CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 GFS has duel lows. Once trying to go into LI and CT, the other well off shore. A mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 umm wow! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 It's trying to get under LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS has duel lows. Once trying to go into LI and CT, the other well off shore. A mess. GFS is a mess with phasing coastals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Into CT lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS has duel lows. Once trying to go into LI and CT, the other well off shore. A mess. That is a pretty scary idea...that would certainly throw in the possibility of a miss east like forky alluded too earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, DJln491 said: looks well east of 6z maybe not lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 hr 93 is insane here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 I would love to be in northern Litchfield County or Berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 21 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: the PNA ridge on the ICON is stronger though? it’s the southern stream energy that’s a bit weaker Yup, the trend GIF I ran was effed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 That is a NW CT to Berks jack. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, George001 said: I like what I’m seeing so far on the 12z gfs You do? It looks like what happens when a model is moving on to a new solution but can't make up its mind. It's a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 5 minutes ago, George001 said: I like what I’m seeing so far on the 12z gfs Never mind, low in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Ignoring the GFS. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 that initial thump in far western CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Toss the dual low idea unless there is other support for it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 GFS will continue to waffle around because its rendered essentially an ensemble member in this intricate phasing scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Paul, you can use the GFS at your own peril. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 GFS did slink a little SE with the forcing vs 06z....but it's definitely still in the western camp with the Canadian twins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, dan11295 said: Toss the dual low idea unless there is other support for it. Disagree, these setups that possibility always has to be on the table. What really sucks about them is they are extremely hard to forecast and give merit too, but that's because of the processes involved. We've been slapped with dual lows before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS is a mess with phasing coastals. Isn't GFS known to struggle with these phasers? In February of 2013 it caught on...as the storm was exiting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GFS did slink a little SE with the forcing vs 06z....but it's definitely still in the western camp with the Canadian twins. It will come east at the same time those inland EPS member do, is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: Isn't GFS known to struggle with these phasers? In February of 2013 it caught on...as the storm was exiting. That was a decade ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Seems like a lot of trouble is with that lead southern vort and the spacing gfs seems like it split the energy from that and sucked some NW while the other just sailed East several hundred miles SE of BM Is that even plausible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Paul, you can use the GFS at your own peril. Just another idea on the table at this time, but I will say that I don't buy the idea of a low into CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 40 inches in the Berks yo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Nice fuji dance with another low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, weatherwiz said: Just another idea on the table at this time, but I will say that I don't buy the idea of a low into CT I don't have an issue with dual lows...they are the model recognizing a less than ideal phase, which is common. But that is more likly to nudge things east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Nice fuji dance with another low. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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