weatherwiz Posted yesterday at 03:36 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 03:36 PM 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s unusable. Don’t do it. It's been horrific, I barely even look out much past 5 days right now. Friend of mine told me he came across something where the score of the GFS has been abysmal...and model scores overall may be down. Have to wonder how much the reduced balloon launches are factoring in? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted yesterday at 03:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:41 PM Torch! https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1927349946891501897?s=12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted yesterday at 03:58 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:58 PM 21 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It's been horrific, I barely even look out much past 5 days right now. Friend of mine told me he came across something where the score of the GFS has been abysmal...and model scores overall may be down. Have to wonder how much the reduced balloon launches are factoring in? If that’s the case then we’d see the same for other models I would guess. Not sure what’s going on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted yesterday at 03:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:59 PM 25 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I hope this week turns out better than is being advertised. Not sure I can stand the wall to wall clouds again this week. Yesterdya may have been the best day until late next week. Yesterday, today, and tomorrow look good. Friday also may be ok. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted yesterday at 04:06 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:06 PM How is yesterday better than today? It's in the mid 70s today and we might have touched 63 yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 04:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:11 PM 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Torch! https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1927349946891501897?s=12 pretty sure NYC will be a bit warmer then Mount Tolland unless your moving.. you could see low 80s though if the Euro is correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted yesterday at 04:35 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:35 PM 23 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: pretty sure NYC will be a bit warmer then Mount Tolland unless your moving.. you could see low 80s though if the Euro is correct Well the point was. A week + of 90 in NYC is a week + of 80’s and dews for you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted yesterday at 04:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:52 PM 6 hours ago, kdxken said: The beech trees are toast. That's how mine started. Gone now. Nematode; got mine in NJ. I’ve been trying to save it with my tree-scientist buddy, via fertilizer/meds, but it’s too far gone. I suspect they will all go sadly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted yesterday at 05:00 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:00 PM Finally got mine too. Took this yesterday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted yesterday at 05:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:12 PM 76/38 What a day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted yesterday at 05:26 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 05:26 PM 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: If that’s the case then we’d see the same for other models I would guess. Not sure what’s going on. That is a thought I had too. But something is going on, I mean we can even extend what seems to be poor skill back 3-4 years now, especially in winter. There have been some extremely large jumps within guidance inside of 72 hours and it seems just about every major model has had its share of failures. Part of me wonders if its just related to how complex the weather patterns have been or if its more human related. There is just so much garbage thrown around on social media for storm potentials several days out (sometimes even 10+) and there is so much focus on just one or two graphics, and forecasts start getting chucked out 4 days in advance. There is too much with taking a model at face value and very little critical thinking or skill applied. Its just take the model which shows what the user wants and then try to spin it into a forecast. Then when the forecast doesn't pan out, the models get blamed. At the TriState Weather Conference in October, a person asked a question relating why it seems like models were doing worse. I believe it was Dr. Tuell who responded, but he essentially said one problem is there is lack of responsibility taken and models are essentially used as a crutch as to why a forecast is wrong. I wish his answer was recorded, I thought it was a great statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted yesterday at 05:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:37 PM 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Torch! https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1927349946891501897?s=12 Page Hits!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 05:40 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:40 PM 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well the point was. A week + of 90 in NYC is a week + of 80’s and dews for you lets see if the Euro still has it at 12z the GFS is a disaster for the heat and dews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 05:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:43 PM CMC also a disaster for the HHH crew.. Maybe day 10 but looks like a front comes through after that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted yesterday at 05:51 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:51 PM Euro heater mid week next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted yesterday at 05:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:52 PM That’s a Ricky look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted yesterday at 05:54 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:54 PM 10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: CMC also a disaster for the HHH crew.. Maybe day 10 but looks like a front comes through after that Stock up on TP. Summer sizzler of HHH about to settle in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted yesterday at 05:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:59 PM 18 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: lets see if the Euro still has it at 12z the GFS is a disaster for the heat and dews https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1927403235452539027?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted yesterday at 06:06 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:06 PM 6 hours ago, amarshall said: Love the new updated SE mass drought. I can tell you there's standing water everywhere. Mosquitos are going to be the size of birds. This drought map is nonsense Did you notice the effective date of that drought monitor map is 5/1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted yesterday at 06:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:12 PM 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Stock up on TP. Summer sizzler of HHH about to settle in I've never known someone to be sssoooo fascinated with toilet paper lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted yesterday at 06:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:15 PM 31 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: CMC also a disaster for the HHH crew.. Maybe day 10 but looks like a front comes through after that Not really ... 570+ thickness building into the region after D7 ...? though I'm not sure what, nor when, people are whining about in this recreational complaining outlet. But 588 height to Concord NH with 850s > 16C is is not a disaster for warmth and humidity 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted yesterday at 06:17 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:17 PM yeah sell the GFS with that thing... that's spurious until it gets anything resembling support - which is far as I've found there is none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted yesterday at 06:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:19 PM Saturday system looks to be trending a bit towards a cutter/inland track. Probably a bunch of p-type issues pretty far inland with those tracks. 6z Sat to 6z Sun. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted yesterday at 06:34 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:34 PM 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro heater mid week next week. I mean, haven’t we sort of been expecting that for days now? Middle of next week has looked quite warm on long range for a while. When it’s June, it’s time to have some 80s. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted yesterday at 06:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:41 PM Yeah... mid to maybe upper 80s for some. Prob a 81-84 type deal here. Let's see if it holds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted yesterday at 06:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:45 PM 79/34 might be one of the best T/Td spreads for humans to exist outside, ha. It’s amazing out there. 41 diurnal range today so far. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM Just now, powderfreak said: 79/34 might be one of the best T/Td spreads for humans to exist outside, ha. It’s amazing out there. 41 diurnal range today so far. I was able to bring my students outside today for an assignment. It was supposed to happen last Thursday during the monsoon. This was much better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted yesterday at 07:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:26 PM I think it's impressive that full foliage and that DP existing at the same time - very rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted yesterday at 08:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:02 PM 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Saturday system looks to be trending a bit towards a cutter/inland track. Probably a bunch of p-type issues pretty far inland with those tracks. 6z Sat to 6z Sun. For fucks sake. What a disaster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted yesterday at 08:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:14 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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