CoastalWx Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Famous last words lol… You may done..the weather may have other ideas. Congrats Quebec snow mobile milfs? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Hey look high pressure...where the F was that all winter. Right lol. That tpv wave that slides out ahead of the main trough is key. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 37 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Not at all, what I mean is, it’s a roll the dice chance at this juncture, this thing can end up anywhere. So saying anything at this point is pretty useless, other than there may be a storm nearby in 8-9 days. I don't think it's useless to say odds are against it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 38 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: He did say something like this. And I did a whole write up about how awful the forecast was. I don't see the parallel. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 12z Euro is taking its time with the main event, so no pretty generated GIFs for this run. Last frame at hour 240 instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't think it's useless to say odds are against it. Fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hey look high pressure...where the F was that all winter. I said that a couple days back when I saw that high there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Congrats Kathadin 12z Euro FRAM est. I thought you liked damage? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Just now, AstronomyEnjoyer said: 12z Euro FRAM est. I thought you liked damage? What is the sam hell is the Euro Fram? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Fram makes oil filters that suck 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What is the sam hell is the Euro Fram? Freezing rain estimate that isn't as ridiculous as the straight up freezing rain QPF estimates are. That map is even more zonked than the one I just posted. *Freezing Rain Accumulation Model* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Fair enough. You are right that its worth watching...weather is humbling, as we saw with respect to that Feb 13th deal. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 6 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Freezing rain estimate that isn't as ridiculous as the straight up freezing rain QPF estimates are. That map is even more zonked than the one I just posted. *Freezing Rain Accumulation Model* Well let’s do it . I took one look earlier this morning and thought it had an ice look . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 That looks excessive given retreating high in March. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That looks excessive given retreating high in March. It's the EURO KEV 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That looks excessive given retreating high in March. That seems to be the case with those the vast majority of the time. I'm not sure I've ever seen one verify. Usually end up with like a quarter of what the model spat out at best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Snowstorm incoming at 240 ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 1 minute ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: That seems to be the case with those the vast majority of the time. I'm not sure I've ever seen one verify. Usually end up with like a quarter of what the model spat out at best. Many times the total ice shown is way too high. I think even the FRAM can be high because as you know...that stuff can fall and blow off surfaces that it tries to adhere on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Snowstorm incoming at 240 ? A little warm on the EPS mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 #deseperation time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Zip continuity beyond D7 ... but, no model is really required to in that range anyway. Both aspects in that sentence all but completely require not even being allowed to post that shit LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: #deseperation time That was more than a month ago…I don’t think anybody is desperate anymore. Everybody has resigned themselves to it being over. Now all of a sudden(the last couple days) modeling is showing something wintry perhaps. No big deal if it doesn’t verify. So no desperation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Poke and run on the hornet's nest here but that's GEPs mean is ...well, pretty 'mean' looking considering this is 200+ hours.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Poke and run on the hornet's nest here but that's GEPs mean is ...well, pretty 'mean' looking considering this is 200+ hours.. Something definitely there to watch for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Queue the sun angle talk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 10 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Queue the sun angle talk! Sprinkle in a little warm asphalt and here we are, March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Close the shades. We've seen way too many times what happens when we have garbage airmasses ahead of impending "potential" storms. We couldn't get anything to evolve to work in our favor during peak climo...how the hell are we going to get it to work nearing mid-March...especially when the airmass out ahead of it is worlds milder. Obviously different story for the mountains up north where they get snow threats through April 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 I love the language in the point and click for Donner Pass. "Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times" I would think if it will total 43 to 49 inches just overnight that it may be heavy at times. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.3191&lon=-120.3285 This Afternoon Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 29. Windy, with a southwest wind 28 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 28 to 34 inches possible. Tonight Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Low around 16. Wind chill values as low as -2. Windy, with a southwest wind around 38 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 43 to 49 inches possible. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 6 minutes ago, klw said: I love the language in the point and click for Donner Pass. "Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times" I would think if it will total 43 to 49 inches just overnight that it may be heavy at times. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.3191&lon=-120.3285 This Afternoon Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 29. Windy, with a southwest wind 28 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 28 to 34 inches possible. Tonight Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Low around 16. Wind chill values as low as -2. Windy, with a southwest wind around 38 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 43 to 49 inches possible. Instead of "Heavy at Times" it should just be "Heavy all of the Time." On an aside, I've always wondered why most of the western forecasts use "Snow Showers" instead of just "Snow".... maybe @OceanStWx can shed some light on how the grids are populated out there verses the Midwest and East. Because it does not matter the accumulation, most of the mountain forecasts out west all use "Snow Showers" as the description. Today: Snow Showers. Four feet worth of Snow Showers. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now