Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Eps has some nice members offshore. Let's get this thing further east. Focus on the wind damage signaled 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 18z GFS looks similar to 12z. Drier, but probably just noise. I am right on the line but I assume this will be a SE/E flow event? It'll be rain right up to Gorham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 So for some preliminary planning Bolton or Saddleback or Sugarloaf on Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Hammer talking winds to or over 60mph Sat nite/Sun morning on air and power issues on air just now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 21 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 18z GFS looks similar to 12z. Drier, but probably just noise. I am right on the line but I assume this will be a SE/E flow event? It'll be rain right up to Gorham. Or rain right through. 18z NAM was a wet day Saturday. Changes over late here but not ideal. 4pm Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 18z GFS did go back west. It’s nail biting, ha. This thing will have one helluva gradient on the SE side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 7 hours ago, MJO812 said: How much you have ? For the year? Low 50s, slightly above average. Considering how things looked with the late Jan blizzard, really a disappointing end to the winter if it’s really over. It really looked like we had a shot at an epic second half with a polar vortex split, but all that piece of shit over the North Pole did was deepen. It wasn’t a bad winter at all here, but left a lot on the table. Unlike last winter I don’t consider it a garbage winter since we actually got a monster blizzard, first one since 2018. Hopefully next winter the polar vortex shatters into a billion pieces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Just now, powderfreak said: Or rain right through. 18z NAM was a wet day Saturday. Changes over late here but not ideal. 4pm Sat Uh oh. When Nam is warm…….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hammer talking winds to or over 60mph Sat nite/Sun morning on air and power issues on air just now They usually fall short…so I’ll take the under. But maybe this time it happens? Would be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Uh oh. When Nam is warm…….. Miller A, it will trend north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 32 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 18z GFS looks similar to 12z. Drier, but probably just noise. I am right on the line but I assume this will be a SE/E flow event? It'll be rain right up to Gorham. I just looked more into the wind/flow and all the snow profile is NW flow behind the FROPA. It’s not like an east flow coastal. 10AM Sat on 18z GFS. You can see the ESE flow is under the warm air at 850mb, not snow profile. Then where wind streamlines go NW behind the front is where it starts snowing. You can see the frontal position in the streamlines. Looks like everyone will need wind to go NW in this to flip to snow. Anyone seeing E/SE flow will be in the warm sector and N/NW will be cold sector. Both here and there, it’ll start snowing when the wind goes NW as the front will be through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: They usually fall short…so I’ll take the under. But maybe this time it happens? Would be fun. Do you see him hype winds often? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Do you see him hype winds often? Not usually, but I’m still skeptical. I’ll gladly admit it if my hunch is wrong. I’ll be watching over the next couple days…nothing else left to watch now anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Or rain right through. 18z NAM was a wet day Saturday. Changes over late here but not ideal. 4pm Sat I am hoping that is just the NAM being over amped at range. Globals and ensembles still look good. Far from a locked in setup tho. All rain is on the table still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I just looked more into the wind/flow and all the snow profile is NW flow behind the FROPA. It’s not like an east flow coastal. 10AM Sat on 18z GFS. You can see the ESE flow is under the warm air at 850mb, not snow profile. Then where wind streamlines go NW behind the front is where it starts snowing. You can see the frontal position in the streamlines. Looks like everyone will need wind to go NW in this to flip to snow. Anyone seeing E/SE flow will be in the warm sector and N/NW will be cold sector. Both here and there, it’ll start snowing when the wind goes NW as the front will be through. Makes sense. Glad I do well on NW flow too. Not a shadowing direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Just now, PhineasC said: Makes sense. Glad I do well on NW flow too. Not a shadowing direction. Yeah most of the lift is up higher so it wouldn’t matter much either way, just something to look out for… that wind shift looks to bring the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 18z GEFS actually have a fair amount of members that are good here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z GEFS actually have a fair amount of members that are good here Don’t do it .Follow Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 4 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I don't think it can top monday night though. I meant to reply to you about the wind here. Probably some of the strongest winds I have ever experienced/heard here. Just intense for 5 minutes or so. Yesterday I looked in our backyard. Lawn furniture scattered around like I have not had happen in my 24 years here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Roy May belt it out this weekend…we’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 18z GEFS mean looks better here than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 28 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z GEFS actually have a fair amount of members that are good here Don’t buy in lol…it’s doing that on purpose, so you’ll keep following this system. It’s just a lil tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Let's just wait for this guy.. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 19 minutes ago, weathafella said: Roy May belt it out this weekend…we’ll see. It's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's over. Let’s see if Will responds to your post . He is typically the last to hang it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 We’ve reached the point where it’s pretty much powderfreak and Phin talking to each other 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's over. I think I get at least one more measurable after this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 18z Euro ummm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Started a thread for the Saturday event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z Euro ummm Hammer time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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