Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,276
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    weatherman27
    Newest Member
    weatherman27
    Joined

Severe Weather Threat Week...so many threats!!!


weatherwiz
 Share

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Is it typical that NWS issues a large scale severe thunderstorm watch like this?

 

We usually see some watches of that size each summer. Even sometimes see them stretch as far north as Maine, however, I think it's more typical to see separate watches as opposed to one giant watch box. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

We usually see some watches of that size each summer. Even sometimes see them stretch as far north as Maine, however, I think it's more typical to see separate watches as opposed to one giant watch box. 

I always thought they were issued by the individual sites like BOX, ENX, etc    

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I always thought they were issued by the individual sites like BOX, ENX, etc    

ahhh...no the Storm Prediction Center is responsible for issuing the watches. The local offices take care of warnings. Local offices though do get input as to what type of watch (severe vs. tornado). 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Clouds and the developing area of rain really killing things...then we have that cluster that developed in northwest New Jersey which will be moving into western Connecticut within a few hours. It's a nice looking cluster with tons of lightning) but it's probably at it's maximum intensity. Maybe some localized influences can work to tighten any rotation but the clouds/precip are yielding really crappy low-level lapse rates. Steeper low-level lapse rates would have gone a long way in additional parcel acceleration and yielded better (not necessarily in terms of numbers) low-level CAPE...better in the sense of it could be utilized more efficiently to assist with tightening couplets. 

It's almost impossible in these types of flows to get abundant sunshine across SNE... Cloud cover is usually fairly widespread.  That being said, nature of the atmosphere is still decent for some severe events from northern NJ northeast into southwest CT.  SPC meso analysis is highlighting southeastern NY into southwest CT for an elevated spin-up risk over the next couple of hours. Given low lcl's I would closely monitor any organized cells moving across that area?  Could see a non-warned event or a late warned event.

  • Like 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, FXWX said:

It's almost impossible in these types of flows to get abundant sunshine across SNE... Cloud cover is usually fairly widespread.  That being said, nature of the atmosphere is still decent for some severe events from northern NJ northeast into southwest CT.  SPC meso analysis is highlighting southeastern NY into southwest CT for an elevated spin-up risk over the next couple of hours. Given low lcl's I would closely monitor any organized cells moving across that area?  Could see a non-warned event or a late warned event.

Yeah I don't think it's really possible to get sufficient clearing in these type of setups. The only way really is when there is an advecting EML offering a stout cap and sufficient drying aloft. Agreed...conditions are still favorable for severe. This isn't going to be a widespread severe event and is a setup that typically produces widespread severe. It's all usually about whether one or two cells can maximize everything that atmosphere has to offer. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

We usually see some watches of that size each summer. Even sometimes see them stretch as far north as Maine, however, I think it's more typical to see separate watches as opposed to one giant watch box. 

IIRC, it was a week ago this past Friday when there was a watch extending from southern WVA to north of Moosehead Lake.  We got 0.02" of sprinkles from that one.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m going to lose it if we don’t get an appreciable slug on rain from this 

yeah I'm teetering on violence if we don't get anything soon. But for your sanity don't look at any of the Total Precip maps through Day 9. Most of the models are amazingly steadfast on Stein bending us over for the foreseeable future

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

yeah I'm teetering on violence if we don't get anything soon. But for your sanity don't look at any of the Total Precip maps through Day 9. Most of the models are amazingly steadfast on Stein bending us over for the foreseeable future

I could toss a match on my front lawn and ignite the whole neighborhood 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...