Owensnow

I think this is overdone, the SREF plumes mean is less than 10 inches for TOL. That changeover timing is becoming farther delayed. Also QPF from second wave is waaayy down.

I am hoping for 16-18 here lol

I think DTX is good at 8-14 for sure, down where I am, I line up with TOL on a SW to NE positive tilt. Thinking 9-18 here. Maybe 20 on the outside.

And today is going south of us lol. All heavy banding is south of the MI/OH border, not like the NWS said at all. Might see 1.5 inches here.

3 Inches here north shore of Lake Erie, Kingsville, Ontario, Canada hoping for 2-5 from the next

I get that but cant help but think a 75-100 mile shift west is logical. Most storms that head to this region end up much farther north and west than previously thought. We currently are running a zero snow cover and extreme snow drought.

Really hopeful this thing amps up and makes a NW jog to put me in some snows. Very close to nothing right now.

Watch it go NW lol

Sampled?

LOL thanks

Well said, Are there any older model runs that previously had shown a more phased NW solution? Sometimes I find the models get it long range but as things get closer, yet still outside of 48 hours, they revert back to the original runs.

Thoughts on NW Camp? I am near Leamington, ON

You think the NW camp is starting? I am in Kingsville, ON. Euro currently shows 3 inches or so here (18Z)

Well... I have to say, I thought SEMI and NW OH and myself were going to see a re-curve with this one. Odd natured beast to say the least. Although this winter has been anything but normal so far. I think we have had maybe 7 inches so far, most of that coming in NOV and Early Jan. It looks as though we are out of the running for any significant southern storm track systems for some time to come. That would likely leave us with one of the most snowless Dec-Jan periods I can recall. Come on now, throw us a few bones mother nature!

Gonna call 2-5 inches in my neck of the woods (Kingsville Ontario)

Gotta be 40mph gust here, Kingsville, Ontario, Canada insane heavy snow

Blizzard conditions here have not seen storm storm like this since the mid 90s.

SEMI and SW Ontario Got to be wind gust here topping 35 right now. Snow ratios are insane. It’s pure arctic snow. went out with the plough once already on the driveway and literally made no difference. almost seems like 2 inch per hour rates.

Goose egg here trace amount in the face of the 1-3 forecasted. models did terrible 2 inches snow cover on the ground total for the last week.

And just like that it goes waaay north again and these models are having a hell of a time with this in SEMI and SW Ontario hopefully that’s a signal for the next two storms they will be further north west and we will actually get some snow that wasn’t predicted.

Looks like possibly 2-4 inches here

WTF that is insane meso

Absolutely this should be a surprise I would think given the downstream obs from earlier.

Bring on April please this pattern is a write off here in SEMI and SW Ontario plenty of cold but no storms possible this far north (suppression)

Ripping here like never before