Stormlover74 Posted July 26, 2023 Author Share Posted July 26, 2023 Excessive heat watch. First one of those in a while 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 2 hours ago, Poker2015 said: Is Saturday going to be storm after storm potential or hit or miss ones? I have about 70 people coming over. Sunday looks nice, but only low 80s and I hate changing it. Kinda looks like a washout. Sucks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 78 / 64 and sunny. Clouds and storms in the way tue from starting the 90s streak for most, today looks good for many to top 90. The Western Atlantic Ridge builds west raising heights and linking with the western heat ridge to push strong heat streaking east, peaking >18c to near 20c Sat (7/29). Mid to upper 90s and its a matter of clouds and any storms preventing a stray 100 degree reading in the hot spots. Near or record eat for places like EWR, PHL, LGA. Another piece of energy passes to the north Thu evening so isolted showers and storms the more south you go. The W/ Atl Ridge is contracting by Sat evening and trough pushing down into the area by Sun (7/30) Storms from the north and west by later in the day could cloud things up and pop storms into the overnight. By Sunday (7/30) it's clearing and we open August near normal and much cooler than the strong heat. By Aug 3-5 another piece of the strong heat is nearby and more humid flow returns with overall warm, humid and likely some enhanced storm chances. As the western ridge builds it'll be reliant to watch the next expansion of the western atlantic ridge to force the trough back NE into the GL and keep it humid nd warm to hot occasionally. Way out there ridge could push into the east in later part of August from the west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Kinda looks like a washout. Sucks 06z GFS kept most stuff north and last nights Euro wasn't too bad either. CMC pretty wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Kinda looks like a washout. Sucks Euro has scattered storms mainly north / west for Saturday I'm sure it'll change 100 times with timing of the front. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2005) NYC: 98 (1940) LGA: 98 (1940) Lows: EWR: 57 (1953) NYC: 55 (1920) LGA: 62 (1976) Historical: 1819 - Twin cloudbursts of fifteen inches struck almost simultaneously at Catskill, NY, and Westfield, MA. Flash flooding resulted in enormous erosion. (David Ludlum) 1874: Torrential rainfall brought flash flooding to Pittsburg, Pennsylvania. 1890: During the morning hours, an estimated F3 tornado went through the southern part of Lawrence, Massachusetts. The tornado left 500 people homeless as the tornado destroyed 35 homes and damaged 60 others. 1897: Jewel, Maryland received 14.75 inches of rain in a 24 hour period. This record is currently the oldest, state rainfall record in the United States. All other state rainfall records are in the 1900s and 2000s 1931: A swarm of grasshoppers descends on crops throughout the American heartland, devastating millions of acres. Iowa, Nebraska, and South Dakota, already in the midst of a bad drought, suffered tremendously from this disaster. 1943 - Tishomingo, OK, baked in the heat as the mercury soared to 121 degrees, a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1960 - The temperature at Salt Lake City, UT, hit 107 degrees, an all-time record high for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1979: Tropical Storm Claudette stalled over Alvin, Texas, inundating the town with 45 inches of rain in 42 hours. The total included 43 inches in 24 hours, which is the maximum 24-hour rainfall in American history. 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced hail two inches in diameter in McHenry County, IL, and wind gusts to 70 mph at Auburn, ME. A wind gust of 90 mph was recorded at Blairstown, NJ, before the anemometer broke. The high winds were associated with a small tornado. The record high of 88 degrees at Beckley, WV, was their sixth in a row. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, and in the south central U.S. Eight cities in the northwestern and north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Salem, OR, hit 103 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southeastern Texas, with more than three inches reported at the Widllife Refuge in southwestern Chambers County. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Montana, with wind gusts to 62 mph reported at Helena. Eight cities from Maine to Minnesota reported record high temperatures for the date, including Newark, NJ, with a reading of 99 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 The weather after the big heat looks spectacular for several days. Slightly below normal temps (highs in the low 80s) with low humidity. Monday the dewpoints could get down to the low 50s. That looks like a top 10 type of day. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 48 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Euro has scattered storms mainly north / west for Saturday I'm sure it'll change 100 times with timing of the front. Thats what I was seeing too. Mostly to the north of us, but definitely will change 100 times. Do you know if they will be coming from straight west or more from the north/south? That makes a huge difference in my area whether we get hit or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Low to mid 90s the next few days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 2 hours ago, FPizz said: 06z GFS kept most stuff north and last nights Euro wasn't too bad either. CMC pretty wet CMC seems like an outlier-other models don't have alot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 39 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Low to mid 90s the next few days an awesome airmass from Sunday Tue though...can't wait. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 36 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: an awesome airmass from Sunday Tue though...can't wait. indeed lows get down in the 50s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 NWS upped forecast to 100. Those consecutive lows in the mid 60s afterwards may be more impressive though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 3 hours ago, SACRUS said: Way out there ridge could push into the east in later part of August from the west. This is the ridge out west not the western Atlantic ridge right? A hot look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 26, 2023 Author Share Posted July 26, 2023 I always thought 105 meant heat advisory. And we never get excessive heat warnings so they must've changed the criteria URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Upton NY Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- 204 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2023 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 9 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously hot conditions with heat index values up to 105 expected. * WHERE...Eastern Passaic, Hudson, Bergen, Essex, and Union counties in northeast New Jersey. * WHEN...From Thursday morning through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Extreme heat and