Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its exactly like Boxing day.

Unreal LBSW

Don't

[40/70 Benchmark]

Its exactly like Boxing day.

LBSW and LBSE

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Wow…what!

[PhineasC]

Euro throws precip way west. That's good to see.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Well, hopefully some sort of a compromise with other guidance and it closes a bit later.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its exactly like Boxing day.

LBSW and LBSE

We take.  It really is very similar 

[wxsniss]

LBSW with the earlier phase

All of SNE does ok but eSNE not as good as 0z/12z runs earlier today

The 0z/12z Euro / UK runs earlier today were close to the best for eSNE

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Sick:

[George001]

Euro has a 968 mb low inside the benchmark, doesn’t leave behind any of the southern stream energy.

[WxWatcher007]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s close to 30mb in 6 hrs…super Bombo there if that happens. Bring it. 

That’s also a big wind solution for much of the area. Just craziness. I’m still at the wait and see stage but these runs are entertaining.

[Torch Tiger]

exhaust city for some...yikes

[WeatherWilly]

[wxsniss]

Honestly lots of wobbling around on guidance contingent on that southern stream energy... no uniform trend tonight

[weathafella]

Yeah a lot of have nots but keep in mind this is 4-5 days out and we’ll likely see changes.   The big thing that stupidity because the ICON lost the storm will hopefully  be silenced.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Sick:

That’s most impressive.  

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think it sucks....hopefully overdone. That screams subsidence here. Not sure how it tucks that closely, and leaves the cf near the canal.

Boxing Day tracked over the cape and kept the Cf pinned near south shore. 
 

This run is similar with the type of CF being pinned pretty far south toward the low center. 

[Torch Tiger]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

People can pacify yo all day by telling you not to focus on  details at this range, but if that solution comes to pass, that is exactly how that would play out...exhaust city here. Makes all of the sense in the world. I'd fine a litter of kittens to toss into the Merrimack

i could care less the specifics, maybe a big storm to shake things up.  I honestly don't care if rains here 2-4"

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

I dunno, qof be dammed as I just checked total cuz H5 was pretty nuts.

[ma blizzard]

3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

That’s also a big wind solution for much of the area. Just craziness. I’m still at the wait and see stage but these runs are entertaining.

you aren't kidding

[George001]

This type of solution raises the ceiling even more I would think because the low stalls. Ideally it would stall a little more to the ne, but either way its a blizzard.

[snowwors2]

[George001]

Even in the screw zones it’s a widespread 18+

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

This type of solution raises the ceiling even more I would think because the low stalls. Ideally it would stall a little more to the ne, but either way its a blizzard.

Stalling there lowers the ceiling here.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s most impressive.  

Nice to weenie out for a bit but the more important piece is it didn’t fade right keeping everyone in play.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I hope that isn't right....that run is an amnesia special here.....forgotten in short order.

Yeah I’m not that worried about stuff like that yet. It’s always an outside possibility but my guess is it looks different as we get closer. 

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Stalling there lowers the ceiling here.

Let's let it slide east last minute, 2015 style

[40/70 Benchmark]

Well, just another run...hopefully the Euro JUNOs all over itself to a degree.

[Henry's Weather]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Stalling there lowers the ceiling here.

In fact, I remember when i was looking through the 2015 thread, after the first euro run which came onboard, there was one which was even more tucked which jacked berks/NYC and coastal-fronted SEMA. You had the same reaction IIRC

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah I’m not that worried about stuff like that yet. It’s always an outside possibility but my guess is it looks different as we get closer. 

Agree. My reactions are to the run itself. I get the lead time.

I think we can take graze off of the table, which is good for all.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nice to weenie out for a bit but the more important piece is it didn’t fade right keeping everyone in play.

Yes…that’s a multi faceted, multi megalopolis thrashing…it’s a powerful beast on that depiction.  Gets everybody.