Personally I think where I am sitting (North shore of Lake Erie, Kingsville, ON, 3-8 inches by end of Monday.
There are more pieces of energy at play for Monday.
Interesting that none of the guidance is reflecting this in snowfall amounts.
if you go one station south of DTW (TTF)and draw a Line East-Southeast from there to where I’m at, I’m near 7 inches and they are forecasting three maybe.
SREF plumes for DTW are mean qpf of .62 (9z) and tot SN 6.17 INCHES
Go one station further south of there just before you get to the Ohio border and you’ve got over 7 inches at TTF
What’s with the poor ratios anyway?