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Feb 1-3rd GHD III Part 2


Chicago Storm
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40 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Call looking $$$

starts to go check out overnight models and trends. See this: optimism FTW. It's a good thing. Maybe we can continue to tug some of this overunning a touch north. Board going to be lit next day or so. Best entertainment for the money.

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2 minutes ago, Baum said:

starts to go check out overnight models and trends. See this: optimism FTW. It's a good thing. Maybe we can continue to tug some of this overunning a touch north. Board going to be lit next day or so. Best entertainment for the money.

You sleep last night??

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4 minutes ago, Frog Town said:

You sleep last night??

past the days where these things could keep me up all night. Was suffering from model burn out anyway given that mby is literally the cut off between 2" and a foot. But if I was jonesing for a 20" might have been tougher. Going to be fun to watch unfold now that were on the door step.

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29 minutes ago, Baum said:

past the days where these things could keep me up all night. Was suffering from model burn out anyway given that mby is literally the cut off between 2" and a foot. But if I was jonesing for a 20" might have been tougher. Going to be fun to watch unfold now that were on the door step.

What's the word on the NW fringe?

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Good heavens…

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
7 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Blowing snow developing Thursday
  with dangerous travel expected. Total snow accumulations 10 to
  20 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

* WHEN...From 5 AM Wednesday to 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will become very difficult to impossible.
  Blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The
  hazardous conditions will affect Wednesday and Thursday
  commutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will change to snow from northwest to
  southeast late tonight and early Wednesday morning. This will
  be a long duration snow event, with periods of moderate to heavy
  snow and reduced visibilities.
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9 minutes ago, Cary67 said:

What's the word on the NW fringe?

I don't think there has been much change overnight. Still going to bi sect our neck of the woods with a 1"-12" snowfall. Have to hope some of these short range models are sniffing out a slight north west shift. Which is not unusual to these fronto bands. Won't know until we see the whites of its eyes. Death or Glory.

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OB, your call might be closer to what will happen. Lot of things working against us: delayed changeover to snow, quicker shut off of accum. snow Thursday morning, possible whiff with the main storm.

There is a worst case scenario where we end up sub 4".  Not saying thats happening but you sort of see the cracks in the ceiling developing. 

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1 minute ago, Baum said:

I don't think there has been much change overnight. Still going to bi sect our neck of the woods with a 1"-12" snowfall. Have to hope some of these short range models are sniffing out a slight north west shift. Which is not unusual to these fronto bands. Won't know until we see the whites of its eyes. Death or Glory.

Thx. Good luck to you and Alek. Another brutal chapter in McHenry area weatherlore

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44 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

Good heavens…

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
7 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Blowing snow developing Thursday
  with dangerous travel expected. Total snow accumulations 10 to
  20 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

* WHEN...From 5 AM Wednesday to 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will become very difficult to impossible.
  Blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The
  hazardous conditions will affect Wednesday and Thursday
  commutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will change to snow from northwest to
  southeast late tonight and early Wednesday morning. This will
  be a long duration snow event, with periods of moderate to heavy
  snow and reduced visibilities.

I think this is overdone, the SREF plumes mean is less than 10 inches for TOL.  That changeover timing is becoming farther delayed.  Also QPF from second wave is waaayy down.

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