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    Michael Butler
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    Michael Butler
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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1126 AM CDT Tue Aug 09 2022

   Valid 091630Z - 101200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
   MID-ATLANTIC INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...AND IN PARTS OF THE
   INTERIOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST....

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms associated with damaging wind gusts will be possible
   today from the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England, and in parts
   of the Interior Pacific Northwest.

   ...Northeast States...
   A surface cold front is analyzed this morning from central New
   England into central PA.  This front will sag southeastward today
   into a hot/moist low-level environment with temperatures in the 90s
   and dewpoints in the 70s.  Forecast soundings show weak mid-level
   lapse rates and warm temperatures aloft, which should be negative
   factors for convective coverage and intensity.  Nevertheless, at
   least isolated thunderstorms are expected to form on the front later
   today, with the strongest cells posing a risk of locally damaging
   wind gusts.  
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