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Owensnow

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Everything posted by Owensnow

  1. Owensnow
    Damnit why did you go and do that 850's are right on the line here. .99qpf of 1.5 is at risk of being all rain vs at YQG to my NW is 1.5ish with all +SN
  2. Owensnow
    Yep I think I am done Rainer and maybe 2 inches of slush going NW so not too impressive for me
  3. Owensnow
    00Z HRRR going north 975mb
  4. Owensnow
    But looks like I am screwed here XHA
  5. Owensnow
    I meant to say Detroit City or DET I guess, looking more rainy now
  6. Owensnow
    Looks like a rainer for DTX and DTW and myself Will see what happens
  7. Owensnow
    Looking like yet another rain event right on the heels of the sloppy 4 inches we just got sigh.
  8. Owensnow
    Same here, Kingsville, Ontario. Snowing hard but too warm. 3-4 will max this storm out. Very far from 6-8
  9. Owensnow
  10. Owensnow
    Amazing watching the map just tilt… Cranking low pressure
  11. Owensnow
    Cannot be 982 at TOL SPC has 996 right now
  12. Owensnow
  13. Owensnow
  14. Owensnow
    pretty sure the low is stronger than modeled right now in TOL down to 982mb there already?
  15. Owensnow
    it seriously looks like we’re going to get the worst of the bruising down here in the south east corner of Michigan and southwestern Ontario across the lake into Toledo and northern OH I mean apart from the lake effect on the west side of Michigan
  16. Owensnow
    it has been well modeled by at least three different models?
  17. Owensnow
    not really 3am to 5pm or so
  18. Owensnow
    Latest GFS and FV3 and RGEM have a good deal for SEMI and SW Ontario 5-9 inches likely on .75- 1 qpf
  19. Owensnow
  20. Owensnow
    Northern IN, SEMI, Part of OH and SW Ontario get clobbered there. FV3 go!
  21. Owensnow
    looks a lot more like the ensembles
  22. Owensnow
    Yes, I’m not sure what the models are looking at because the ensembles show the best moisture actually from middle lower, Michigan and eastward into Ontario. they actually have the low track much further east than any of the models?
  23. Owensnow
    Plenty of talk of further east shift from the local morning disco Detroit NWS
  24. Owensnow
    Final -1" here Models did horribly with the placement of the banding vs qpf and plumes. Plumes and qpf were over .35 here. Ended with less than one inch. Spring is coming
  25. Owensnow
    QPF output clearly shows 2-5 inches from metro south
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