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August 2024 General Discussion


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26 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

I'm going to the Porkies Oct 6-9

October 5th a few years ago I received 5 inches of snow so you could see some .:)
Def check out the 35,000 acres of old growth trees.  It's a sight to behold and the incline they're on in spots has to be almost 45 degrees.  I haven't been there in the summer since I've lived here but have been a few times in the winter but most of the park and the boundary roads close for the season due to the deep snow.

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27 minutes ago, weatherbo said:

October 5th a few years ago I received 5 inches of snow so you could see some .:)
Def check out the 35,000 acres of old growth trees.  It's a sight to behold and the incline they're on in spots has to be almost 45 degrees.  I haven't been there in the summer since I've lived here but have been a few times in the winter but most of the park and the boundary roads close for the season due to the deep snow.

Awesome. Thanks for the suggestion!

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For days the Euro and HRDPS showed storms blowing up last night over eastern IA/western IL, and then yesterday's runs suddenly dropped them.  In reality nothing formed last night, so a major fail for both of them models.  
DVN all in on the heat, going with 97/98 for highs Mon/Tue and have issued an excessive heat warning.

Pretty wild to see this level of heat with only 13 hours of daylight. Talk about absolutely pumping the heat in with this ridge.

On a positive note, we were on the lake all day today and the cool, dry weather of the past week or so made the water beyond refreshing to swim in today
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On 8/23/2024 at 8:39 AM, TheClimateChanger said:

 

On the drought, Zanesville still at 0.16" for the month with 6 days to go. If no rain falls this week, it would be the 5th driest of any month [driest in about 100 years] and easily the driest summer month there.

image.png.a0b046e6e741291f833c9f1a7cef90bc.png

Columbus still at 3rd driest summer [1930, only 0.05" less] and driest since 1933.

image.png.54ac811609a7ea2439376c48b520f449.png

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12 hours ago, nwohweather said:


Pretty wild to see this level of heat with only 13 hours of daylight. Talk about absolutely pumping the heat in with this ridge.

On a positive note, we were on the lake all day today and the cool, dry weather of the past week or so made the water beyond refreshing to swim in today

The longest heatwave on record for this area happened from August 25 - Sepember 4, 1953.

Detroit

8/25/53: 92/64

8/26/53: 96/71

8/27/53: 95/69

8/28/53: 96/67

8/29/53: 96/71

8/30/53: 97/71

8/31/53: 97/71

9/01/53: 98/70

9/02/53: 100/76

9/03/53: 100/71

9/04/53: 91/61

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11 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

On the drought, Zanesville still at 0.16" for the month with 6 days to go. If no rain falls this week, it would be the 5th driest of any month [driest in about 100 years] and easily the driest summer month there.

 

If this continues, southeast OH into WV is going to be tee'd up for one hell of a wildfire season this fall.

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2 hours ago, buckeye said:

If this continues, southeast OH into WV is going to be tee'd up for one hell of a wildfire season this fall.

I lived through some of those seasons growing up in SE Ohio where the hills across the valley were almost not visible due to smoke.  Not fun.  Hoping for some rain soon for those folks.  I have heard some people on wells are resorting to hauling water and have had relatives say the cracks in the ground are getting quite large. 

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13 minutes ago, rainsucks said:

HRRR had a 101 for ORD tomorrow, which actually seems reasonable if outflow isn't an issue.

Seems pretty unreasonable to me. There are 4 dates later in the season with 100F+, 3 of which were observed when the official observations were taken at Midway Airport: 101, on 9/1/1953; 101, on 9/2/1953; 100 on 9/7/1960; and 100 on 9/7/1939.

Looks like the highest temperature observed at O'Hare Airport on or after today's date is 99F in 1960 & 1985:

image.png.3459bc0535850553b44acdd9e1662c07.png

Not to say it can't happen, but it would almost be without historical precedent.

