WinterWolf Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: Is that a katydid? Exactly. Seen them here since I was a kid. They’re what you hear at night, starting in late July that go Zi-Zi-Zi, until the frost kills em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Anyone know what this is? Saw it on my door this morning and have never seen one before here in CT. Looks like some leaf mimic I saw in the rain forest of Costa Rica?The doggo made friends with one of these back in September… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Whether it's a GFS CNE/NNE snow event or the Canadian gale (all as shown on 12z runs) good to see it active. We've definitely flipped the switch to a more active cold season look. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Whether it's a GFS CNE/NNE snow event or the Canadian gale (all as shown on 12z runs) good to see it active. We've definitely flipped the switch to a more active cold season look. Agreed…like the active nature as we progress into November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Yeah Scott... We were just reminiscing about some yore -worthy NJ model low events and the GFS was apparently listening in. Shave a half C off the thermal sounding and that's actually major hit in this depiction. High pressure not in the worst position for this. The attending 500 mb is in the process of amplifying so this particular interval below is about to get a jolt of dymamic forcing? as is I wouldn't even discount this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 wow that's a sweet system... Yeah, it's a bit handicapped by a slightly too warm thermal layout, but it goes from the high 990s mb all the way 975mb in 20 hours. Bombogenesis nor'easter thrashing at the coast for several hours with wind and sideways cold rain. Marginality should be monitored inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 What a burial for CNE and NNE on gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 That is one chilly active look on the GFS. Wow! I’m getting excited for it. Good looks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Might be two shots next week (including next weekend)...that first wave around 11/7-8 which looks more marginal (shows up as a cutter on the GGEM) but then behind that there is a distinct amplification of the western ridge showing up on both OP and ensemble runs which could put another threat into the 11/10-12 timeframe. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Might be two shots next week (including next weekend)...that first wave around 11/7-8 which looks more marginal (shows up as a cutter on the GGEM) but then behind that there is a distinct amplification of the western ridge showing up on both OP and ensemble runs which could put another threat into the 11/10-12 timeframe. And even if one of them does not work out, we have a shot for at least one event from 11/7-11/13 or so. At least as modeled. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Might be two shots next week (including next weekend)...that first wave around 11/7-8 which looks more marginal (shows up as a cutter on the GGEM) but then behind that there is a distinct amplification of the western ridge showing up on both OP and ensemble runs which could put another threat into the 11/10-12 timeframe. Primed. Love to see it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Euro would be flakes for many Wednesday. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Extended HRRR juices up a bit Wed aftn too. A local P&C sounding at 18z Wed was dam cold just off the deck. Something to watch. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Extended HRRR juices up a bit Wed aftn too. A local P&C sounding at 18z Wed was dam cold just off the deck. Something to watch. Soundings have been looking better today for Wednesday....more moisture getting in here. I think there's a great chance for many to see first flakes. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 So…moving forward…we get another nice cold dump nicely signaled with some fun potential around d9-11 per ensembles and then the flow relaxes but it’s kind of heartening to see the thumb projection just north of AK. It suggests we may reload again maybe around the 15-20th or so. November is not shaping up warm by any means. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 50 minutes ago, weathafella said: So…moving forward…we get another nice cold dump nicely signaled with some fun potential around d9-11 per ensembles and then the flow relaxes but it’s kind of heartening to see the thumb projection just north of AK. It suggests we may reload again maybe around the 15-20th or so. November is not shaping up warm by any means. As good a look so far this month as you could ask for 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 We tried to tell TFlizz….some nice looks going forward, but he just says Zzzzzzz. Ya hate to see it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Extended HRRR juices up a bit Wed aftn too. A local P&C sounding at 18z Wed was dam cold just off the deck. Something to watch. Wonder if someone can tickle up 1-2” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Euro weeklies? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Not even a mention of snow by Box in afd. Their struggles continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not even a mention of snow by Box in afd. Their struggles continue They won’t mention anything unless it Ramps up a bit more tomorrow….that way they preserve continuity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: They won’t mention anything unless it Ramps up a bit more tomorrow….that way they preserve continuity. They should absolutely be talking about widespread snow showers considering all guidance has it . They struggle immensely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 That is some impressive cold air sitting to the north days 11-16 on the GFS. Hopefully it has a clue, definitely will be chances if that look sticks around as we head into that time frame. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They should absolutely be talking about widespread snow showers considering all guidance has it . They struggle immensely Maybe they should…but they have time, and they’ll wait another shift to see if it’s there again on the guidance, and if the idea strengthens/weakens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They should absolutely be talking about widespread snow showers considering all guidance has it . They struggle immensely Widespread? Not sure I’d go that far. Their stance is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 42 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro weeklies? Torchy for December. Kind of neutral for Tday period though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 Sounds El Nino ish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Widespread? Not sure I’d go that far. Their stance is fine. So not mentioning about is fine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted October 31, 2023 Author Share Posted October 31, 2023 1 hour ago, Spanks45 said: That is some impressive cold air sitting to the north days 11-16 on the GFS. Hopefully it has a clue, definitely will be chances if that look sticks around as we head into that time frame. Yes indeed. Question for the LR guys....does this year's set-up resemble 1989 at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted October 31, 2023 Author Share Posted October 31, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Torchy for December. Kind of neutral for Tday period though. The weeklies beyond week two have great utility: 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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