Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,499
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    whatweather
    Newest Member
    whatweather
    Joined

Midwest/Ohio Valley/Great Lakes Snow January 24-26


Baum
 Share

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

The track of the 00z run would probably result in better snow farther north than the verbatim output.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

Do you have any opinion on my other post about the model differences (namely GFS vs everything else) in handling the stuff diving into the northern US from Canada as a possible explanation for the GFS lack of qpf farther north?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sitting here in the bullseye of this storm 3 days out reminds of last year's GHD storm that had 15"-20" forecast only for it to turn to crap with in 12 hours.  Granted this one is a bit less complicated, I'm still keeping my guard up.  

 

I will say my coffee this morning probably tastes better than those sipping in Chicago land, lol, JK.  

gfs_asnow_ncus_22.png

  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Frog Town said:

Sitting here in the bullseye of this storm 3 days out reminds of last year's GHD storm that had 15"-20" forecast only for it to turn to crap with in 12 hours.  Granted this one is a bit less complicated, I'm still keeping my guard up.  

gfs_asnow_ncus_22.png

you keep your guard up until it's on the ground. It's weather believe nothing until it happens. 

  • Like 2
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Frog Town said:

Sitting here in the bullseye of this storm 3 days out reminds of last year's GHD storm that had 15"-20" forecast only for it to turn to crap with in 12 hours.  Granted this one is a bit less complicated, I'm still keeping my guard up.  

 

I will say my coffee this morning probably tastes better than those sipping in Chicago land, lol, JK.  

gfs_asnow_ncus_22.png

TOL and us down here in FWAland are rowing the same boat. Sitting under the bullseye 72 hours out, but not at all confident that it is the final solution.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

0z EPS still has some left leaners (deeper solutions) at 90 hours.

 

eps slp.png

Given it looks like 6z improved, and the left leaning members are deeper and likely fling more precip into the "cold" sector, I'm liking these trends.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Figures, the 6z EPS losing the left leaners. No huge change overall, but maybe a slight tick to the east on the mean versus the 0z run. I guess I'm grasping at straws a bit, trying to turn what looks like a 1-3" event into 3-5" in my hood. Still, hoping we can get a good hit for the people in southern/central IL into Indiana and Ohio. :D

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Chicago WX said:

Figures, the 6z EPS losing the left leaners. No huge change overall, but maybe a slight tick to the east on the mean versus the 0z run. I guess I'm grasping at straws a bit, trying to turn what looks like a 1-3" event into 3-5" in my hood. Still, hoping we can get a good hit for the people in southern/central IL into Indiana and Ohio. :D

Meanwhile gfs now tracks it almost over detroit. Pretty impressive system

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...