Owensnow

zero inches here sugar since maybe 4:30 that’s it this one was a dud for sure

Precip will end within next hour or two down here. there will be nothing left from the earlier snow I bet.

Back to snow rain mix

same thing here, inside of the last hour we’re almost at 2 inches Really concerned about that dry slot coming up from Ohio

Temp dropped from 39 to 35 last 30 min SN+ now wtf weird storm

Pouring white rain only

Umm HRR cancels the snow for us and far SEMI RA next please

Models are maintaining sub 0 850s through the rain period. Any ideas why that precip is modeled as rain? showing rain for 4-5 hours. For sure a waiting game but need faster arctic intrusion to cool things in the column or we are getting rain I think

Yep, another one in the books for SEMI and SW Ontario i am afraid. Slush and then rain and then frozen hell with nothing good on the ground.

Same over here (north shore of Lake Erie) not a single flake. Next storm is looking better but weel see I guess. Sad.

Not saying that wont happen, what if the cold is underdone? Anyways that does not answer my question, forgive me but what factors should prevent a SE shift?

Wonder when the models will pick up on the dynamic cooling? What is preventing this from moving SE again all?

can someone please explain to me how it is that almost everyone of these events quits halfway through the forecasted event? Woke up this morning, and it was snowing very nicely, and now already reduced to pixie dust with supposedly five more hours to go?

Amen to that The discussion out of the Detroit office this morning was less than hopeful for the higher end amounts, but they seem to be under doing those? Edit… radar is already drying up

Same had red returns earlier with snow but not +SN. Then went to straight rain. Drove 10 minutes west and there was 1-2 inches down but already went to rain.

yep making observations and I will point out that the HRRR does indicate the possibility of rain all the way to Detroit.

more than likely rain that’s what happened to me

absolutely ripping rain here If HRRR has its way, we will barely see another flake from this event.

Those returns marked the end of the snow for me. Wind came up after that and wham, back to rain. Models nailed it. No snow here again till after 9PM now according to most. The riverfront areas of MI look to end up the same way?

Same wind and rain here now all done for now

Yeah HRRR shows pretty decently the screw zone once again

hard rain here radar says +SN but just rain

Not sure what we will get here, usually these scenarios are rain / sleet but the precip rates will be very high so who knows Huge bust potential to our west with any changes at all

Well, to be honest this is what NAM 12z thinks IMBY and I am Kingsville Ontario, just SE of you. 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 (C) (C) (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK FRI 7A 03-MAR -0.1 0.7 1014 93 21 552 541 FRI 1P 03-MAR 1.8 2.8 1005 83 94 0.00 550 546 FRI 7P 03-MAR 0.7 -2.3 990 97 98 1.00 541 550 SAT 1A 04-MAR 0.5 -4.5 992 95 69 0.48 536 543 SAT 7A 04-MAR 0.9 -4.4 1008 94 64 0.01 542 536 SAT 1P 04-MAR 2.3 -2.0 1014 92 26 0.00 548 537 SAT 7P 04-MAR 0.7 -1.0 1018 98 86 0.00 548 534 SUN 1A 05-MAR 0.6 -3.5 1020 98 86 0.00 545 529

So for us non informed weather weenies would I be right in saying this stays snow here? 12Z NAM for XHA (Harrow Ontario, Canada) 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 (C) (C) (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK FRI 7A 03-MAR -0.1 0.7 1014 93 21 552 541 FRI 1P 03-MAR 1.8 2.8 1005 83 94 0.00 550 546 FRI 7P 03-MAR 0.7 -2.3 990 97 98 1.00 541 550 SAT 1A 04-MAR 0.5 -4.5 992 95 69 0.48 536 543 SAT 7A 04-MAR 0.9 -4.4 1008 94 64 0.01 542 536 SAT 1P 04-MAR 2.3 -2.0 1014 92 26 0.00 548 537 SAT 7P 04-MAR 0.7 -1.0 1018 98 86 0.00 548 534 SUN 1A 05-MAR 0.6 -3.5 1020 98 86 0.00 545 529