humidity will significantly increase the potential for heat related illnesses, particularly for those working or participating in outdoor activities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I always thought 105 meant heat advisory. And we never get excessive heat warnings so they must've changed the criteria URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Upton NY Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- 204 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2023 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 9 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously hot conditions with heat index values up to 105 expected. * WHERE...Eastern Passaic, Hudson, Bergen, Essex, and Union counties in northeast New Jersey. * WHEN...From Thursday morning through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Extreme heat and humidity will significantly increase the potential for heat related illnesses, particularly for those working or participating in outdoor activities. Heat advisory is for 95 - 99 for 2 consecutive days or 100 - 104 for any length of time. Excessive heat warning is for 105+ for at least 2 consecutive hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 26, 2023 Author Share Posted July 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, dWave said: Heat advisory is for 95 - 99 for 2 consecutive days or 100 - 104 for any length of time. Excessive heat warning is for 105+ for at least 2 consecutive hours. Ok. They almost always go heat advisory though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Anyone remember or know what the heat indexes were around here during the great heat burst during the summer of 1995? This was the year 700+ people died in Chicago as HI rose to near 130 and in some cases even higher for several days. DP's reached the m/u 80's with ambient temps of near or over 100. To my memory that is the worst heat I have ever felt here in NJ. I remember it was over a weekend around here and the air was beyond stifling. Not a puff of air. I don't think I can ever remember it feeling so uncomfortable. Have no recollection of what the heat index readings were around here but my guess would be 108-112? I'm fairly certain temperatures were in the upper 90's to just over 100. Anyone else remember? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Just now, MANDA said: Anyone remember or know what the heat indexes were around here during the great heat burst during the summer of 1995? This was the year 700+ people died in Chicago as HI rose to near 130 and in some cases even higher for several days. DP's reached the m/u 80's with ambient temps of near or over 100. To my memory that is the worst heat I have ever felt here in NJ. I remember it was over a weekend around here and the air was beyond stifling. Not a puff of air. I don't think I can ever remember it feeling so uncomfortable. Have no recollection of what the heat index readings were around here but my guess would be 108-112? I'm fairly certain temperatures were in the upper 90's to just over 100. Anyone else remember? Yep I had my U of Miami get together that weekend for incoming fall students in the NY area, was 101 on the car temp driving back on LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 26, 2023 Author Share Posted July 26, 2023 12 minutes ago, MANDA said: Anyone remember or know what the heat indexes were around here during the great heat burst during the summer of 1995? This was the year 700+ people died in Chicago as HI rose to near 130 and in some cases even higher for several days. DP's reached the m/u 80's with ambient temps of near or over 100. To my memory that is the worst heat I have ever felt here in NJ. I remember it was over a weekend around here and the air was beyond stifling. Not a puff of air. I don't think I can ever remember it feeling so uncomfortable. Have no recollection of what the heat index readings were around here but my guess would be 108-112? I'm fairly certain temperatures were in the upper 90's to just over 100. Anyone else remember? It was 129 at one point briefly at ewr. 99 with an 84 dewpoint 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: It was 127 at one point briefly at ewr Wow, had no idea it reached those levels locally! Just remember it was some of the worst, if not the worst heat/humidity I have ever experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 26, 2023 Author Share Posted July 26, 2023 Just now, MANDA said: Wow, had no idea it reached those levels locally! Just remember it was some of the worst, if not the worst heat/humidity I have ever experienced. Yeah I edited my post. 84 dewpoint at 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: It was 129 at one point briefly at ewr. 99 with an 84 dewpoint WOW, 99/84. No wonder I remember it being bad. Now that is a heat index! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 91 today briefly, now 88. 4 day heatwave coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Current temp 90/DP 69/RH 50% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 13 minutes ago, MANDA said: Anyone remember or know what the heat indexes were around here during the great heat burst during the summer of 1995? This was the year 700+ people died in Chicago as HI rose to near 130 and in some cases even higher for several days. DP's reached the m/u 80's with ambient temps of near or over 100. To my memory that is the worst heat I have ever felt here in NJ. I remember it was over a weekend around here and the air was beyond stifling. Not a puff of air. I don't think I can ever remember it feeling so uncomfortable. Have no recollection of what the heat index readings were around here but my guess would be 108-112? I'm fairly certain temperatures were in the upper 90's to just over 100. Anyone else remember? My wedding anniversary is 07/15/1995. I remember all too well! 103, with HI of around 120+. No AC in the church! We basically said “I do”, and went to the reception. best heat lightning I’ve ever seen. That’s what she said… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 26, 2023 Author Share Posted July 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: My wedding anniversary is 07/15/1995. I remember all too well! 103, with HI of around 120+. No AC in the church! We basically said “I do”, and went to the reception. best heat lightning I’ve ever seen. That’s what she said… In a tux? I can't even imagine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 89 my high, now 86 with sea breeze. I am at 5 high reading of 90 or higher for the year, expect to be at 8 come Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Tomorrow will feature oppressive dew points in the mid 70's with slightly lower DPs along the I95 corridor where mixing and temperatures are expected to be their greatest. Strong onshore flow and breezy conditions tomorrow will keep most of Long Island below 90 at the expense of higher humidity. Some storms will fire to the NW and will make their way east in the afternoon Breezy conditions tomorrow will make the heat slightly more bearable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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