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30 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Seems pretty unreasonable to me. There are 4 dates later in the season with 100F+, 3 of which were observed when the official observations were taken at Midway Airport: 101, on 9/1/1953; 101, on 9/2/1953; 100 on 9/7/1960; and 100 on 9/7/1939.

Looks like the highest temperature observed at O'Hare Airport on or after today's date is 99F in 1960 & 1985:

image.png.3459bc0535850553b44acdd9e1662c07.png

Not to say it can't happen, but it would almost be without historical precedent.

We have an almost off the charts 500 mb ridge anchored pretty much directly overhead (with similarly impressive thermals), and are living in a completely different era of climate now. I can certainly see it happening granted we avoid any weird outflow boundaries (and that's a BIG if).

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Seems pretty unreasonable to me. There are 4 dates later in the season with 100F+, 3 of which were observed when the official observations were taken at Midway Airport: 101, on 9/1/1953; 101, on 9/2/1953; 100 on 9/7/1960; and 100 on 9/7/1939.
Looks like the highest temperature observed at O'Hare Airport on or after today's date is 99F in 1960 & 1985:
image.png.3459bc0535850553b44acdd9e1662c07.png
Not to say it can't happen, but it would almost be without historical precedent.

tth.

It hit 100° last year on 8/24.

(Not that I think it will hit 100°+, because I don’t.)
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2 hours ago, rainsucks said:

We have an almost off the charts 500 mb ridge anchored pretty much directly overhead (with similarly impressive thermals), and are living in a completely different era of climate now. I can certainly see it happening granted we avoid any weird outflow boundaries (and that's a BIG if).

Ridge overhead will make it very hot...but what in the world does "a completely different era of climate" have to do with anything? Like most midwest places, Chicagos greatest concentration of 90s was in the mid-20th century. Blame it on the dustbowl, blame it on todays humidity, blame on whatever you want, but it was easier to get the real hot temps back then than it is now.

Annual 90+ days at Chicago

1930s- 19
1940s- 23
1950s- 28
1960s- 19
1970s- 21
1980s- 22
1990s- 16
2000s- 13
2010s- 19

 

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It is currently 94/81/115 here in Cedar Rapids.  The NWS has had 98º for our high for a few days, but they are always too hot on the hottest days.  It's extremely rare for CR to reach the upper 90s.

Frankly, while I'm very glad to have air conditioning, I actually get cold inside so I go outside once in a while.  This oppressive heat feels great for a few minutes at a time.

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I remember when hitting an 80 degree dewpoint was kind of a rare occasion.  Now it seems we do it multiple waves per summer.  

Hit 81 here earlier, and reached 94 for a high.  MLI languished today and only mustered a lowly 93.  Good chance they hit 94-96 tomorrow though for the highest temp of the season/year.

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Catching up on what's ongoing...

Topped out at 91° at ORD and at MDW on Saturday. Peaked at 93° at ORD and 92° at MDW on Sunday.

Reached 96° at ORD and 95° at MDW today.

...2024 90°+ Day Tally...
20 - MDW
18 - ORD
16 - PWK
15 - RFD
15 - LOT
14 - DPA
14 - ARR
9 - UGN

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30 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

I remember when hitting an 80 degree dewpoint was kind of a rare occasion.  Now it seems we do it multiple waves per summer.  

Hit 81 here earlier, and reached 94 for a high.  MLI languished today and only mustered a lowly 93.  Good chance they hit 94-96 tomorrow though for the highest temp of the season/year.

The media has latched onto ET, so the buzz is now “corn sweat.” It’s the new “polar vortex” and “atmospheric river.”

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The South Bend Airport hit 93.9 today.

The HRRR and GFS have South Bend getting at or above 100 degrees tomorrow.

South Bend has only seen triple-digit hit on 63 days in recorded history. The last time was July 6th, 2012 when the mercury hit 102. (4,434 days ago!)

I'm not totally convinced we'll hit the century mark tomorrow... but it'll be worth watching!

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