BristowWx Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 5 minutes ago, bncho said: Think they deleted it. You need a sit down to create a thread. Stormtracker is head of the 5 families. You got virtually whacked. 1 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wait, is this the thread? No real thread created yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 For F’s sake, Randy deleted the very premature newbies thread. The PBP by the master will be in here. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 So the flow out front of the s/w is flatter. Can't say I like that part. Confluence seems a little more relaxed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 2 minutes ago, ravensrule said: For F’s sake, Randy deleted the very premature newbies thread. The PBP by the master will be in here. Who the hell is that? Because my pbp is some straight up shit and rudimentary. I'm the White Castle of pbp. The Frontier Airlines if you will 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rollenwiese Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Just a lurker, but 1) love stormtrackers p-b-p, 2) seems futile to open a thread before an advisory/watch is clearly imminent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: Who the hell is that? Because my pbp is some straight up shit and rudimentary. I'm the White Castle of pbp. The Frontier Airlines if you will The GFS about to look like frontier airlines knowing its history. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Looks faster and less organized at 99 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 So precip does look a little flatter/souther altho the confluence is further NE. Gonna let it play out tho...just offering descriptions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 We need to slow this thing down, the sudden speed up won’t make as many friends for obvious reasons (less qpf, any secondary influence, etc.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Who the hell is that? Because my pbp is some straight up shit and rudimentary. I'm the White Castle of pbp. The Frontier Airlines if you will He meant Ji. Also GFS is faster again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Looks faster and less organized at 99 Yep. Its faster this run for sure. And souther. Congrats CHO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: So precip does look a little flatter/souther altho the confluence is further NE. Gonna let it play out tho...just offering descriptions Yea I was going to say I thought the surface really didn’t overly change much compared to h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 So it SEEMS flatter, but it's wetter so far...not by much 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 The ICON greatly diminishes Mondays potential....................... DROUGHT??................. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 I don't know. DOesn't seem like any improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Looks like a solid average of 2-4 forum wide? People with the prettier WW maps can post Heaviest strip runs across south/central VA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 The wetter storm cancels out the faster/souther mostly. A better run… kinda forgot how bad 12z was. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 If it was just a little bit further north it actually would be a pretty good run, has a better snow max but is just a bit too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Pretty significant difference with the confluence by hr 96. Line was up toward Syracuse and over toward superior and now down by Buffalo and Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Agreed that it’s definitely wetter than 12z, but just has been wildly inconsistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 So if the Jan 6 threat shits the bed, that bodes better for Heisy's HECS on the 11th right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 So tiring and frustrating. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Ok, I was mostly right...it's wetter, but for areas just to the south. Up here we just about stay the same 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 If it was just a little bit further north it actually would be a pretty good run, has a better snow max but is just a bit too far south. Actually a closed h5 low this time once it gets into the Plains, though could be noise. Regardless, I’m ok with this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Just now, mitchnick said: So tiring and frustrating. You know this is how we do. Gonna be like this prob until Saturday or something 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: The wetter storm cancels out the faster/souther mostly. A better run… kinda forgot how bad 12z was. Very acceptable, but I live in Stafford. This has a between EZF and DCA bullseye feel to it, but I’m prepared to be screwed in some way like usual. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Ok, well that was anitclimactic. Looks like a hold...sort of? Anyway, I'm now looking for the Jan 10-11 thing. Sigh...I wanna be able to post the F--Ks word. And no, not that one. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 Looks like the typical GFS swings/noise to me. Yes it’s faster, but the NE trough/confluence also moves east accordingly. Almost like they’re dancing in sync. Qpf amounts won’t be figured out until the meso models have their day with it. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 1, 2025 Share Posted January 1, 2025 if this does happen and this storm fizzles out like I heard mants mets want. I keep hearing now its going to weaken the farther east it goes first time hearing that. But we all know what they will say we dodge a bullet with this one and cheer and clap on tv. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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