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July 28th Severe Weather


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Had an amazing electrical storm at 5 a.m. today and there were a lot of limbs and branches down on the east side of Griffith especially.  This includes a large 1 to 2 foot diameter tree trunk near the Wadsworth Elementary school just south of me.  Waiting to see what will happen with this power keg tonight.  700mb still around 12 per SPC meso so gotta cool a bit first.

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The HRRR and RRFS models have been iffy with convection here later.  However, both models continue to quickly mix the dew point down into the 60s across the area this afternoon, which is very wrong.  Dews are well into the 70s to near 80 across Iowa.

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1 minute ago, madwx said:

Need some wider updrafts or some updraft merging before things really pop off

Eastern half or more of the Enhanced has yet to be put under a watch, meanwhile there's one in effect that's entirely within a marginal risk in the mid-Atlantic.

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The National Weather Service in Des Moines  has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  North central Hardin County in central Iowa...
  Southwestern Franklin County in north central Iowa...

* Until 615 PM CDT.

* At 547 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Popejoy, or 9
  miles northwest of Iowa Falls, moving southeast at 15 mph.
 

 

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6 minutes ago, Chicago916 said:

Serious question. What will happen to a MCS (if and when it congeals and moves into NIL) as it barrels into the lake breeze?

it would become elevated over the surface inversion.  if it was well formed it would still be able to punch through the cool layer and bring strong winds to the surface

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Lake breeze right over my house in N IL (can clearly see it on satellite from South Side of Chicago all the way up past Milwaukee) and this has the feeling of something popping nearby soon or that stuff starting up in IA to grow really fast.

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it would become elevated over the surface inversion.  if it was well formed it would still be able to punch through the cool layer and bring strong winds to the surface

“Cool layer” I can barely breathe downtown Chicago right now its still 86/75
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