roardog Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 hour ago, Spartman said: I think it means you’ll get a lot of 89 degree highs this year. Just kidding. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 zzzzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: zzzzzzzz /\ the Rip Van Winkle of weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Models showing potential for some freezing rain Monday night into Tuesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Frozen ground and boundary layer will not go quietly into the dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Models showing potential for some freezing rain Monday night into Tuesday morning Been consistent signals last two days for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 It was a long road, but we finally have an official SSWE on our hands... The first period of significant warming in late December and early January, which missed SSWE "criteria", was a significant driving force in the recent/current wintry pattern. This secondary period of significant warming and actual SSWE could lead to a period of interest as we hit the very end of January and head into February. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 15 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: It was a long road, but we finally have an official SSWE on our hands... The first period of significant warming in late December and early January, which missed SSWE "criteria", was a significant driving force in the recent/current wintry pattern. This secondary period of significant warming and actual SSWE could lead to a period of interest as we hit the very end of January and head into February. pattern reload. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 20 hours ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Models showing potential for some freezing rain Monday night into Tuesday morning Since you mentioned this I wanted to give my thoughts on this one. There is definitely a moisture surge that comes north Monday into Tuesday, but it comes north with a modest LLJ, weaker than one would expect and the system isn't overly strong. What is good about that is the WAA would be weaker than expected, and with a cold dense air mass in place it would be slower to get shunted away and that's without factoring in a decent snow pack that gets added to today into tomorrow. I would say I could see a colder solution barring a dramatic change, and the GFS is definitely leaning that way with a solid snowfall on Tuesday with some ice along I-80. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Let me guess... ...delayed but not denied 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Models continue to trend colder early next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 ready 2 b glazed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 If we could just keep a bit of the snowpack somehow that would be swagallicous but alas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 pls don't overpeform like last year's ice event (or just stay snow like Stebo suggests) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Have a feeling the beginning of next week is going to be quite icy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: pls don't overpeform like last year's ice event (or just stay snow like Stebo suggests) Hard pass on anything ice related Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 33 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Hard pass on anything ice related 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 36 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Hard pass on anything ice related User name does not check out. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, sbnwx85 said: User name does not check out. 2 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Thank you I needed that laugh this afternoon! It’s more related to what I’m doing work wise right now lol. I mind as well accept the nice beautiful coating on trees! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 zzzzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Oh nice, more cold rain and ice. Haven’t had that much in the last 5 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 As fun as this pattern has been it seem like it is about to crash. MJO is looking horrible. 6 is about the worst position possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 My post from several days ago doesn't look like it's going to age well. [mention=525]OHweather[/mention] can probably speak to this better but it appears there's going to be another Pacific jet extension event, paired with the MJO forecast to go into unfavorable phases. So the favorable look that existed end of the month into February certainly isn't there on the ensembles anymore. That said, with the warmer stratosphere and resultant weakened SPV, the retraction of the Pac jet may eventually lead to another favorable window, aided by the MJO if it keeps moving along like it has been lately. Relative to pre-season thinking for this winter, the stretch we've been in has been quite active and unexpected, up there with the winter 2020-21 rally though with the heaviest snows displaced west and northwest. It's not too surprising to get back into another unfavorable window amidst a strong Niño if things play out as they're looking at this point for late January into the start of February. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 not our year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 29 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: not our year lol ORD and RFD are above average for snowfall on the season through today. suck 2 b lakeside. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 i work by ord, same turd winter as lakeside 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CorePunch Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 LaLa range of the GFS is a ridiculous torch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 5 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: i work by ord, same turd winter as lakeside bad take. ORD finished slightly above normal in snowfall for Oct and Nov, and will now do the same for Jan. obviously it has been a torch temp wise until the past week or so, but snowfall wise it is as expected. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Grasping at straws I know but considering what's coming, the Euro has something nice at the end of it's run. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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