and dews. ( relative to normal) One cursory glance at the ensembles and one can easily see it 

[Typhoon Tip]

Manitoba is apparently on fire.  You can already see the smoke aggregating in the atmosphere on satellite across the continent.  It's not clear where these plumes will end up, if so ... how much they may effect temperature.  I'm (personally ) not sure what the science/present consensus verdict is on that.  Intuitively it seems to me that it would dim potential above some particulate density threshold ...   Plume height might also play a role.

 

[Damage In Tolland]

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Manitoba is apparently on fire.  You can already see the smoke aggregating in the atmosphere on satellite across the continent.  It's not clear where these plumes will end up, if so ... how much they may effect temperature.  I'm (personally ) not sure what the science/present consensus verdict is on that.  Intuitively it seems to me that it would dim potential above some particulate density threshold ...   Plume height might also play a role.

 

Eerily similar to 2 summers ago. Smoke filled skies on a daily basis coupled either high dews . Looks very very close to that 

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This is recreational whining in here... I mean there's nothing wrong with this weather.  There was objectively nothing wrong with it either - the subjective side?  it comes off as support group complaining.

On this forum, we know DIT/Kev does not like shoulder seasons.  So a concerted marketing effort takes place to either get past them as fast as possible, or at least create the illusion that we are moving past it.

Once winter wraps up with the “Morch” comments, it’s time to start hyping summer immediately.

So by the time we hit June, we’ve literally been hearing/talking about warmth, installing A/Cs, etc for like 6+ weeks now.

 Its the same in the winter… talk about upcoming cold and troughs and whatever starting in October, by the time December rolls around everyone is expecting mid-winter.

Theres no doubt the collective discussion in here alters our idea of what normal is… because we love to rush seasons and the narrative is guided by a salesman.

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

On this forum, we know DIT/Kev does not like shoulder seasons.  So a concerted marketing effort takes place to either get past them as fast as possible, or at least create the illusion that we are moving past it.

Once winter wraps up with the “Morch” comments, it’s time to start hyping summer immediately.

So by the time we hit June, we’ve literally been hearing/talking about warmth, installing A/Cs, etc for like 6+ weeks now.

 Its the same in the winter… talk about upcoming cold and troughs and whatever starting in October, by the time December rolls around everyone is expecting mid-winter.

Theres no doubt the collective discussion in here alters our idea of what normal is… because we love to rush seasons and the narrative is guided by a salesman.

Guess it's like going into a retail store-the summer stuff is out in March, gone by July, Xmas starts around Labor Day, etc etc

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Guess it's like going into a retail store-the summer stuff is out in March, gone by July, Xmas starts around Labor Day, etc etc

That’s exactly what this forum feels like sometimes lol.  Great analogy.  By the time climo catches up, we are already moving onto the next season.

[Brewbeer]

57 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not true.

lol.

 

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

On this forum, we know DIT/Kev does not like shoulder seasons.  So a concerted marketing effort takes place to either get past them as fast as possible, or at least create the illusion that we are moving past it.

Once winter wraps up with the “Morch” comments, it’s time to start hyping summer immediately.

So by the time we hit June, we’ve literally been hearing/talking about warmth, installing A/Cs, etc for like 6+ weeks now.

 Its the same in the winter… talk about upcoming cold and troughs and whatever starting in October, by the time December rolls around everyone is expecting mid-winter.

Theres no doubt the collective discussion in here alters our idea of what normal is… because we love to rush seasons and the narrative is guided by a salesman.

I take quite a bit of offense at this . Not good man 

[Baroclinic Zone]

wild story out of Switzerland. This was not too far from where I was.

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

wild story out of Switzerland. This was not too far from where I was.

crazy video.. I saw that the shaking was the same as a 3.1 earthquake and those people were evacuated a week ago or it would have been worse.. atleast they knew beforehand