Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 SREF is showing around 7:1 ratios for NE MD per 15z so there is not much snow loss from 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: Kuchera And snow depth change IAD Bullseye 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 42 minutes ago, mikeg0305 said: I live in Parkton and the snowblower is in the shed. Do I drag that sucker out tonight or what? Heavens, no. You'll scare the dendrites off. Their vision is based off movement. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 58 minutes ago, high risk said: Goddamnit, y'all. I have literally worked as a RAP/HRRR developer, and I would still use the JMA or NAVGEM before I used the RAP/HRRR system for snow amounts. These people have a fever for high snow amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 20z Hrr brought the heavy snow totals furthest SW of all model runs so far, 6" to Frederick, MD. I'm pretty comfortable with where I am in Harford Co. to get 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: HRRR is gonna work for anyone DC-north again. I’d give up my Super Bowl gambling winnings for another 50 miles south though Probably should be a flood watch up 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: You’re watching water vapor? Wow, that’s cool, bro. They told me it was invisible in science class. Dafuq do ‘they’ know anyways? All kidding aside, nowcasting is a thing and is also an art. What’s your forecast and for where? ETA: ninja’d. See your forecasts above. Think you will bust high with ground truth, but good luck! Seriously This one just evolved out of almost nowhere . I’m going to look hard at colder temp movement starting around 10pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I’m wondering why the NWS hasn’t posted at least a Hazardous Outlook for the counties surrounding DC N and W since this could impact rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Temp plummeting. 43/41. At this rate should be in the low 20s by morning 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 25 minutes ago, notvirga! said: is this similar to what you are thinking? https://x.com/matthewcappucci/status/1757165780666290588?s=46 It’s close. He’s not highlighting the elevation areas within the 1-3” shading, so it’s a broadbrush. Could be right, but I hate maps that don’t provide the detail along the ridge areas that ride along MD27 and along the M/D. For a quick map, it’s not bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 59 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: sorry to kill the excitement but Pivotal's maps are bad. Still... reasonably good north of the Beltway These pathetic ass models are still waffling all over the place. A range if 0-8” is simply jokingly unacceptable at this point with onsetv 12 hours awayv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 In all seriousness, 0z runs tonight will probably be the highest anticipated runs so far this season. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 20 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Thanks! Best of luck… hope you are right. And I won’t be waffling ass all over the place the rest of the night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Ellinwoods first call 2 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: I’m wondering why the NWS hasn’t posted at least a Hazardous Outlook for the counties surrounding DC N and W since this could impact rush hour. That should be very telling to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 HRRR surface temps cooled a few degrees compare to this morning's runs. Right at freezing now for most of the NW crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Only getting heavier 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: In all seriousness, 0z runs tonight will probably be the highest anticipated runs so far this season. Hopefully not our last Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 When the RAP pulls the ripcord it’s gonna be brutal because each run I believe 1% more 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: When the RAP pulls the ripcord it’s gonna be brutal because each run I believe 1% more 6 inches for baltimore on Kutchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Tom T going very conservative. 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 this as advertised would be insane on the hrrr, no problem sticking with those rates and dynamic cooling 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I’m out power walking and I’m sweating so this doesn’t bode well for temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: When the RAP pulls the ripcord it’s gonna be brutal because each run I believe 1% more Yeah, the guy who helped developed the RAP says it's shit, lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Hopefully not our last I think we got a few more after this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Junkie Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Temp plummeting. 43/41. At this rate should be in the low 20s by morning Can someone please post snow totals at 15/1 ratios? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, HighStakes said: Tom T going very conservative. 1-2. Probably a pretty smart call for just about everyone under 750' imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Yeah, the guy who helped developed the RAP says it's shit, lolIt did fine in our January storms… I feel like Chuck shared it at range a few times and it actually performed well. But apples to oranges probably 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 They will bust low like the last 2 times.. I expect Winter Storm Warnings to go up N of I-95 right before, or during the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The school delays are getting out of control. Why can’t they make delay calls in the morning anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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