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Tracking the Tropics


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18Z GFS is a pinch west to start and then a bit farther west by the time it gets up to the Canadian Maritimes.  Not enough to influence NE... biggest notable difference is there's a much bigger ridge over the Midwest than the previous run, and that causes the trough cutting through the New England to have a much more positive tilt in a SW -> NE orientation.  If that continues to be the trend, then Fiona's track might continue to edge west, and that trough has a chance of sucking Fiona in closer to the coast.  Wouldn't be something to get my hopes up for could be an 18z blip too...

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9 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

18Z GFS is a pinch west to start and then a bit farther west by the time it gets up to the Canadian Maritimes.  Not enough to influence NE...

18z GEFS leaving some members behind now between Bermuda and the east coast out to hr 156

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1 hour ago, bristolri_wx said:

18Z GFS is a pinch west to start and then a bit farther west by the time it gets up to the Canadian Maritimes.  Not enough to influence NE... biggest notable difference is there's a much bigger ridge over the Midwest than the previous run, and that causes the trough cutting through the New England to have a much more positive tilt in a SW -> NE orientation.  If that continues to be the trend, then Fiona's track might continue to edge west, and that trough has a chance of sucking Fiona in closer to the coast.  Wouldn't be something to get my hopes up for could be an 18z blip too...

Agree

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21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s a fish. She gone.

According to the 18z Euro, most likely.  According to 18z GFS, probably.  18z Euro really has Fiona cranking now, 947mb at HR 90 and farther NE, than 12z, which was 973mb, thanks to the center missing Hispaniola.  If it strengthens that much, then yup it's definitely fish food.  Still feel like it's interesting to track though next few days.  Euro could be off on strengthening and track...

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9 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

According to the 18z Euro, most likely.  According to 18z GFS, probably.  18z Euro really has Fiona cranking now, 947mb at HR 90 and farther NE, than 12z, which was 973mb, thanks to the center missing Hispaniola.  If it strengthens that much, then yup it's definitely fish food.  Still feel like it's interesting to track though next few days.  Euro could be off on strengthening and track...

It’s gone. 

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6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This storm was never interesting to me. I maybe in the minority, but a major impact on the mainland US never had much of a chance. 

Not much else going on… was at least a topic of interest given the general area of development/track. Understandable to not jump on board. 

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6 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Not much else going on… was at least a topic of interest given the general area of development/track. Understandable to not jump on board. 

Still going to be fun to watch as it looks primed for intensification 

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49 minutes ago, Diggiebot said:

Still going to be fun to watch as it looks primed for intensification 

It seems like airlines are starting to take it more seriously. They added flights and are getting people out (us included) this afternoon. All Turks and Caicos Airports closed starting tomorrow 

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