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Wake me Up....when September Ends....


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10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Damn. Did they go into dormancy during the drought and then reawaken thinking it was spring? Probably some defense mechanism to try to drop some viable seed into a more moist landscape. 

That’s kind of what I was thinking. I’ve got several of them in bloom, but this one has the most flowers. Has to be something with the drought and then renewed growth/energy 

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47 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Neither HIE nor BML could radiate last night. That wind is ripping. And considering our coldest 850s were easily supposed to be yesterday morning MWN is currently at their coldest temp of the airmass.

850 temps moderate rapidly today so we’re not going to get a good radiational cooling night in this airmass. Looks like we’ll get multiple calm nights in the colder airmass next week though. I suspect there will be a lot of first frosts down into CNE with that one. 

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17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

850 temps moderate rapidly today so we’re not going to get a good radiational cooling night in this airmass. Looks like we’ll get multiple calm nights in the colder airmass next week though. I suspect there will be a lot of first frosts down into CNE with that one. 

We decoupled here ..albeit shallowly, in the Nashoba Valley region.  Dead calm at dawn and couldn't fall below 42 ..44s.  

I mentioned the moderating 850s myself, yesterday, in a drive-by post, and it began really overnight. I'm wondering if the radiative potential was cut down already - more might have helped decoupling and feed-back.

Looks like after this week we may neutralize the hemisphere of these convolutions and 'quasi' blocks.  The PNA is neggie at CPC and all three ensemble clusters, EPS/GEFS/GEPS are neutering the negative 500 non-hydrostatic layout by D10.   Zonal too..     Not sure I completely buy that, but should we move that way we probably flip back to milder look for a week.   WPO all the way around the horn flat-lines zonal, while the western N/A mountain torque ridge expression floods east across southern Canada ... Heh puts seasonal migration on hold. 

Not saying it'd last.. .just is what it is.

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3 hours ago, dendrite said:

Neither HIE nor BML could radiate last night. That wind is ripping. And considering our coldest 850s were easily supposed to be yesterday morning MWN is currently at their coldest temp of the airmass.

37F here but no frost.  Some wind all night.

It is still hammering here at the ski area.  Gondola is on wind hold getting constant 50+ gusts, sustained 40mph.  Rough Saturday to have wind with foliage guests starting to roll in.

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2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Damn. Did they go into dormancy during the drought and then reawaken thinking it was spring? Probably some defense mechanism to try to drop some viable seed into a more moist landscape. 

Nature handles dry better than man. Poor Stein

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11 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 

Weather up on those ridges is as intense as it gets in the Northeast.   I've seen it snow on the Bigelow range in June.

 

When I was crossing Katahdin's Knife Edge back on August 6, 1973, I met a family headed the other way.  They said they'd been on that trail about the same date the year before, and the wind and sleet were so fierce they had to drop down the south side a few yards to avoid the pain.

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I'm not sure if we'll be able to muster up enough low-level instability to get any couplets to tighten sufficiently. Although the potential for this is probably highest towards the coast where dewpoints could be 3-4°F higher. One thing I do like though is how the storm mode looks to be on the discrete side. Cells will be moving rather quickly too. If any storm could straddle the warm front there would be enhanced shear to work with but you'll still need sufficient CAPE in the lowest few km for anything to tighten. 

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2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

850 temps moderate rapidly today so we’re not going to get a good radiational cooling night in this airmass. Looks like we’ll get multiple calm nights in the colder airmass next week though. I suspect there will be a lot of first frosts down into CNE with that one. 

Wind here kept temps a few degrees milder than yesterday's low of 39.  Last fall was only the 2nd time in 24 years with first frost in Oct rather than Sept.  Looks like Friday is the only chance to avoid 2 straight non-Sept first frosts.

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2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

I wonder if it's worth starting a severe thread for tomorrow. I say yes 

Needless to say we have a lot of municipal and/or school-related field sport programs that are going on, on Sundays,  pretty much everywhere...   So yeah  - might be worth it.

thing is ...doesn't take a but a 30 mph outflow pulse gust with nickle hail sweeping across a non-suspecting soccer tourney to be an issue.  Don't have to be 'tornadoes' per se.

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33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Stein?

 

Is your feed now filled with all posts that include the letters s-t-e-i-n in that order somewhere in the post or user name?  lol I just picture the AI algorithm being like “only show this account these things, he doesn’t click on anything else.”

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